Daily Chronicles

Daily Chronicles features issues, small or large, with the potential to change our world.

Evolving Strategy of Empire.

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May 4

The Russian Defense Ministry announced that a ceasefire will be declared on May 8 and 9 in honor of the Victory in the Great Patriotic War.  “The Russian Armed Forces will take all necessary measures to ensure the safety of festive events. Russia, in connection with the declaration of a ceasefire, expects the Ukrainian side to follow its example,” the military stated.

The ministry also said that in the event of attempts by Ukraine to disrupt the Victory Day celebrations, the Russian Armed Forces will launch a massive retaliatory missile strike on the center of Kiev.

“Despite the available capabilities, Russia has previously refrained from striking the center of Kiev for humanitarian reasons,” the Defense Ministry stated.  Otherwise, the Defense Ministry will advance warning the civilian population of Kiev and employees of foreign diplomatic missions of the need to leave the city in a timely manner.

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As this week is upon us, we stand at the beginning of Trump and Co’s announced Operation Project Freedom, where Trump, on behalf of unnamed ‘countries all over the world’, will guide their ships safely out of the contested waterways. This is after Trump and Co finagled (scammed) the US congress with a re-definition of how one counts 60 days to get out of their war powers act requirements. Hey Presto, a new name, a new 60 days and we kickstart an old old war.

Iran has not commented profusely but so far simply stated that this is a huge mistake, it will violate the ceasefire and the Strait of Hormuz will not be managed by Trump’s delusional posts. They are calm and resolute having said all that is necessary to say in the previous weeks of war and ceasefire. As the hours go by, there will be more statements as Trump’s ‘delusional post’ at the time of writing is not yet 24 hours old.

Larry Johnson says that Trump officials are working overtime to convince the public that this is a diplomatic move to try to compel Iran to allow freedom of navigation through the Strait.

‘Project Freedom will not include escorts by US warships through the Strait of Hormuz, but rather a coordinated effort by shipping and insurance companies’

OK, as far as I know, shipping and insurance companies do not have missiles, so it is anybody’s guess in terms of what underlies Operation Project Freedom. The quick guess is that the US is ‘begging’ Iran to fire the first ‘end of ceasefire’ shot.

In the region as a whole, the Gulf Petro-Sheiks have reached the end of their ability to govern. Under Russian guidance they are seemingly rescuing OPEC. It is hidden how badly the US bases in the Gulf countries were decimated (and they are decimated). Netanyahu beats his zionist breast and speaks about 2 squadrons (anything from 12 to 24 in a squadron – one squadron of F-35I stealth aircraft and one squadron of F-15IA jets purchased from the United States) and he wants to decimate Iran with his squadrons, while the carnage in Gaza, the West Bank and Lebanon continues. These major moves usually happen when Israel is taking a beating and in Lebanon, they are now taking a beating from Hezbollah.

Jeffrey Sachs says “If the war resumes, everything will be dramatically accelerated, magnified, and made horrendously worse in its short-term economic impact”. He also described the US government as “completely deinstitutionalized” and Israel as an “absolutely out-of-control Israeli military state.”

Iran (IRCC) issued a new map, which is the featured image: IRGC shares NEW MAP with borders of Strait of Hormuz under its CONTROL — Fars

◾️From the south, line between Mount Mubarak in Iran and southern Fujairah in the UAE

◾️From the west, line between the end of Qeshm Island in Iran and Umm Al Quwain in the UAE

The latest from Iran minutes ago:

IRGC spokesperson General Hossein Mohebbi has warned that maritime movements in Hormuz that contradict the declared principles of the IRGC Navy will face serious risks.

Responding to a TruthSocial post by US President Trump, General Mohebbi emphasized that there has been no change in the management process of the Strait of Hormuz. He clarified that any maritime activity by civilian and commercial vessels will be guaranteed safety and security, provided it complies with the transit protocols issued by the IRGC Navy and proceeds through designated routes.

Conversely, any maritime movements that violate these established principles will encounter grave risks, and violating vessels will be stopped with force. Consequently, the IRGC spokesperson stressed that it is essential for all shipping companies and transport insurance providers to pay close attention to the official announcements and advisories issued by the Revolution Guards.

GOOD MONDAY MORNING RESISTANCE!

Let’s take a stab in the comments at what could be happening – 5 is a high probability:

1. This is all a pretext to restart the war with Iran triggered to hopefully fire the ceasefire breaking shot
2. This is performative theater and at the end of the day the barbarians will declare victory and leave
3, This is a continuation of an economic war
4. This is an honest but forceful attempt to negotiate (lol)
5. The US will take their war ships close in and engage and a full-on war will restart with air cover from Netanyahu’s squadrons
6. The US will take a few cowardly shots at Kharg Island or another Iranian sensitive industry, or a school or a hospital or a civilian center.

Oil prices are so far not believing Trump.

Just in but please take with a grain of salt.  There are no names or times on this report and we may be seeing some Iranian Fog.

IRNA reported, citing the Iranian Army’s public relations office, that Iranian forces prevented the entry of US-Israeli destroyers into the Strait of Hormuz.  According to the Iranian Army, the move was carried out through a swift and decisive warning issued by the naval forces of the Islamic Republic.  Similarly, Fars reported, citing local sources, that a US warship was struck with two missiles launched by the Iranian Navy while attempting to sail through the Strait of Hormuz.  Fars added that the vessel was forced to retreat.

Fog of war is now the order of the day.  Be careful what you take as truth.

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As we see the LAC heating up, Russia Ratifies Military Cooperation Agreement With Nicaragua

Russia has completed the ratification of a military cooperation agreement with Nicaragua, with Russian President Vladimir Putin signing the document on May 2, according to TASS.

The agreement, originally signed in Moscow on September 22, outlines several areas of military cooperation between the two countries. It includes joint training of troops, exchanges of experience and information in countering the ideology of extremism and international terrorism, cooperation between military educational institutions, and joint research on military issues.

Russian officials say the ratification of the document will contribute to strengthening military ties and expanding practical defense cooperation between Russia and Nicaragua in the coming period.

Source: TASS

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China’s legislation to its ‘teapot’ refineries to ignore new sanctions and to conduct their business disregarding these sanctions, is still making headlines among serious commentators.   Needless to say, if China ignores a set of US sanctions, the sanctions regime overall has had a gut-shot and becomes unenforceable.   We have this report out, but cannot confirm it.  “Fyodor Lukyanov, who is very well connected in Moscow, is saying the Chinese are undertaking a review to assess whether the US is, as the Russians say, ‘agreement incapable’.”

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Russian Ministry of Defense:

🔹 Russia’s air defense system has shot down 507 Ukrainian drones in the past night.

🔹 The Ministry of Defense of Russia also announced that the armed forces of this country have targeted the infrastructure, ammunition depots and drone storage facilities of the Ukrainian army in 142 areas.

It is problematic for Russia with drones travelling far into Russia.  I saw a note .. sometimes Russia says the darnest things without fanfare but now, they are all changing to an internal commenting format and one cannot find the blogs and commenting platforms so easily.  Depending on memory here, the secure and safety zone that Russia is establishing now was planned to be 300 kilometers away from their borders.  Drones are flying much farther, and the note was .. ‘We will have to simply increase our security Zone’.    The possibility exists that Russia may not want to stop the SMO where they first planned that the SMO will stop as conditions on the ground has changed.

Given the sharp rhetoric with Europe, and the rearming in Europe, we may see a change in the Russian stance, and not only rhetorical.   Negotiations with the US?  As Martyanov said:  “It does not matter.  Russia negotiates for the sake of negotiations.”

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