💠@Strategika51:
⭕ Druze mayor of Deraa province (southern Syria) meets Zionist officers.
(15/12/2024)
The visual elements of this photograph seem to mimic those of thousands of photographs taken by the US military propaganda service in Iraq and Afghanistan during the years 2003-2009.
[scenes and tableau like this will do wonders to change arab sunni hearts. They are as effective as videos of Palestinian men being gang-raped. God helps those who help themselves. Only after the Ashes, and the change of elites, will change occur]
⭕ Stay tuned. We’re going to set the place on fire.
⭕ When you have to fight, you have to fight.
⭕ Syrian propaganda poster from the 1970s showing Hafez Al-Assad in the middle of a crowd in a style combining Eastern, Soviet and Chinese visual elements.
Kissinger had a real, unsimulated terror of Hafez Al-Assad. He said that just talking to him “makes you feel the abyss at your feet and start sweating”.
Lebanese politicians, devious before the Eternal, were terrified of him, because the slightest offense against him would sooner or later be paid for by a bombing.
The US Secretaries of State, who were his enemies, recognized his great sense of strategy, which his son Bashar never had. It’s true that he was never destined for power. It was the death of his elder brother Bassel that propelled him by default to the head of Syria.
[and this is why both Axes of Resistance tolerated and bolstered the old Assad regime. And explains the ongoing orgy of celebration of the Anglo-Zionist side. The Baathists were “our sons of bitches” that kept the filthy barbarians outside the gates. There were no illusions beyond the prevailing modus vivendi on either side. Until the old regime fell apart internally and ceased to be useful, or even have basic impulse of self-preservation]

⭕ Soviet propaganda poster celebrating 300 years of fraternal friendship after the Union of Russia and Ukraine.

This fraternal friendship turned into animosity, then hostility and now a clear and unbounded homicidal obsession.

Life is like that. Yesterday’s friends are tomorrow’s enemies. Yesterday’s enemies are today’s friends. Nothing lasts. Not even fraternal friendship…
⭕ Former Syrian soldiers continue to ambush HTS elements and their allies in Latakia province. We don’t know whether this is guerrilla warfare, but it seems that former Syrian soldiers have set up armed groups.
⭕ Aerial bombardments near Tartous. U.S.-Zionist coalition strikes come dangerously close to Russian military bases. |media|
⭕ Explosions continue near Tartous. Huge arms and ammunition depots are exploding.
⭕ Earthquake measuring 3.0 on the open Richter scale (old measurement) near Tartus, Syria…
[this was due to the cooking off and chain reaction of exploding massive arms depots]
⭕ Iraq confirms that the Iraqi detainees in Syria’s Sednaya prison are terrorists who have committed blood crimes, and that they will not be allowed to return to Iraq under any circumstances.

As a result, the propaganda of Al-Jazeera, Al-Arabya and CNN portraying these detainees as victims of the Assad regime’s tyranny is taking a beating.
⭕ Palestinian resistance in the Jabalia refugee camp in Northern Gaza strip continues. The Zionist army no longer declares its dead. |media|
[always keep this in mind. Their current celebrations over Syria are cover to hide the hysteria over unsustainable losses; the Palestinians alone have dealt death strokes to the zionazi project. Regardless of how many criminal compradores in the region kneel to the satanists, the Resistance shall endure and retain potency and ability to attrit, unto the Second Descent. This is carved into Eschatological lore. This Pax Judaica, submerged and drowning in a sea of enemies who have easy reach rather than the traditional distant island pirate base, will be the last, and most ephemerous and fearful, iteration of the Last Satanic Empire of the 5,000-year-old Babylonian System]
⭕ The aerial bombardment of Syrian ballistic missile depots near Tartous is causing earthquakes, and people are wondering how an army with such an arsenal couldn’t hold out for a week against a fairly weak rebellion…
[when the head rots and the hearts give away, it is game over for any people. The Moshiach/ Dajjal/ AntiChrist was foredained to be the most terrible tribulation besetting mankind for a reason. No ordinary mortal can overcome his Legions]
⭕ Do you remember that cheap CNN propaganda showing the live release of a prisoner from the regime’s Sednaya jails? Well, it looked like a crude, lame staged event, but wait, the icing on the cake: the prisoner, who swore he’d spent a century in detention, undergoing tortures the Kapos of Auschwitz could never have imagined, turned out to be a Syrian intelligence non-commissioned officer known for his extreme corruption in extorting money from prisoners’ families…
But where does CNN get these phony reporters who take the world for a bunch of morons?
⭕ Can you think of a country more corrupt than this empire of theft, plunder and lies? There isn’t one. It is first in everything.
⭕ There’s something hidden in this Syrian story: the Russian forces haven’t been attacked everywhere they’ve gone, and the HTS are opening up the roads and guiding them towards the coast. There’s been an agreement between Putin and Erdogan on the back of a third party, and it’s not Al-Assad because he’s out of the picture.
⭕ For an agreement to exist, it must be honored by all parties. So far, the agreement has not been honored.
The chances of the secret agreement in Syria becoming like the one in Minsk or Astana are 50 to 1.
⭕ The Deputy Commander of the Iranian Armed Forces confirms the Empire’s use of unknown technologies in its proxy wars to ensure the survival of the Zionist entity, and has this to say to Iran’s leaders:

Ignoring current and future threats and new technologies will lead to technological and strategic surprises if we are not careful.
⭕ US-Zionist coalition air raids targeting ex-Syrian army electronic warfare sites in Deir Ezzor.
⭕ The Zionist entity closes its embassy in Dublin and accuses Ireland of being an extremely anti-Semitic country…
⭕ The media won’t talk about it. Palantir has taken global power.
⭕ After five years of stagnation, Europe’s largest economy is now 5% down on its pre-pandemic levels. The main reasons are the loss of cheap Russian energy resources, falling exports and deindustrialization. Households are losing up to 2,500 euros a year, and major companies are planning mass lay-offs and production closures. The automotive industry could lose up to 40% of its added value in a decade, as production capacity is shifted abroad.

Bloomberg TV

And it’s not just Germany. All other EU countries are in the red.
Washington has made its move, and is sending Europe into “f****”, as Victoria Nuland put it shortly before retiring.

💠@Fotros Resistance:
⭕ More than 5,000 Palestinian children had their limbs amputated during the brutal Israeli attacks on the Gaza Strip.
⭕All major western outlets such as WSJ, Foxnews, and Israel’s own Channel 13 are now fearmongering about a possible attack against Iran.

Israeli Channel 13 claimed in a report, citing its sources, that the Israeli terror army’s final coordination with the Tel Aviv political establishment is underway to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities.

Whether or not it’s a bluff, the time is crucial to carry out TP3… Equipment that does not get used to strike the enemy, ends up in ashes like in Syria

💠@imetatronink:
⭕ ‼️ The Great Drone Invasion

Several times in recent days I have been asked:

“What’s your theory on the mysterious drones seen over New York and New Jersey?”

Here is my universal answer to these queries
[might be nuke-sniffers training or seeding airborne infectious baddies; it also covers “the aliens are coming” base. The dregs of the Empire of Lies & Illusions! Choking on their own fetid narratives]
🔻 Brandon: It’s our stuff. We’ve been experimenting with transmedium drones for a decade. Now we’re testing them en masse.
🔻Anthony Swan: 💯 correct. Current NATO war against Russia should have put this myth of western “superior weapons” to rest.
🔻 Brandon: Most of the stuff that NATO gave to Ukraine was junk.
🔻 WS: That is complete nonsense. Demonstrably untrue in every respect.
📜 Top Shelf
🔻 Brandon: I said “most” for a reason. And, yes, the French AMX-10RC, for instance, fleet that was sent was literal junk. Some of the air defense systems were not. Do not paint with a wide brush. Even the Bradleys are not our best fighting vehicles.
[life would be so much more simple, and bearable I suppose, having a noggin like Brandons..]
🔻 WS: You cherry-picked the single outlier, of which only a handful were sent by the French, and then immediately withdrawn.

What IFV is superior to the Bradley?

Your argument is categorically false.

Did you even read the short article I linked?

Here is the most important part
🔻 WS: Retweets his old:
“‼️ Many believe the US military possesses “super-tech” (possibly alien-derived) that it will unleash on America’s foes if they ever become an annoyance to the interests of the empire.

I am confident this is an American exceptionalist fairy tale”
🔻 C2: These drones are likely some advanced tech which the USN is testing on their own shores and military bases to likely check possible reaction times by local agencies, stress test the drones in various environments and weather conditions. Drones are very clearly man made.
🔻 Brandon: We’ve got transmedium drones. It’s not jingoism. It’s a fact. China is getting them, too.
🔻 WS: Yeah? What do they do? What military advantage derives from these “transmedium drones“?
[LOL. Will! That’s the new optical catch-word; “transmedium” is the new “stealth” or “wunderwaffe.”]
🔻 Brandon: They can traverse undersea and air. And it apparently freaks the denizens of New Jersey out.
🔻 WS: Yes, I understand the meaning of “transmedium“.

What is the military utility of these purported devices?
🔻 Brandon: It just adds another delivery and/or surveillance capability into the toolkit.
🔻 WS: Sounds like the same kind of overpriced / overengineered / unreliable / underperforming novelty platforms the American boutique arms manufacturers have wasted time and money on for many decades.

No doubt the marketing brochures promise it will be a world-beating “game-changer”.
🔻 Brandon: You’re talking to the guy who p*ssed off the aircraft carrier cabal so much that I lost my job over it. So, I’m with you on being skeptical. But that’s the explanation for why they’re building and testing these things.
🔻 WS: But, just to be clear, I don’t believe for a moment that the US military has developed and is operating practical and militarily useful “transmedium” drones.
🔻 Brandon: Well, I think what we’re seeing is that so I guess we’ll have to wait and find out.
🔻 WS: I wanna know what they do underwater. What is their undersea mission? Seriously. What is the point of them being able to submerge?
[ |media| ]
🔻 Brandon: It’s the same reason China is developing that super cavitating torpedo that is launched undersea and then becomes a missile in its terminal phase. It makes the weapon harder to track & harder to evade. Again, whether it’s a decisive advantage or not is questionable.
🔻 WS: Non sequitur.

We’re talking about brightly lit slow-flying drones cruising leisurely at low altitudes.

The physics for an airborne vehicle are completely different than for a submersible vehicle.

Sorry Brandon, but in my view, the whole concept sounds ridiculous and useless.
🔻 Brandon: Fair enough but what I said about China is not a non sequitur at all. It’s the reason militaries are trying to develop transmedium vessels.
🔻 WS: The Chinese torpedo that (purportedly) uses short-duration rocket propulsion to exit the water and strike ships from above is not really demonstrating any revolutionary technology.

In any case, where is the evidence that “militaries are trying to develop transmedium vessels”?
🔻 C3: What if the aliens landed somewhere else….
[now we’re talkin’. My old Sicilian vet roommate who spent hours each day swaying on his high feet watching the X-Files must be in nirvana..]
🔻 WS: The aliens are also converted to the gospel of American exceptionalism. As far as they are concerned, Americans are the only interesting and worthwhile people on the planet.
⭕The F-35 is the Brewster Buffalo of the 21st century, but with a much higher cost and a much lower combat-capable rate.
🔻 WS: ‼️⚡️ F-35: The Endless Comedy of Errors

Few people even realize deliveries of new F-35s have been suspended for the past year.

Why are deliveries suspended?

Because they don’t work properly. 🤣 They have NEVER worked properly.

The F-35B (STOVL version) and the F-35C (carrier version) are particularly problem-ridden.

And now it looks like the earliest possible “fixed-by date” has been pushed well into the 2030s.

The F-35 is not now, and it likely never will be “combat-capable”. Like most US weapons systems, it was made to sell, not to fight.
🔻 C1: The Israelis are very impressed with their F35’s, they literally ripped up the Iranian air defence system on their own.
🔻 WS: Total myth. It did not happen.

Israeli F-35s did not dare for years to overfly Syrian air defenses. They launched stand-off missiles from outside AD coverage areas.

No Israeli F-35s crossed into Iran in the most recent strikes, and did NOT “rip up Iranian AD”.

#TheImaginaryWar
🔻 C1: Real all about it… |Sky Cope|
🔻 C1: The F35 is primarily designed for suppression of enemy air defences, the Israeli’s used them to great effect against Iranian S300 SAM missile batteries.

It’s also a pretty decent air superiority fighter, although that’s not its primary function.
🔻 WS: You have been deceived by propaganda.

Not a single Israeli aircraft of any type crossed from Iraq into Iran. And there has been zero credible evidence that Iranian air defenses incurred any meaningful damage, aside from the antique Hawk system that served as a decoy.
🔻 C1: Ok OK, if you don’t believe the Sky News version here’s the BBC’s reporting of the same event. |BBC Cope|
[Good Lord. We be terminal. Is there any hope for us humans facing the Mindwashing of the Moshiach???]
⭕ I cannot repeat often enough the truth contained in the post below. It focuses on the prospect of war with Russia, but it applies equally to a US war against Iran or China.

The US military is fatally overextended and much weaker and more operationally inept than widely believed.
🧵The Myth of Western Military Prowess
🔻 C1: Germany is also part of the west though , their army was pretty good .
[Bad example buddy. Baaaaaaaad]
🔻 WS: And yet they were comprehensively destroyed by the Russians.
🔻 C2: I follow your argumentation, which to me is very persuasive. But is not the REAL question: Do THEY know what you know? The Wehrmacht‘s quartermaster had figured out well before June 1941 that »Barbarossa« could not work due to lacking logistics. They still started it …
🔻 WS: I have no doubt a few smart people remain in the Pentagon who understand the very real limitations of the US military.

But that doesn’t mean the #EmpireAtAllCosts cult will not prevail in launching a disastrous war against Russia, China, or Iran in the not-so-distant future.
🔻 C3: Romans and Persians getting exhausted from war, only for Arabs to take over. History is repeating itself in slow-motion.
[exactly. Another purpose of this western Drang, even if it doesn’t go nuclear . Zionazis intend to inherit. And they shall, for the mere months of their survival anyway]
🔻 C4: Maybe that’s what it will take to get rid of the criminal enterprise that is the Western Bloc once and for all.
⭕ [cont. thread]
🔻Lee Slusher:
Casualty Estimates in Ukraine (and in general) …
🔻 Анжел Божинов: you wouldn’t see the exceptionally high numbers of volunteers — month after month after month. In fact, you’d see demonstrations in the streets of Russian cities.

You’ve just admitted that you have no clue about Russia and Russians.

1. Russia pays ≈10 median yearly salaries in 1 year just for enlisting the Russian occupational forces in Ukraine. Not to mention payments for WIA and KIA.
2. Russians fully support the invasion, since ≈97% voted for Putin and communists/socialists. There is no notable anti-war movement even abroad, so there will be no protests in Russia. Only a military defeat could spark the unrest and revolts.
[Good God. This could be Ripper’s grandson the way he talks. A mind that is absolutely shut..]
🔻 WS: A NAFO bot spewing typical NAFO nonsense.
⭕ [cont. thread]
‼️ Iran Is the Decisive Battlefield
.
.
.
The loss of Syria means absolutely NOTHING absent the defeat of Iran.

The Masters of Empire understand this fact.

They KNOW they cannot fight the Russians in eastern Europe.

They KNOW they cannot fight the Chinese in east Asia.

Therefore, Iran remains the only option.

IRAN IS THE DECISIVE BATTLEFIELD.

If the empire doesn’t choose to fight for hegemony there, there will be no hegemony left to fight for.
🔻 C1: Hello W. This is an excellent point. Who will attack Iran, the jihadists? It doesn’t give the strength. Israel? She is exhausted and can’t handle Hamas. EU? He only wants.You have to invade Iran if you want to dominate it. who will do it? Are the forces in balance?
🔻 WS: The US will NEVER attempt a ground invasion of Iran. It would require a million-man army and every piece of equipment, ammo, and aircraft in the entire American inventory.

And even IF such a force could be assembled, it could not be sustained for more than just a few weeks.
⭕ 🎸 Ashes to Ashes

I maintain a collection of what I personally regard as “perfect” songs. They’re mostly really simple. Like this Steve Earle classic: great lyric, three chords, and a harmonica solo. Great minimalist masterpiece.
[why we love Will. Even the song titles are properly attuned to the times]
⭕🔻 C1: Meanwhile, the Telegram channel military observer reports that in Ain al-Arab (Kobani), Sarrin and Ain Issa, US forces would occupy bases evacuated by Russian troops.
🔻 C2: I would say, a great strategic achievement for Turkey and the US.
(don’t know if @imetatronink agrees)
🔻 WS: “strategic achievement”

You keep using those words. I don’t think they mean what you think they mean.
⭕🔻 Armchair Warlord: While we’re at it, Doris Miller was a war hero and deserves to have his name on a destroyer – but not an aircraft carrier.

If you feel compelled name an aircraft carrier after a black person, Martin Luther King Jr. or Frederick Douglass would be far more appropriate as extraordinarily prominent American political figures.
[Good God. Don’t give the crazies an idea. They would do it in a heartbeat, the same way their spokesmen right now are mostly brown. Imagine using a gunboat named after a principled abolitionist to rape and enslave billions of black, brown, red, white and yellow men… shameless savages]
🔻 WS: USS Frederick Douglass has a nice ring to it.

But it would be a mistake to build more aircraft carriers until their future mission and viability are clearly established.
🔻 C2: Put me down for the USS Thomas Sowell
🔻 WS: Frederick Douglass has been underappreciated and under-honored for far too long. He was an absolutely brilliant man, and a giant among men in his day.
🔻 C3: Maybe start mass producing cheap naval ”drone mothership platforms”? 🤔
[Yeah. And name the first one after another mad leader of another possessed Empire: Xerxes]
⭕🔻 Lord Bebo: 🇷🇺🇺🇦Ukraine has one million men under arms.

Ahahahah

Solders this week just walked in into a position at Pokrovsk, because it was empty. Where are the millions men?

Ohh man
🔻 Armchair Warlord: Ergo why Western leaders are constantly lobbying the Ukrainians to press-gang more troops, I guess.

It’s always been an open question to me whether NATO’s equipment or Ukraine’s men would run out first, I think we’re going to find out that it’s the latter.
🔻 WS: I suspect both things are happening at the same time, and are interrelated.
⭕ 📜 Dictating Terms
🔻 C1: Chatgpt4o trying to offer a conservative’s view of how Trump can end Ukraine War while accepting the validity of @imetatronink’s points:

To address the challenge of ending the Ukraine war as outlined by the military analyst, Trump’s approach should be pragmatic, acknowledging the realities on the ground while leveraging his strengths in negotiation and unconventional diplomacy. Here’s how Trump could potentially chart a course to bring the conflict to an end:

A Multi-Pronged Strategy to End the Ukraine War

Acknowledge Current RealitiesTrump must recognize and publicly admit the military and industrial strength that Russia currently wields, particularly in its own sphere of influence. This acknowledgment is not a concession but a foundation for pragmatic diplomacy. This approach would align with his reputation for calling out failed policies and ineffective narratives.

Shift from Maximalist Demands

The U.S. and NATO must recalibrate their goals to emphasize pragmatic outcomes over ideological imperatives. Instead of insisting on complete Russian withdrawal or Ukraine’s NATO membership, Trump could propose a framework focused on:Neutrality for Ukraine: A legally binding commitment to Ukraine’s neutrality, with security guarantees from major powers.
Autonomy for Donbas and Crimea: Allowing regions under Russian control to retain a degree of autonomy or self-determination, possibly under international monitoring.

Leverage Economic Incentives

Trump’s strength lies in deal-making and economic leverage. He could propose:The phased rollback of sanctions tied to verifiable Russian de-escalation.
Encouragement of international investment in rebuilding Ukraine as a buffer zone, with guarantees that ensure both Western and Russian economic interests are protected.

Divide and Conquer Diplomacy

Exploit existing fissures within Russia’s leadership and oligarchic class by offering targeted incentives. For instance:Quiet assurances that cooperation will lead to protection for specific economic sectors or individuals.
Highlight the costs of prolonged conflict for Russia’s broader strategic goals, especially its relations with China and the Global South.

Strengthen Backchannel Communications

Trump has a history of bypassing traditional diplomatic channels. By establishing direct, informal communication with Putin, he could gauge Russia’s red lines while offering assurances of a deal that allows Putin to save face domestically.

Reframe NATO’s Role

Propose that NATO focus on a broader European security framework that includes Russia as a stakeholder. This could take the form of:A joint European security council to discuss military activities in Eastern Europe.
Moratoriums on NATO exercises near Russian borders in exchange for reciprocal actions.

Public Optics and Rhetoric

Trump excels at shaping public narratives. He could frame this initiative not as capitulation but as a bold move to “restore peace” and “make Europe secure again.” This aligns with his “America First” doctrine by emphasizing reduced U.S. military commitments abroad.

Prepare for Hard Bargains

While presenting the “deal of the century,” Trump must be prepared to offer a credible “stick” alongside the “carrot.” This might include:A temporary surge in U.S. military aid to Ukraine to stabilize the front lines during negotiations.

Implicit threats of broader economic isolation of Russia if talks fail.

Countering Risks and Criticism
Domestically: Presenting this approach as a bold, strategic pivot to save American lives and resources can resonate with his base. Framing the war as a “European problem” reinforces the perception of prioritizing U.S. interests.

Internationally: Trump should engage European allies early, ensuring they see this as a step toward a secure and economically stable Europe, minimizing resistance from NATO hardliners.

Putin’s Calculus: Offering a deal that meets some Russian security concerns while granting tangible economic relief could make continued aggression less attractive for Putin.

Avoiding Escalation: Ensuring that any U.S. or NATO military actions are defensive and clearly framed as deterrence measures will reduce the risk of direct confrontation.

By positioning himself as the ultimate dealmaker and understanding the complex dynamics at play, Trump can craft a bold strategy that aligns with his strengths, addresses Russian concerns, and ensures a peaceful resolution without unnecessary escalation. This path requires humility, pragmatism, and a clear-eyed assessment of what can realistically be achieved.
[LOL. When the demonic Chatgpt makes more sense than the crazies from the basement]
🔻 WS: Now ask “What will new US president Donald Trump do if, as a condition to ending the Ukraine War, Vladimir Putin demands NATO return to its 1997 borders?”
🔻 C1: Chat’s lengthy response:

Trump’s Likely Response

1. Reject Public Concession While Proposing a Face-Saving Compromise

Public Stance: Trump would almost certainly reject the demand outright in public. Agreeing to a rollback of NATO to its 1997 borders would alienate U.S. allies in Central and Eastern Europe, severely damage NATO’s credibility, and risk domestic political backlash.

Private Negotiation: Trump may seek a compromise behind closed doors, offering symbolic or limited de-escalation measures that do not fundamentally weaken NATO’s presence but allow Putin to claim a partial victory. For example:

A freeze on NATO’s further expansion (e.g., Ukraine and Georgia).

A drawdown of NATO forces or military exercises in specific countries close to Russia, such as the Baltic states or Poland, while maintaining existing NATO memberships.

2. Framing NATO Adjustments as “America First”

Trump has long criticized NATO as outdated and disproportionately reliant on U.S. funding. He could frame any negotiated reduction in NATO’s forward posture as a move to save American taxpayer dollars and reduce military commitments abroad while keeping the U.S. “strong at home.”

3. Divide and Pressure NATO Allies

Trump has a history of pressuring NATO allies to align with his vision. He might push NATO members, particularly in Western Europe (Germany, France, and Italy), to consider regional security guarantees or alternative arrangements for Eastern Europe. This could involve:

Bilateral security agreements between the U.S. and key allies outside of NATO’s formal framework.

Greater European defense spending and responsibility for security in Eastern Europe.

4. Economic and Diplomatic Incentives for Russia

To compensate for rejecting a 1997 border rollback, Trump might offer significant economic incentives, such as:

Relaxation of certain sanctions.

Opening avenues for Russian participation in global economic frameworks (e.g., G20 or WTO adjustments).

He would likely emphasize how such deals could benefit Russia’s economy and ensure Putin’s domestic political survival.

5. Explore Strategic Alternatives

Trump might propose a broader security framework outside NATO that includes Russia, similar to the idea of a “European Security Council.” Such a council could focus on mutual arms control, military de-escalation zones, and joint economic projects, allowing both sides to avoid direct confrontation.

6. Leverage China’s Role

Trump could engage China to pressure Russia for a more realistic deal, emphasizing Beijing’s interest in global stability for its economic ambitions. This triangulation could give him additional leverage in negotiations with Putin.

7. Play Hardball Where Necessary

If Putin persists in the 1997 borders demand, Trump might counter with threats of overwhelming economic isolation or military deterrence, emphasizing the high costs of continued aggression.

Trump’s unpredictability could serve as a bargaining tool, as Putin would need to weigh the risk of further U.S. military aid to Ukraine or destabilizing actions against Russian interests globally.

Balancing Domestic and International Risks

1. Domestic Audience: Trump would carefully shape his narrative for domestic consumption, framing any concessions or compromises as pragmatic deals that put “America First.” He would emphasize cost savings, avoiding “endless wars,” and preserving American leadership without unnecessary entanglements.

2. Allied Reactions: While maintaining NATO’s cohesion would be challenging, Trump might rely on personal diplomacy to assuage key allies. He could argue that scaling back certain NATO activities avoids escalating tensions and strengthens Europe’s ability to defend itself.

3. Managing Putin’s Expectations: Trump would likely avoid outright confrontation with Putin, aiming to negotiate a settlement that sidesteps maximalist demands while granting Putin enough symbolic gains to declare victory domestically.
[This is why the civilizational-states, under current configuration, are as doomed as Hezbollah’s old leadership. One cannot outthink and outwit such devilry in each detail. Just hand the red button to Medvedev or Chairman Kim or Ansarullah. Otherwise you’ll be sliced N diced in Hybrid Attrition. And piecemeal as currently occuring in West Asia]
🔻 WS: Interesting …
🔻 C2: Have you listened to JD Vance, or Tulsi Gabbard, or Vivek, or RFK, or Hegseth, discuss Ukraine? Not sure Trump, a consummate realist about power, who likely completely distrusts the Defense “blob”, will “dictate terms” – nor does MAGA expect him to do so.
🔻 WS: So you think Trump and his entourage will assent to Russia’s terms, wash their hands of the whole affair, and walk away?

⭕ 🔻 Armchair Warlord: Clearly a toxic stew of the competency crisis, the woke green agenda, incompetent contract management, and probably corruption.

This isn’t rocket science.
[This thing takes the cake from the F35 or the aptly named BUFF bomber]
🔻 WS: But don’t the “transmedium drones” swarming the eastern seaboard disprove the premises of the “competency crisis”?

Or does extraterrestrial competence not count? 😏
🔻 C2 : Will those drones are antigravity not conventional they use electromagnetic propulsion with which they can levitate hover silently go in air water and deep space and accelerate instantaneously can be used for everything you want they are perfect weapons.
⭕ The destruction of Syria will destabilize the region more in coming years than it already has been for decades — and that’s really saying something.

☝️ This pipelinestan saga is a red herring. It used to justify messianic grab for lebensraum and to destroy the central state in the Axis of Resistance (geography-wise). Fullstop.

The nefarious actors could care less about Europe, being dismantled and depopulated just as the arabs. And the criminals intend to reach “zero-carbon” in process of deindustrializing mankind through energy starvation; so how could they be sponsoring a new pipeline to the most developed region on earth?

Further, the two who most hate each other in the region are neighboring kin Qatar and KSA – why would the latter permit the former to benefit and transit on its land? Last, the Chaos which has reared in Syria will take at least a generation to quell. So forget about pipelines

💠 @ejmalrai:
⭕ Israel destroy roads, power lines, water networks and carry out bombardment in Quneitra as an intention to create a buffer zone, violating international laws and #Syria’s sovereignty.
⭕ Assad threw in his lot with MBS/UAE, refused to allow IR/Hezb to use their weapons stored there to fight IL, hoping thereby to get sanctions lifted. Hezb still fought successfully against IL who failed to get south of Litani R. Now he’s gone & HTS seems to want SY to be at peace.

Assad’s Removal and the Fragmentation of the “Axis of Resistance”: Israel Capitalises on His Exit

💠 @Sputnik Africa:
⭕ Israeli Air Force launches new strikes on Damascus – reports

Israel has carried out 52 airstrikes on Syrian military sites in Damascus, its surrounding countryside, as well as in Homs, Hama, and Daraa over the past four hours, according to local media.
[This morning, local time]

💠 @DDGeopolitics:
⭕  🇬🇪💬The Secretary General of Georgia’s ruling party, Kakha Kaladze, apologized for nominating Zurabishvili for president in 2018:

I have never spoken about this, but now I will allow myself to apologize to the population for the fact that it was through the efforts of the Georgian Dream that this woman ended up where she is now. A woman who serves not Georgia with hatred and malice, but foreign forces. Thank God that in the new year 2025, it will not be she who will congratulate the citizens of Georgia, but the new president.
⭕ ❗️The German ambassador, who declared the need to establish peace in Ukraine, should first of all address this appeal to the German government, believes the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Zakharova.

“We could also call upon the heavenly powers, but I’m not sure that the powers that protect the West are above ground level,” the diplomat quipped.

💠 @Intel Slava Z:
⭕ Hamas reported this morning that several Israeli hostages had been killed in new IDF strikes in the Gaza Strip.
Hamas claims that the attacks on the hostage site were targeted.

In Gaza itself, the genocide of the civilian population continues (several dozen civilians are killed every day), as well as battles in the ruins between Hamas and the IDF; despite the fact that Hamas is quite battered by the months-long war, it has so far managed to inflict certain losses on the IDF in urban battles.

💠 “Two Russian oil tankers sinking in Black Sea“

Scary times. What portals are they opening? The taking of Damascus for the Moshiach has earned them mighty rewards.. but the fat lady ain’t sung yet. Damascus, or a portion, will be retaken by the Resistance soon. The Descent will have an honorable waiting cadre

💠 @Sputnik Africa:
⭕ ❗️Russian troops have successfully stormed the city council building in the city of Kurakhovo in the Donetsk Republic and raised the Russian flag there, a Russian official tells Sputnik

Fighting continues in the city, Vladimir Rogov, chairman of one of the commissions of the Civic Chamber of Russia, said.
[Major milestones being reached. Soon Donbass will be wrapped up. Can you feel the psychic pain and sonic screams of the demonic Losers??]

💠 @Fotros Resistance:
⭕ 🇸🇾| HTS leader Abu al-Jolani:

• “We are not seeking to engage in a conflict with Israel.”
• We are in contact with Western embassies and holding discussions with the UK to restore diplomatic contact in Damascus.
• Our goals are clear [yes—they are very clear actually], and our plans are ready for reconstruction and development in Syria.

💠 @ejmalrai:
⭕ Turkey can’t attack the YPG in north-east #Syria while the Kurds there are under US protection. The Russians and the Syrian army tried to cross the Euphrates after ISIS, and the US killed hundreds of them in less than an hour. The Kurds won’t join Damascus without a deal.
⭕ Ahmad al-Shara, aka Abu Mohammad al-Joulanai, said, “We are not engaging in a conflict with Israel”.

This indicates an intention to sign a peace deal between Israel and Syria after negotiation, which will inevitably give birth to domestic resistance.
⭕️ Turkey announced that the Kurds in #Syria are the enemies of the new Syrian government. Israel media said that Ankara would down the Israeli plane supporting the Kurds in northeast Syria.
[How beautiful it would be to see Turks and Zion go at it. Alas, cousin Sültan knows where his bread is buttered]

💠 @Strategika51:
⭕ Satellite photographs (Maxar) of the only two Russian bases in Syria.

The Russians should flee what used to be called “Syria” before it’s too late.
[They appear to be doing so. It’s a hornet’s nest, where the least evil group intends to use them as hostages for bargaining with Zio-USUK, to be eventually sold & cashiered]
⭕ Elements of the HTS were targeted by former soldiers of the ex-Syrian army near Latakia. 4 dead and wounded.
[Many are saying the rise of a real resistance shouldn’t take long in Syria. And the AZE knows it, being well versed in Eschatology, seen in frenzy to demilitarize and deindustrialize Syria. Yet Greater Syria is blessed and shall inherit]
⭕ Perceiving a weakening of Iranian influence in the region, supporters of former Iraqi president Saddam Hussein took up arms again and called for the overthrow of the puppet Iraqi government. These calls are countered by calls to safeguard the country and prevent its demise.
⭕ Türkiye is emerging as the leading regional power in the Middle East.

The Lebanese Hezbollah, a simple non-state organization, absorbed the gigantic shock of the American-Zionist attack with many casualties, but prevented an invasion of Lebanon. From this point of view, the Lebanese Hezbollah’s fighting units demonstrated better organization and infinitely greater determination than the former Syrian army, which chose to throw in its weapons and join the rebellion. The Lebanese Hezbollah has survived blows that very few countries in the world can receive without disappearing completely from the face of the earth. The party will therefore continue to play a key role in Lebanon, but will now have to face up to three fronts.

Another player whose role is now unknown in the Middle East: Russia.

Iraq has become more artificial than when it was created by the British, and is likely to disintegrate at any moment.

Iran has lost its influence, but continues to play a role that has been undermined by the meteoric rise of Türkiye in the Middle East, Central Asia and the Horn of Africa.
⭕ Washington is asking the United Arab Emirates to finance and run a “de-radicalization” program for the surviving populations in the Gaza Strip. This enclave will be handed over to the Palestinian Authority if the latter reforms and accepts an audit by a trumvirate of Arab countries friendly to Washington.
⭕ In other words, it’s a question of reprogramming Gaza’s populations and transforming them.
[Oh Frenchie, ye of little faith. Resistance did not die. And it cannot die, even after they kill most arabs]
⭕ Let’s face it, Al-Joulani is an almost perfect Zelensky look-alike (with a height difference of +22 cm in favor of the Syrian Druze).
⭕ Al-Joulani adopts the same stance as Ankara towards Israel and all issues relating to regional affairs.

💠 @Seyed Mohammad Marandi:
⭕ Netanyahu is universally despised. Hence, his messages to the Iranian people strengthen the Islamic Republic both at home and abroad.

The same is true about Netanyahu and Biden taking credit for the fall of Syria. It makes people more suspicious about Al-Qaeda and its backers
⭕ Erdogan is working to destabilize Asia. But his alliance with Al-Qaeda will probably harm Turkey more than Central Asia or China.
⭕ The Zionist regime continues to bomb Syria’s key infrastructure and defense industries.

So far, Al-Qaeda has no problem with the airstrikes or the land grab
⭕ The Zionist regime continues to violate the “ceasefire” and murder Lebanese citizens.

Today, the regime’s drones murdered a young man driving his car in southern Lebanon.

Western media and Western diplomats are indifferent because they see Lebenese victims as Amalek, too.
⭕ The beginning of mass arrest of Shias in Latakia by Tahrir al-Sham   |media|
⭕ retweet:
The re-emergence of sectarianism in the region, historically stoked by imperial intervention, could be very disruptive to solidarity with Palestinians   |media|
⭕ Erdogan stabbed the Resistance in the back. Those who’ve been deceived by Western and regional propaganda will gradually wake up to reality.

But Erdogan is not Turkey. Even at the height of the dirty war against Syria, Iran preserved its cultural and economic ties with Ankara
⭕️ On @Dialogue_NRA
discussing Syria.

Netanyahu and Biden take credit for the fall of Damascus. They’ve destroyed Syria’s key infrastructure. Meanwhile, Netanyahu has carried out a land grab.

Jolani and Erdogan are being exposed as their impotent allies
⭕️ The forgotten but ongoing genocide.
#GazaHolocaust

☝️Mr. Jatras had this SIX years ago

He notes a detail many missed – the area oppostite Idleb had been garrisoned by best Syrian force (25th Tiger Forces) – which was stripped and removed south near Damascus, leaving the area to raw conscripts. The fix was in, step by step over the years..

It’s Bashover, it’s Assadone 😭 🙏

💠@imetatronink:
⭕ ⁉️ F-16s Shooting Down Russian Missiles?

“Ukrainian defenses shot down 81 missiles, including 11 cruise missiles that were intercepted by F-16 warplanes provided by Western allies earlier this year, Zelenskyy said.”

There are no Ukrainian F-16 pilots. |link|
🔻 C1: “There are no Ukrainian F-16 pilots.”
There are, rest assured.
🔻 WS: No there aren’t. Not even one. Any F-16s flying combat sorties in Ukraine are, without question, piloted by NATO-affiliated pilots.
🔻 C2: Lindsey Graham admitted as much in this article – “Retired” NATO pilots LOLz |link|
⭕🔻 BRICS News: JUST IN: 🇮🇱🇮🇷 Israel is preparing to strike Iranian nuclear facilities, Russian State Media says.
🔻 Brandon : Well, I told you it was coming to this. @imetatronink
🔻 WS: Tra dire e fare c’è mezzo un mare.
🔻 C2: This was never not going to happen. Israel was not going to sit by and let Iran start building a Nuclear arsenal thus negating the advantage of their own in the region… bad enough that AQ provided Pakistan with the tech.
🔻 WS: I am persuaded of two things in relation to this topic:

1) Iran is already nuclear-capable.

2) Israel cannot destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities. And if they try, they will pay a steep price for their failure.
🔻 Brandon: 1) agreed and I say as much in my book on Iran (the only question is how advanced is their arsenal and, specifically, how reliable are their delivery systems).

2) As I note in that thread, Israel striking Iranian facilities is the trigger for bringing US into war.
🔻 WS: My challenge to the idea that the US could prosecute a “successful” war against Iran remains unchanged:

Describe for me a strategically meaningful objective and a credible order of battle for a US war against Iran.

To my knowledge, no one yet has taken up this challenge.
🔻 Brandon: Well, for starters, they’re going to blitz the bejesus out of suspected WMD facilities. Where we go from there is very in the air. Netanyahu has already tipped his hand in that he’s been making these weird appeals to the Iranian people to rise up, etc., so clear there’s some hope that the Iranians will take care of the heavy lifting for us. But don’t forget about the presence of groups, like MEK, that have long had influence and access to key US leaders (many of whom are coming back into power). There is probably going to be some cockamamie cover regime change attempt at some point, too.
🔻 WS: “blitz the bejesus” is not a credible order of battle.

Describe for me the force structure the US is going to assemble and deploy to accomplish a “blitz” deep into Iran against hardened nuclear facilities deep in the bowels of a mountain, and surrounded by a densely layered air defense system.
🔻 Brandon: Let me think if I want to do this here.
[LOL]
🔻 WS: Doesn’t have to be done here. Make it a formal article. All the better. I very seriously want someone to describe for me a meaningful strategic objective and a credible order of battle for a US military campaign against Iran.
🔻 Dr. Anton: |popcorn|
🔻 Brandon: As of today, I’m out at Nat Interest. Lol
🔻 WS: When one door closes, another opens … or so I’ve heard.
🔻 WS: In an case, even though its focus is primarily on a putative war against Russia, I include Iran in my arguments contained in this article. I submit its essential thesis is equally applicable to a putative US war against Iran.
📜 Staggering Towards the Abyss
⭕🔻 C1: Ridiculous propaganda on NBC tonight

Blame everything on Russia or China

The US ruling class can’t rationalize its own disgusting, violent existence
🔻 WS: The inhabitants of the so-called “western democracies” are, with vanishingly few exceptions, the most easily propagandized people in human history.
🔻 C2: I blame the education system to a large degree. Instead of teaching people critical thinking skills, it’s usually just more propaganda and indoctrination. Multiply that times 2 or 3 generations…
🔻 WS: It amazes me that the overwhelming majority of the student protesters are wearing utterly useless masks, outdoors — for what possible reason I cannot imagine. 🤦‍♂️
[the poor kids are traumatized, from the satanic covid ritual which taught the masses submission. To tolerate muzzling like obedient canines]

⭕ 🔻Jim Jatras:
🇷🇺: “You’d better not attack our territory, or ELSE!”

🇺🇸/NATO: [Hits 🇷🇺]

🇷🇺: “That’s it! We warned you! Take THIS!” [Hits 🇺🇦]

🇺🇸/NATO: [Hits 🇷🇺 again]

🇷🇺: “What! You didn’t learn! You ASKED for it! [Hits 🇺🇦 again]

Wash.
Rinse.
Repeat |link|
🔻Orthodox Reflections: Putin is cautious to a fault. It makes the incessant “war mongering” label leveled against him ironic.
🔻 Jim Jatras: Yes, “…. to a fault” is correct.
🔻 C3: Perhaps Putin is just trying to run out the clock on the Blinken/Biden wackos in the hope of more sanity from the forthcoming Trump administration. However, it seems that these Dr. Strangeloves might strike first anyway if they don’t get the “provocation” they seek.
[Russia and Iran.. up in a tree.. K.I.S.S.I.N.G… being cooked the same way]
🔻 Jim Jatras: Re “…in the hope of more sanity from the forthcoming Trump administration.”

Ah, yeah, well, there’s the other problem…
🔻 WS: Yes … but it also must be taken into account that, since November 21st, the US/NATO have launched a total of 25 missiles (19 ATACMS + 6 Storm Shadow) into Russia, of which only 3 have eluded Russian air defenses. That is an abysmal 88% failure rate — almost comical futility.
[it ain’t the success rate that counts. It is how the poor optics is used against all the civilizational-states, prolonging our agony]
🔻 Warwick Powell | 鲍韶山: Clearing out dud inventory by the looks of it. This is profoundly embarrassing & illuminating. The much-vaunted superior 🤷‍♂️ western military equipment is anything but. High price ≠ combat effectiveness.
🔻 WS: The ATACMS and Storm Shadow / SCALP are coming straight from US operational stockpiles. They are indeed now seen as effectively obsolete against Russia, but they’re US/NATO top shelf weaponry.
📜 Top Shelf
🔻 C5: Quite true. But Putin’s response nonetheless emboldens the West. B/w this and Syria, our rulers believe that they can use proxies to do whatever they want to Russia, and Putin will only retaliate against the proxies, not the West.
🔻 Jim Jatras: Exactly. What 🇷🇺 considers caution & show of strength, US/NATO take as weakness & fear, which spurs them to further escalation.
🔻 C6: maybe Russia doesn’t want to rise to Biden’s bait for retaliation to make Trump’s efforts to negotiate with the Russians more difficult?
🔻 WS: I don’t believe the Russians care one bit, at this point, about Biden, Trump, or any other ridiculous nonsense emanating out of the United States.

The Russians have their own agenda, and they are currently in control of both its pace and the ultimate outcome.
🔻 WS: I submit we are witnessing NOT a manifestation of US/NATO being emboldened to further escalation, but rather the manifestation of US/NATO desperation born of the understanding that losing this big stakes proxy war will mean the end of NATO and the EU as practicable structures.
🔻 Jim Jatras: I think those are 2 sides of the same coin. They’re looking defeat in the face but think they can dissuade 🇷🇺 from imposing that defeat by threatening irrational escalation.
🔻 WS: But Jim, the “defeat” only worsens the longer this goes on.

Time is on Russia’s side. The original Ukrainian army has been comprehensively destroyed. Two and a half cobbled together NATO/AFU armies have been destroyed. European NATO has been effectively demilitarized. The US has long-since been dipping into its own operational stockpiles to “keep the game going” at a barely sustainable level.

Meanwhile, the US has expended LARGE amounts of its stockpiles in Israel, the Levant, and the Red Sea region.

To me, so long as the Americans are willing to keep this going in the ineffectual fashion they have been doing for almost three years, why not let them?!

The US/NATO is being demilitarized piecemeal, while inflicting negligible damage against Russia.

“But muh Russian red lines! The humiliation of permitting US strikes without the immediate gratification of retribution!”

SO WHAT?

The object of war is to destroy the enemy army. That’s precisely what the Russians are doing.

#TheBigAttrition
🔻 C7: Biden’s trying to make things harder for Trump, he’s escalating further, trying to provoke the Russians, he knows Ukraine’s losing badly, he’s so desperate that he’s used the NKorean troop story to justify more aid & more escalation & get SKorea to provide weapons
🔻 Jim Jatras: I agree. But mere fact that more fitting retaliation could force Trump to continue the war shows how empty Moscow’s hope for anything reasonable from him is in the first place.
🔻 WS: What induces you to believe Moscow entertains “hope for anything reasonable” to come from its dealings with the US?

I see no indication whatsoever that the Russians “hope” for any such thing, nor that they are angling for some sort of “easy” resolution to this conflict.
🔻 Jim Jatras:
1. Draft treaties Dec 2021. Rejected.
2. Small force Feb 2022, pullback from Kiev.
3. “Almost” had “deal” Istanbul 2022.
4. Peace offer June 2024.

At every step, invitation to other side to talk. Where’s evidence of serious victory intention? Why bridges still over Dniepr?
[OK. I am disappointed in Mr. Jatras, whose articles I’ve read for a very long time. Why assume the Ultimata or the early force posture or the peace offers were sincere?? Russia knows how to play the game, and has a bunch of rowdy multipolar cats to herd..]
🔻 C7: not sure if Moscow hopes for very much from Trump, tho certainly Putin & Peskov have said a couple of positive things about him. I think the Russians are a far more pragmatic, realistic people than we often give them credit for. (cont)
🔻 Jim Jatras: A lot of them are. Many are all too gullible. VVP has consistently shown himself among the latter
🔻 WS: I vehemently disagree with this interpretation of events over the course of the past quarter century.

I think Putin specifically, and “The Kremlin” in general, have managed their affairs with remarkable wisdom, patience, and strategic acumen.
🔻 Jim Jatras: Yes, we disagree. Even Putin has admitted he fell for the Minsk 2 deception.

Patience, caution, yes. Acumen, wisdom – the jury is out.
🔻 WS: I don’t believe AT ALL that Putin was deceived by either of the Minsk agreements. I am long on record saying so. He was willing to entertain the charade in order to buy time.

The simple reality is that Russia was NOT READY before February 2022 to enter into a war that could quickly evolve into a direct US/Russia conflict.

They were barely ready in February 2022.

But here at the end of 2024, they are an order of magnitude stronger, even as the US/NATO is an order of magnitude weaker.

I cannot apologize for my obstinance on this point, because I honestly cannot conceive of how the Russians could have managed their affairs with any greater success than they have achieved.

They are on the cusp of consummating the single most strategically meaningful military triumph since the end of WW2, and they are doing so in the midst of an unprecedented end of empire epoch, fraught with unprecedented dangers.
🔻 C8: Possibly, but I am more in the camp of Putin wanting the Minsk accords to be enforced and latter when he sent that convoy in the direction of Kiev he thought it would bring people back to the table. His miscalculation is the fact the USA and some NATO countries are run by lunatics.
🔻 WS: What most people neglect to remember is that the primary Russian force was NOT dedicated to the “feint and fix” operation in Kiev, but rather to the Donbass, where the primary Ukrainian force had been concentrated over the course of the previous several months.

Between February and July 2022, the Ukrainian force in the Donbass was effectively wrecked, with the supposedly “elite” force in Mariupol effectively annihilated.

Legendary Marine General Paul K. Van Riper described the matter in detail, as I reported in the August 2022 article linked here:
https://xcancel.com/imetatronink/status/1680392039782023170
🔻 Hungarian Inquirer: I agree, plus They also needed time to prepare for Western monetary warfare (kudos to Nabiullina)
🔻Βατραχομυομαχία: One important thing should be noted. Despite (or maybe because of) his KGB experience, Putin is a firm believer in the international (and domestic) law. Signing both Minsk agreements was not a game for him, but a rational pathway to achieve piece in the region.⬇️

He expected his countersigners to act in good faith and it’s not his fault that they conspired to violate the agreements so brazenly. And another thing – he started as a pro-West liberal. It took years of betrayals to make him into a sober realist that he is slowly becoming now.
🔻 WS: All of this is a post hoc western narrative. In my opinion it bears little if any resemblance to what Putin thought, nor to the actions he was taking all along.
🔻Βατραχομυομαχία: Not exactly. We in Russia view Putin as a softie who procrastinated for too long unnecessarily, out of desire to appear as a reliable partner to his “partners”. Sanctions came anyway, but instead of solving the Ukro problem right then in 2014, he stalled – causing the war.
🔻 Gregorio: Ukraine is still holding the line. Recent event might give them new victory belief.
🔻 WS: What?

The “line” is collapsing everywhere. The casualties since the August kamikaze raid into Kursk have been shocking.

What “recent event” could possibly serve to “give them new victory belief”?
🔻 Gregorio: The Russian defeat in Syria (or it looks like it in media) might embolden them.
🔻 WS: How have the Russians been “defeated”?

And what would it matter if the US feels “emboldened”?

The US/NATO/Israel bloc is, comparatively speaking, an empty shell. They are not capable of prosecuting a month-long campaign, let alone a major war against Iran, or Russia, or China.
🔻Olivia: Gregorio is alluding to the media war. The West still controls the high ground in the battlefield for the mind. They will continue to feel emboldened as long as this is the case, that is, until they are completely and utterly destroyed on the real battlefield.
🔻 Jim Jatras: That’s why the West hopes to bluff Moscow into another phony deal.
And, no, they are not any longer piecemeal destroying NATO. Materially, that’s already been done. Now, they’re just killing off 🇺🇦 manpower while refraining from ending 🇺🇦 state, which would politically doom NATO.
🔻 WS: I simply do not believe the Russians are susceptible to a “phony deal”. They went along with the ridiculous Minsk agreements solely because they weren’t yet ready to fight NATO, if it came to that.

They were buying time.

Now they will dictate terms.
🔻 Jim Jatras: If you or I were in charge of the Kremin, we’d see it exactly that way.

Buy we ain’t.
🔻 WS: Well … this then is our irresolvable point of contention. I perceive “The Kremlin” as much more determined and resolute to achieve their strategic aims than you apparently do.
🔻 Jim Jatras: Who’s saying this?

I don’t rule it out. Many people in Moscow say the same. OTOH, there are still many pro Western liberals in the power center. VVP isn’t a dictator, he’s a balancer.
[and that’s precisely the seam the satanists aim for in all civilizational-states. And shall hit]
⭕🔻S p r i n t e r:
The Times of Israel: We are preparing attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities
THE KEY MOMENT IS THAT SYRIAN AIR DEFENSE IS DISABLED
The Israeli newspaper reports: “Our air force is stepping up preparations for potential strikes on Iran. We have destroyed more than 85 percent of Syria’s air defense systems, which gives our planes and drones complete air superiority.”
🔻 C2: IRGC spokeperson denied recieving S400 from Russia, Iran only has S300. He said our own Air-defence systems are far better than S400.
🔻 Dr. Anton: Is this true up to and including today?
I bet we don’t know.
I also bet Iran has spent this time ensuring (by whatever means) she has excellent AD.
Of course, 🇷🇺 stands ready to support and assist with that process.
🔻 WS: The Russians have NOT given S-400s to Iran, but may operate some of their own in Iran.

Iran has S-300s, Tor, Pantsir, and has also developed its own analogues for those systems.

It was an Iranian-made Buk analogue (3 Khordad) that was used to shoot down the RQ-4 drone in 2019.
🔻 Dr. Anton: Was a collection of the aforementioned which scared off the 🇮🇱 during their attack?
Or…..something as yet unidentified?
🔻 WS: It seems to me the only thing that would have “scared off” the Israelis is that they discovered they were being tracked by a type of radar they did not anticipate.

The Iranians have built their own long-range AD systems, and have apparently developed some excellent radars.
🔻 C2: I am not sure about this being true, but some sources said that Israel saw some super advanced Jamming system by Iran that would cause their fighters to fall, or maybe simple answer would be they feared their fighters getting hit by Iran Air defence in Iraq.
🔻 WS: Losing an F-35 to Iranian AD would have been a strategic (and PR) disaster for not only Israel, but for the US/NATO.

That said, we’re now speeding towards the day when the myth of US “stealth” is going to be shattered by a sobering dose of reality.
📜 Staggering Towards the Abyss
[this will be a consolation for what Iran’s about to experience: it will at least be a confirmed murder-suicide. It is unlikely they’ll collapse like the decrepit Baath regime. In forcing it the old-fashioned way, Iran will do mankind the service of escorting out the Old Order..]
🔻 C2: I would be scared too if I was going to attack an air defence like this. 93% of missiles were intercepted. |media|
🔻 C7: Stephen Bryen is generally one of the least bad MSM military/strategic commentators but his take is that the F-35 proved itself against the S-400 in the second IL attack on Iran, which requires either intentional mis-reading or a perversely selective one.
🔻 WS: Sorry, but although he occasionally puts out something decent, I am not at all a fan of Bryen. I think his sources are consistently suspect, and his analysis is often illogical.

YMMV
🔻 WS: As for the most recent Israeli “attack” on Iran, I am convinced NONE of their aircraft crossed the Tigris into Iran. And there was never any credible, persuasive evidence they hit anything of significant value besides the ancient Hawk system that was probably used as a decoy.
🔻 Dr. Anton: Most of 🇺🇸 thinks their military is virtually invincible. I know, members of my family think like this
🔻 WS: They ARE “invincible” … against adversaries with little or no capability to shoot back.
⭕🔻 Tom Luongo (Head Sneetch): They were always going to ask this ‘sacrifice’ of the people of the EU for the common good of perpetual war with Russia… fought with US money, men, and materiel, of course.

Rutte is whistling past NATO’s graveyard. |media|
🔻 WS: You have to admit it’s impressive they were able to find someone even more stultifying than Stultenberg was.
[another 50-year-old batchelor who was groomed by Herr Klaus Schwab]
⭕ [cont. thread]
🔻 Eve: US to build 47 new military bases in Scandinavia in coming years, per Patrick Hennigsen. That means the US, militarising Europe like never before, plans to make war on Russia. Europeans, the sacrificial lambs in this plot, better wake up. @imetatronink @chinahand @MarkAmesExiled
🔻 WS: And which existing US bases will they shutter to cannibalize the troops and equipment necessary to staff these 47 new military bases?

Because the empire is already acutely overextended; its recruitment greatly diminished; its equipment decrepit; its replenishment deficient.
🔻 C2: They can host forward deployed European NATO soldiers at the Scandinavian frontier bases. Moreover, with the direction the U.S. is going, the kayfabe uniparty police state could institute conscription and martial law (under carefully crafted euphemisms)
🔻 WS: As I have long argued, I am convinced NATO and the EU will be casualties of this war. They will, over the course of the next few years, cease to function as credible political / military / economic alliances. Schisms will arise throughout Europe; allegiances will change.

⭕🔻 Lee Slusher:
Casualty Estimates in Ukraine (and in general)

Estimating casualties, both killed and wounded, is a legitimately difficult analytical problem to solve. Any estimate is necessarily a range based on many sources, each of varying degrees of specificity, veracity, and timeliness.

Those who confidently try to sell particular figures are like the ratings agencies in 2008 that labeled CDOs as AAA when they really contained both good debt and a bunch of slop. Here’s how this really works.

On the far ends of a range are the official numbers from the warring parties. We know these are inaccurate. Combatants have an obvious interest in concealing the true extent of their losses. Then we try to fill in the gaps with other data points:

How many vehicles were destroyed and how many occupants do these typically carry? (Here we often don’t know if the vehicles were full, if the occupants were KIA/WIA, or if they survived unharmed—we guess.)

How many replacements did units receive after engagements?

How many deaths were reported by local media outlets and government offices?

What did field commander X tell his higher headquarters on the “special phone” and did he know others were listening when he said it? (Also, we might not know what commanders Y and Z said.)

What about those “official documents” an informant sold his handler? Were they genuine? Maybe. If so, how recent and comprehensive were they?

What could we glean from the median age of soldiers, and what about those videos of civilians being press-ganged on the streets?

There are other considerations, but you get the point. It’s all over the place. It has to be a range and it has to be one in which we cannot be overconfident. Having said that, here’s my view.

Russia has overmatch in all categories, but especially in ammunition quantities and in the numbers of the most casualty-producing weapons systems. It’s not even close. Then there’s how these things are employed. The Russian army is doing what it does best—it’s an industrial-scale killing machine that patiently encircles and annihilates its enemies all while conducting deep fires throughout the entirety of its enemy’s rear area. Russia will oblige its foe for as long as he is willing to feed men and materiel into a trap, and Ukraine has done this time and again (like in Bakhmut). Also, consider Ukraine’s counteroffensive last year. Russia constructed the so-called “Surovikin Line” with an eye on basic terrain analysis, as any army should. The only avenues of approach available to Ukraine were those that led directly into kill zones, each with a variety of Russian weapons systems already trained on it.

I don’t claim to have an accurate range of casualties for each side, but there is no world in which Russia has suffered greater numbers of casualties than Ukraine. At a minimum, Ukraine must have hundreds of thousands killed and many times that number wounded. Nothing else makes sense. Nothing else adds up. Support either side or none at all—it’s up to you. But this is the ghastly reality, and we should have some questions for the officials who continue to tell us otherwise.
🔻 WS: Great points, Lee.

I would only add that, in my view, there are very often “indirect indicators” that, although they don’t point to precise numbers of things, are very valuable to draw confident conclusions.

I submit that, if the Russians had suffered anything close to the losses attributed to them by Ukrainian and western sources, it would be reflected in the body language, countenance, and public statements of people like Putin, Lavrov, Medvedev, prominent members of the Duma, etc.

Furthermore, if the Russians had hundreds of thousands of casualties, you wouldn’t see the exceptionally high numbers of volunteers — month after month after month. In fact, you’d see demonstrations in the streets of Russian cities.

This is NOT the case. Quite to the contrary. Every “indirect indicator” of Russian casualties points to the conclusion that they have been inordinately LOW.

I continue to be convinced that, when the final tallies are made, it will be seen that this war has produced the most disproportionate casualty ratio of any major war in modern times.
🔻 Lee Slusher: Agree entirely. It will be dramatically lopsided.
🔻 WS: I will add another “indirect indicator” of what is REALLY happening in the Ukraine War:

Other than the subservient NATO/EU vassal states, how are the other major and middle powers of the world acting in relation to the US and Russia?

With few if any exceptions, they are acting as though they understand perfectly well that the US/NATO/EU have been abjectly humiliated by the Russians — militarily, economically, and diplomatically. Defeat across the board.

Everyone wants Russian military hardware; everyone wants Russian oil and gas; everyone wants to court a friendly relationship with the Russia / China / Iran axis. They are ignoring imperial sanctions edicts, and manifestly insulating themselves from what is now widely viewed as an unstable, unpredictable, rapidly declining empire.

These people are not stupid. They know how to read the scoreboard.
🔻 Lee Slusher: Isolation abounds. |link|
⭕ 📜 The Bitter Pill of Decisive Strategic Defeat
🔻 C1: The conflict is part of a global struggle which will unfold during this century. The rational & humane outcome is the Western imperialists coming to their senses & getting over their delusions of exceptionalism & Divine right to dominate the planet
Are they capable of it?
🔻 WS: It’s hard to say how this all ends. But I have a strong suspicion it won’t be “rational and humane”.
⭕ 🔻 BRICS News: 🇷🇺🇺🇦 Russia says “we need not a truce but peace” in Ukraine.
🔻 Brandon: Ok. But let’s take it one step at a time, Vlad. Run before walk and all that jazz
🔻 WS: Few realize Putin is making reference to the very things contained in the December 2021 “Draft Treaty”, and then forcefully reiterated in Putin’s pervasively ignored but eminently important February 21, 2022 speech:

NATO military presence must be rolled back to its 1997 borders.

“… so, here, in seductive granada, i invariably suffer larch withdrawal. ”

Dear emerson, this is a healthy interlude! A necessary period of abstinence of dangerous and controlled substances we refer to in the medical community as “a drug holiday.”

I congratulate you, even if it was involuntary!

iirc, this process was learned the hard way with the USUK aviators on meth (see this movie, which imo alludes to it), and later in 1950s with the WASP suburban housewives on benzodiazepines (valium), or their kids on stimulants. Larch is similarly best taken in strictly monitored intervals.

Salut!

You just posted their piece “Are You Comfortable with U.S. Tactical Nuclear Exchange with Russia?”

They’ve kept their eyes on the ball for the last three years. They correctly sense the US is being suicided..

Only Eschatology comes close to explaining the madness underway. It is all about bringing into prominence Pax Judaica, which necessarily involves reducing mankind and taking off stage all the big powers of the Old Order.

The Hearty Salon, 13 Aug 2024 … Open Thread

t.me/intelslava/65330