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Viewing 15 posts - 226 through 240 (of 1,151 total)
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  • in reply to: The Hearty Salon, 23 Jan 2025 … Open Thread #75570
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    in reply to: Chronicles of the Apocalypse – 24 Jan 2026 #75556
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    Get ready to welcome Periol.  We are still shaking loose feathers and dealing with little stuff.  The Big Stuff is all Right!  It looks like this:

    a spirit of faith, and not of fear

    Someone .. find the song!

     

    in reply to: Chronicles of the Apocalypse – 24 Jan 2026 #75543
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    Grrr .. give a minute lol.  I’m recruiting but it sure is difficult to fill the shoes.

    in reply to: Chronicles of the Apocalypse – 24 Jan 2026 #75542
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    Iranian missile tested over Russia into Siberia – I was hesitant to speak on this as we had no proof.  Still no proof, but reliable commentary.

    Alastair Crooke just indicated that test happened. No proof, but he’s usually careful about his factual statements. He mentions it as ICBM ballistic, which if it had a glide vehicle atop, that would constitute the basic hypersonic category.

    China’s is a glide vehicle and Russia has the Avangard hypersonic glide vehicle. .

    @42:30 or so.

    in reply to: The Hearty Salon, 23 Jan 2025 … Open Thread #75503
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    More Oreshnik talk .. just basically passing messages from that list to this list .. Yikes ..

    As I understand it, very imperfectly, it is being suggested that the speed of the Oreshnik (Mach 10.6) is enough to strip a whole lot of electrons from the surface of the metal rods, but they continue very close to the metal and build up enough electrons to cause a Coulomb explosion more or less simultaneously with hitting the target. See the foot of this Wikipedia page for a similar effect:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coulomb_explosion

    PS If I get time, I will try again with the video provided by Andrei Martyanov.

    and then ..

    Scott Ritter says that the first Oreshnik fired at Dnipro was hand-made, and they went from there to serial production (25 per week) and crew training to launch in just over a year. Oreshnik can mean a cluster of hazel nuts, and so the six metal alloy rods in each of the six canisters would be released quite close to the target. Then the friction from being directly exposed to the air at such high speeds would strip off the electrons to produce the Coulomb explosion in each within the precise area of the target. One can tell from a photo of the launch truck in Belarus (which only has 8 wheels) that the rocket is not nearly as heavy as an ICBM. So they presumably move around in forested areas, just like a Yars ICBM. The time from Belarus to Warsaw is about 2 minutes. Time to the Gairloch near Glasgow or Cape Finistere in France (where British and French nuclear submarines are located, along with the nuclear warheads) is well within the OODA loop. [Observe, Orient, Decide, Act.] Why European NATO member states think that they could take on Russia now, when Putin has stated that decision-making centres would be targeted, including presumably Northwood just outside Greater London, is a mystery. Brussels is even closer.

    in reply to: The Hearty Salon, 23 Jan 2025 … Open Thread #75496
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    Oooh… I’ll catch up.  Just wanted t show you someone who lies.  Border Patrol Barbie Kristi Noem.

    I know some do not have Telegram and I’m sorry.  This was an interview on CBS, Face of the Nation, and she talks about the time that she met Kim Jong-un.

    If you were wondering how easy it is to lie for Border Patrol Barbie Noem.

    I’ll try to figure out how to put Telegram clips in here.  At the moment it does not want to listen to me … Put this in M… ucker …. Does not help.

     

     

     

    in reply to: The Hearty Salon, 23 Jan 2025 … Open Thread #75479
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    I received this from our Group of Friends, and it is titled Controversy Emerging.  This is not my field or my bag.

    I am aware of various critiques of Professor Ted Postol’s comments about the Oreshnik missile. I for one have no animosity towards him, but Andrei Martyanov was a bit bad tempered about his remarks. Martyanov referred to a short commentary in Russian and said that one did not need to speak Russian to understand this, but I for one found that the speaker swallowed his words, and I struggled to make sense of it. I shall try to find time to return to this, but it seems to be the case that Professor Postol does not know what a Coulomb explosion is. The answer can be found in Wikipedia. I can well believe that Putin is right that two of these missiles on the same target would give an explosion that equalled a nuclear one.

     

    The account that I read of the impact of the original Oreshnik attack on Dnipro was that it created a precise rectangular crater four stories deep on the target. That suggests that the 36 warheads spread out in a precise pattern in a manner similar to the barometric MLRS system known as Solntsepyok. [The latter is usually referred to in English by its other designation TS… with a number that I have forgotten offhand.]

     

    Here is a recent comment by a Russian:

     

    S, 25 Jan 2026:

    Prof Ted Postol is not a chemist

    I freely admit I have my biases with regards to Oreshnik, after all I wrote a highly detailed, inference-driven hypothesis on what I believe the warhead to be (https://t.me/Slavyangrad/116233) (specifically, a tungsten-aluminium based energetic structural material, with the possible addition of an oxidizer, a possible candidate I suggested being potassium chlorate – KClO3). As the author of that hypothesis, I am invested in eventually seeing images or other data which proves or disproves it (preferably the former).

    Therefore, in the absence of new hard data, anything I say – beyond what I already did in my previous articles – must be firmly grounded in scientific rules and laws of physics or chemistry which are well established, will never change and cannot be disputed. Engaging in any more inference deduction logic than I already have would take me firmly into magic carpet territory, and I might as well just start writing science fiction about the 3I/ATLAS comet being a spaceship piloted by alien furries…

    What am I talking about and what does Ted Postol have to do with it? Well, last week he gave almost identical interviews to Mr Glenn Dieson and also Col Daniel Davis, where he described his updated views on how the Oreshnik system works.

    Given his credentials and his audience and also my limited time, I will not nitpick the entire thing as much as I would like to – however one thing he said stuck out like a sore thumb to me, because it went squarely against hard scientific facts.

    In a major departure from his 2024 assessment claiming the munitions were stainless steel dummies, Postol speculated that Oreshnik munitions were likely made with tungsten and also mentioned aluminium (though he made no mention of ESMs, nor did he go into any level of detail). Anyone who read my articles knows that I agree with this, except for what he said next – he said the munitions likely included a quantity of TNT. Why? Because, he claimed, TNT when detonated produces “lots of oxygen”.

    I want to be clear – A TNT detonation does NOT produce any free oxygen (O₂) or any other oxidizer gas/molecule as a product. The balanced equation for TNT detonation shows its primary products are:

     

    2 C₇H₅N₃O₆ → 3 N₂ + 5 H₂O + 7 CO + 7 C

     

    I am not going to speculate on Prof. Postol’s reasons for saying what he did. During his talks he also stated that he is “not a chemist”. His claim that a TNT explosion produces oxygen proves that he is indeed not a chemist. It also calls into question the rest of his discussion.

    As I said I am highly pressed for time, so I invite all technically-minded Slavyangrad readers to have a listen to Prof. Postol’s recent interviews or read through the transcripts. I am interested to know whether his gaffe about TNT or any other high explosive making oxygen when it goes boom is an isolated error, or one of many. [end.]

    in reply to: The Hearty Salon, 23 Jan 2025 … Open Thread #75474
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    What a fight in the US. And the ‘leaders’ keep saying the wrong things. Kash Patel: “You cannot bring a firearm, loaded, with multiple magazines to any sort of protest that you want. It’s that simple”

    People responded:

    in reply to: Chronicles of the Apocalypse – 24 Jan 2026 #75473
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    Will Schryver
    @imetatronink
    ·
    6h
    📈 Parabolic

    The only chart gone more parabolic than gold and silver is the one tracking the claimed number of Iranians “slaughtered by the Mullahs”.

    As though the empire needs a pretext for war. 🤦‍♂️

    It’s long-since arrived at the stage where it’s “All War, All the Time”.

    in reply to: The Hearty Salon, 23 Jan 2025 … Open Thread #75469
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    The Marinera (Bela1) is still anchored where it was seized and the crew is still on board. How strange.

    https://tass.com/world/2076579

    in reply to: Chronicles of the Apocalypse – 24 Jan 2026 #75468
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    in reply to: Chronicles of the Apocalypse – 24 Jan 2026 #75451
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    Full X text:

    Possible Iran Air Strike Scenario

    If indeed the US/Israel plan to do “something” in the form of major air strikes against Iran that goes beyond launching Tomahawk cruise missiles, I doubt they will attempt an assassination of Khamenei, nor any strikes deep in Iran. I simply don’t believe they can execute such an ambitious attack, and the more time spent flying over Iran increases the risk of aircraft getting shot down.

    I think the most likely target(s) for US carrier-based strikes would be the oil terminal at Kharg Island and the port facilities at Bandar Abbas.

    In both cases, they would likely park CSG-3 off the coast of Oman (south of the US logistics base at Duqm) and do aerial refueling over the UAE and Iraq or Kuwait.

    I reckon they could very likely execute such a strike without losing aircraft — but, of course, they will likewise not meaningfully degrade Iranian counterstrike capability. So then we’ll have the fireworks of a major Iranian attack against US bases in the region — not to mention a serious attempt to strike the carrier and its destroyer escorts.

    Anyway, these are just my passing thoughts now that the likelihood of a US/Israeli strike seems to be rising.

    If nothing happens within 24 – 48 hours, then I think the likelihood of nothing at all happening increases exponentially.

    in reply to: The Hearty Salon, 23 Jan 2025 … Open Thread #75449
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    That is typical of Greenwald.  He is a rightwinger and has done serious harm in Brazil.  And where are the children that he and his husband adopted in Brazil before the husband died?  Boy kids?

    He will never answer a question.  He will just allude to stuff.

    I mean, we can make a list of the possible why issues – pick one.

    IDF-ICE-BROWNSHIRTS-BLACKSHIRTS-DAESH-ISIS-ZIONAZIS

    No Epstein files and no mid-term elections.  There is not a wager on Polymarket on this as yet.  I think it is not necessary in the eyes of Trump and Co .. as they are using their BoP (Board of Peace) to replace rules and laws within the US.

     

    in reply to: The Hearty Salon, 23 Jan 2025 … Open Thread #75443
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    Aah thanks .. I was just coming here having had in my mind for a few hours now .. where is the freckled lady, and also the one that speaks delicious Southern?

    in reply to: The Hearty Salon, 23 Jan 2025 … Open Thread #75398
    amarynth
    Keymaster

    The border Barbie writes letters:

    Pam Bondi did send a letter to Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, tying ICE cooperation to broader federal demands, including access to Minnesota’s voter rolls.

    “Third, allow the Civil Rights Division of the Department of Justice to access voter rolls to confirm that Minnesota’s voter registration practices comply with federal law as authorized by the Civil Rights Act of 1960. Fulfilling this common sense request will better guarantee free and fair elections and boost confidence in the rule of law.

    I am confident that these simple steps will help bring back law and order to Minnesota and improve the lives of Americans.”

Viewing 15 posts - 226 through 240 (of 1,151 total)