We are in wait and see mode.

In the meantime, the “Intolerable Aggression” (see AHH https://sovereignista.com/2025/06/12/intolerable-aggression/) continues.

IAEA board of governors adopts anti-Iran resolution and accuses Iran of non-compliance with nuclear safeguards obligations (This is meaningless in the big scheme of things and serves only as propaganda).

Netanyahu won the vote, that took place after all the faffing – this was one of the objectives of all the noise in the past days. From Israeli media: The opposition’s motion to dissolve the Knesset was defeated in a vote of 61 to 53 overnight. This was the result of a last-minute compromise on the conscription law that will see young ultra-Orthodox Jewish men more gradually introduced into military service.

(I’ve never seen the US work so hard to save bibi butt).

Iran is not keeping quiet at all and vowing to continue with its nuclear program and even build a new enrichment plant.

Iran has started what they term ‘out of schedule’  military drills.  (The threats can work both ways).

(These are from fan pages usually and not official)

The US’ Middle East commander has canceled testimony in Washington tomorrow.
Reuters says it’s due to ‘tensions’ in the region. OK …

In addition:

Two US Air Force tanker aircraft went dark over the Middle East shortly after takeoff. A KC-46A Pegasus departed Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and turned off its transponder minutes later. Five minutes after, a KC-135T Stratotanker took off from Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia and also switched off its transponder.

In addition:

The parties of the Israeli Knesset have mutually agreed to postpone the vote on dissolving the Knesset until next week.

(They will use the nukes (listen to Galloway that Mr P posted up) to save Netanyahu’s ass. If these people take this world to war they need to be made paria states if they are still alive. Dear God!)

In addition:

US ambassador to the occupied territories, Mike Huckabee, announced that Washington no longer supports an independent Palestinian state, suggesting it could instead be created elsewhere in West Asia.

In addition:

Egyptian security forces are detaining dozens of Tunisians, French, and Algerians at Cairo Airport for their participation in the “Solidarity Convoy” headed to Gaza.

Egyptian police stormed Downtown Hotel and another hotel in central Cairo, where members of the French delegation were staying, before contact with them was lost.

There are a few issues that are converging now.

-Iran warns it will react ‘strongly’ to potential ‘strategic mistake’ by E3 .. They want to re-institue the ‘snap-back’ mechanism – dead since 2015.
Iran’s foreign minister has issued a stern warning to the three European signatories of the 2015 nuclear deal, commonly known as the E3, accusing them of failure to fulfill their obligations and cautioning against further “strategic mistakes.”

-Iran’s nuclear chief has dismissed the latest IAEA report accusing Tehran of non-compliance with the safeguards agreement, calling it a “big lie.”

-Netanyahu is expected to lose the vote and the Knesset will be dissolved. The US is working very hard to try and contain this.

-Iran is being pressurized in the run-up to the negotiations on Sunday.

-There is a feeling that Iran is lying on what they found in the documents that they got from Israel. There is a push to make them walk their talk and make them lose.

-Israel is seemingly in a state of economic collapse.

This all has consequences. The oil price (Brent Crude) has just spiked 5% and shows no sign of stopping the climb.

Today Brain Wilson who wrote most of the Beach Boys songs died at the ripe old age of 82.  I was never a Beach boys fan but the tunes were lively and fun and of course we know all of them. They were really the only US band who rivalled the Beatles.  My mind went to California, California Dreaming, California Girls, riots and a time when things really seemed more simple.  Yes, I know what was behind there, but it seemed simple.  I went to look for some Beach Boys tunes and as things go, came across the story of Guns ‘n Roses, November Rain.  (Liked Guns ‘n Roses much more than the Beach Boys but death was always close in that world where the drugs defined the music).

Say a cheers to Brian Wilson: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crmkyn981zvo

November Rain was one of the greatest Rock Ballads ever and the first music video to hit 1 Billion views – YouTube was the only video streaming app that was alive at the time.

Who was it who said that the US should have continued playing music instead of making war.

Enjoy the story.

Hi AHH, let me update the thinking a bit on 2 issues .. there is not enough time in the day.

” may be of interest to Amarynth, who was praising UNAFIL last year.. yes, there are honorable elements within them. But as with ALL UN/western NGOs, they are part of the shameless Big Club, working solely for one side in every Forever War”

Unifil – we have changes. At the time when they did their job, the Lebanese government did not have its election (and they are totally emasculated now), and Hezbollah was still in the game. Hezbollah is now primarily focused on caring for its people. They will not be fighting. Israel itself has had a boost in that nobody is questioning their attempts to own the region but they must know they have the Gulf States behind them with a knife. So Unifil needs to work with the Lebanese army. OK you can ask me which Lebanese army of course haha .. Just recently the US and Israel said that Unifil is not necessary any longer. I’ve not seen that come up in the UN Security Council. We will see.

We have to look at both sides .. Unifil as well as traitorous Lebanese army.

So, we’ve had a massive change and then even a bigger one with the force happening to normalize with Israel overall. We are now questioning the stance of China and this Unifil has many Chinese soldiers while China seems to want to normalize unless they’re doing something in the background that is not visible. There is a long story there – Unifil has soldiers from 50 countries.

Then, I said there will not be war against Iran for the next four months all things being equal (those four months have had a bite out of them already). I have since not fully changed my mind, but I am allowing space for a proverbial killing of Archduke Franz Ferdinand. The space, opportunity and probability for such a proverbial oops has increased. The reason is easy to see in that Trump does not seem to understand that Iran has a trump card. He keeps saying ‘Iran has changed’ but seemingly he is either playing plausible deniability or he is just not informed. Given the extreme factional nature now of his administration, and the extreme desperation of finding a win somewhere, and Hegseth wanting to make a name for himself after crawling from the Red Sea, they may make an extreme error of judgement, but I don’t see any judgement. So, I rate an error much higher than what I rate a war against Iran. We will see at the negotiations on Sunday and that is if the region is not at war yet. One usually analyzes on the basis of the reasonableness of the other side. Well, that has undeniably and forever left the room and the other side is lashing out in pure malevolence having lost their own fear for their own skins – the wish for a win overshadows all calculus of reasonability. The Israeli vote today increases the possibility of ‘error’.

OK, let me go and work.

Just posted up at the War and Genocide thread. We have the vote today in Israel:

In a joint statement, the Knesset opposition parties announced that they will place a bill to dissolve the Israeli parliament on today’s agenda, adding that the decision was “made unanimously and is binding on all factions.”

“In addition, in coordination between all factions, it was decided to remove opposition legislation from the agenda in order to concentrate all efforts on one goal: to overthrow the government,” read the statement, which was released following a meeting of the opposition parties in the Knesset.

Who knows the sequence of their process? Has Mahmood OD said anything yet?

Nice topic Nico.

My interest has always centered around the healing therapies although nowadays I have to stay with the basics of naturopathics. But I did a few of the Donna Eden classes. A lot of fun, and if one knows a little about energy meridians, her work falls nicely into there.

This is such a crossover of the eastern philosophies.  Those fellows knew about this stuff before we even opened our eyes.

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