I read the entirety of the Karaganov. Between the author and an imaginary graduate advisor it would be a wonderful discussion. The article involves a number of tautological errors and, probably, factual errors, and certainly disputable implied and stated assumptions, as well as a logical contradiction or two. Nevertheless, faulty understandings and flawed reason often actually produce correct decisions…his conclusions may be correct, even if he’s wrong. Maybe you don’t agree…but let’s assume I’m correct.

Ok, we must assume then that the article exists and was published as rhetoric…and the purpose?  what does the author want? What does the publisher(s) want? What audience(s)? Why?

Reasonable replies to such questions are not very nice. But it’s close to what seems liable to happen. First God whispers… We’ll find out, I suppose, what happens next.

Best! P

A gentleman barrister in London, whom I keep a weather eye upon, has written >

From Hegemony to Multipolarity: How Post-Cold War U.S. Foreign Policy Towards Russia is Creating a Modern Eurasia (Abridged Version)

Brother Makinde sometimes writes things with which I may disagree. But we have agreed on many occasions.

Excerpt> The overarching objective of the “Defense Planning Guidance” for the 1994–99 fiscal years which was published for internal consumption in February 1992 by Wolfowitz and fellow under-secretary Scooter Libby, was that the United States would use the vacuum caused by the breakup of the Soviet Union as an opportunity to prevent the rise of any nation attempting to take up the mantle of a global competitor.3 In seeking to achieve this, it explicitly disavowed being bound by multilateral agreements and envisaged destroying by military action or the application of economic pressure any nation which operated in a way which was inimical to America’s declared political and economic interests.

In this instance it may be that our Brother undervalues the diabolical cadre as a foundational driver…ie his views, though deep, might be deeper yet.

Best! P

So far, they always double. And so far they believe delusionally. And their personal safety is on the table. And they cannot run away. Having summoned Mars, they’re subjects of  Phobos and Deimos. Zugswang. And I see that the Great Intellectual has “decided” to send more DU to 404…which as everyone knows, is seen by Russia as an atomic attack. Hanged for crime looms, why not use everything…. How am I to collect from Stumpy?

Evidently the unwilling fellas surrender’d to R and left the leopard engines idling… pssst, you got a white tshirt buddy?

Best! P

I do take an interest in German area, partly because I have long had the notion that Germany would be the signal pivot in this portion of European History, partly due to memories, partly due to sympathies with the old left, I guess. At one time I had a large extended branch of family there – some were nazis, some were not. They’re all dead now. I get the idea that Die Linke and AfD will mutually subsume. Become as one. The drivers being in the process of becoming “other” the cathode in opposition to the “heated” anode represented by Olaf the Obedient. Alas, AfD/L will be infiltrated and broken by intrigue with all the horrors of gladio, and broken by legalistic magic. Or maybe simply outlawed. Nevertheless, go against custom and more and long established ways, and an “other” pops into existence. Actually it’s a basic in conflict creation – an interest of mine.

In the Industrial Phase (ted kaczynski) everything runs, ultimately, on the chemistry of C and H2. It runs in a cascade. Without the cheap gas and juice Germany is in denouement. Period.

Smoothie’s 2 million so far…. Let’s estimate. Speculate. Ask. How many people live in Germany? Who are they?  How many capable working age educated Germans. How many families? How many Children… There’s a spreadsheet, I bet. The de-industrialization gag follows General Ripper’s principle… two can play at mitosis (pardon the tautological pun). We shall, I expect, see the nazi Germans affiliate appropriately, and the good Germans? Ah! I rather expect the result will be favorable to the good. I note that being forced to take up roots and move is liable to create a slowburn motivation, a persistent social memory drang. Who will be left behind? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Morgenthau_Plan

Previously, of course, many German POWs worked in USSR/Russia, as we know. I believe many decided to stay after their release in the 1950’s – but it’s a bit out of my depth. Here’s a bit about the Soviet/German rockets> https://warontherocks.com/2019/10/the-forgotten-rocketeers-german-scientists-in-the-soviet-union-1945-1959/

I like the Soviet Poster! And I cotton to the genre. Although I do recognize, now, some Russian in print, and catch words and get new ones, I can’t read the poster. Alas. But I get the idea. Yewbetcha! And probably not just Germans… 😉

We get to cling to the wreckage. Neh… Anoxia abides. Rode old bike ’round the village, did electrical work, world war continues… Mother told me about how it was. She was right. It’s terrible. It becomes normal, which is itself appalling.

Best! P

China Warship> In my wild days, for a time, I lived aboard a 6 ton steel river-boat, displacement hull with a strong V8, and quite comfy. After some hull modifications she was a formidable and reactive maneuverable craft, and I became fairly adept at motorboat riverain maters. ( it was possible to turn her 180 without losing way, without changing vector, thus backing against prop thrust) And rules of the road…actually went to school and passed the courses and exams. Thus the video of the overtaking maneuver was a great pleasure. I put myself in ship C and ran the maneuver as though I’d had the con. C starboard overtaking N port, N became forced to reduce speed or ram. N chickened out. C did not. Technically, legalistically, C was at fault, iirc the Rules. Noting that the rules are not relevant to the encounter. (and recalling that in wild days I myself have done similar, for similar reasons to richguy boats… a big middle finger…riverainpolitics. And I have heard stories of people brandishing weapons afloat…) Stuff happens. Next time maybe no more Misterniceguy…

Best! Hot day a’comin’ an’ the old feller needs to get busy in the coolness. P

“Morinin’ Friends –

It’s a feature of symposium that new things come “poof!”, they were not, and then they are, so to say. Thus > …honest labour will for sure cure his insanity! The same goes for the entire western power elite... drags up thought about health and work, as in FxD/T work, possibly with axe or shovel.

If The Great Boris had been humbled and made strong by honest labour, would he be Boris? Among the convicts-to-be>  Bringt Arbeit Klarheit im Arbeitslager? Und Scham?

I’d like to have the agenda for Paris triparte meeting 12 June, the little fella and Olaf all round the Pole, so to say. Rubric “Plan R, Final”, no doubt. Anyway, ah got me a bad feelin’ about it.

I liked the bear cartoon. Thanks. Not knowing how to take still frames from old films, I don’t…but if I did…well great stills in a bad film that’s actually good- George Raft badly cast, London deserted, 1952 “I’ll Get You”…

Best! P

Western tools of Statecraft…(Very Droll!)………..the crime scene is endless and everywhere…reading on counter-rotating propellers and this came up>  “In 1957, British RAF Shackletons participated heavily during Jebel Akhdar War in Oman to expand the territory of the Sultanate, which was a de facto British colony, in order to gain access to oil wells in the interior parts of Oman. The RAF made 1,635 raids, dropping 1,094 tons and firing 900 rockets at the interior of Oman between July and December 1958 targeting insurgents, mountain top villages, water channels and crops in a war that remained under low profile.” Shameless, eh? Bald murder of helpless people to steal their stuff. There’s a name for that.

(the Shackleson used CR props…very sexy way to murder people.)

Mrs P dug-out from the soil red onions to-day.

serachterm > “die linke keine bomber uber unseren kopfen” (which is from a poster Sara W sent) Big demonstration. Meantime in, perhaps, memory of Otto John, the German Feds plan to “outlaw” AfD…which may give a bit of a boost to Die Linke. Grossman wrote to the plight of the German left, what’s left of it. All very nice of course. I’ll wait for the film.

Best! P

“They pissed away the work and inheritance of 500 years.”  Yes, but they have done this ever since, as Hudson tells us, the West become oligarchic, er “democratic”…the essence of which is compound interest and the lack of jubilee, if I understand his thesis. This may be the third cycle, maybe, depending on how one sees it. Probably the nastiest too.

“Most of the Global South has unblocked internet (and opened minds which can learn) and is watching rapt in real time. What is really dying on the Novorossiyan steppe is not the hapless remnants of the Ukies, but the West’s martial reputation…” [and vestige of moral reputation]

Yes, and not only to the South. In West the realization spreads and takes form according to, mostly, propaganda…but dismay is spreading…a factor that may become a feedback with “k>1” so to say. As I said, my generation was present at the (re)creation (n2.0) and has the fate of being also present at the destruction (n=0). A nice symmetric period, axial, in a sense. Perhaps it was appropriate that we studied the Roman and Greek, especially the Roman…so we would know what to expect.  Happily, I probably won’t miss it, it being I suppose the sacking…whatever that may look like…some say it’s happening now and I take their points. Where’s the border? Schrodinger’s border…look and it goes poof! Ducktestsack? Weeellll. Speaking of Latin and Change, I can easily recite the US pledge of allegiance in Latin… Oh how we were seduced…well, it worked for awhile.

Howard K. Smith, who was in Berlin until December of ’41 and had then fluent German, tells of Goebbels on  der (?) Volksempfänger screaming  einmalig in der geschichte! about the glorious nazi victories. Charming how we have these echos from the future uttered by the devils themselves. Of course, Brother, that future is now…and indeed einmalig in der geschichte! eh? (Smith was helpful, btw, in clearing up some questions about v. Luckner, whom Smith did not know, but frequently saw in Berlin…just during the period that the canon claims otherwise.)

………….

It does seem that Lady Vickie’s bigbigplan was/is to blow the dam and grab the NPP complex as hostage or indeed blow the NPP.

The little voice says that there may now be explosions in centers of command and control.

A tentative assumption is the the Russian intel people knew the plan. And the prospect was obvious, so the fellas will adapt. https://youtu.be/Kp1I55f-iHk (MilSummaryCh) describes the dam as a two level structure. Only the top portion is ruptured, he says. Vickie’s gloriousplan is probably already fubar, maybe kaputski…

Best! P