I wrote comment #2>
Ok. Impressions:
Nowhere in the paper is robot torpedo “Poseidon” mentioned. Let’s recall that this machine is 100MT nuclear explosive. Results would vary according to depth and position and both submarine and terrestrial topography. The US population distribution makes this torpedo a destroyer of both most of the population and cities of relevance, as well as most US industrial capacity.

Postal mentions flying bomb Burevestnik. The Russian analysis does not, and of course if it did that would be off topic. I do not accept the claim that this machine can fly for “years”. My guess is closer to an engine life of less than 1,000 hours. 10,000 hours, maybe. I have worked with American engineers who described their own testing and development work on nuclear jet engines. And the Soviets actually flew some. They work, but not very well. Incremental improvements, no doubt, have taken place. But the limits are very challenging.

Bearing in mind the recent political statement from RF that the US and RF are “not in a condition of peace”, iirc the wording, and considering that the semantic value is equivalent to saying “at war” while avoiding the legal consequences of saying the latter, condition (above) 1.1 seems to have been satisfied. Condition 1.3 is frankly impossible. Preventing a Russian counterattack cannot be achieved.

Term “biogas plant” is unknown, presumably an artifact of translation. I have no idea what it means.

“Kessler effect” is the cascade of debris consequential to orbiting junk bashing into more orbiting junk until an orbit become uselessly filled with smaller and smaller bits of junk. This effect limits the efficacy of tactics of kinetic destruction of satellites, and the reason for doing so – as the orbit becomes its own destructor.

“Prompt Global Strike” (PGS) is a scheme based on surprise simultaneous attack by the US on the Russian Federation, with the goal of making a significant counter-attack ineffective. The assumption is that the RF will have 10 minutes or less to counter-attack. This this plan relies primarily on “cruise missiles” (CM) of various types launched from air, ground, and sea. Secondarily submarine and land-based silo rockets must also be launched. These must all strike more or less at the same time, but have a vast variance of range to target, as well as flight characteristics. Such coordination and guidance relies on integrated satellite to satellite and satellite to ground. Traffic analysis alone would alert the RF to a pending GS attack. The several assumptions implicit in the PGS scheme are unrealistic.

Nevertheless, it’s important to realize that men in position to order GS are poorly educated, particularly with respect to STEM subjects, and liable to believe that this foolish scheme can work. Further, the scheme is vast, and many of the machines use atomic explosives. There is risk of firing orders by miscommunication, unauthorized communication, and of firing weapons systems simply by accidents – all rise in probability exponentially. Moreover, satellites have accidents, misapprehension of the provenance of the destruction of a US satellite is a risk – rocks happen. And who can say if a “bird” failed due to a LASER or a cosmic ray?

At 2.6 we see the assumption a 12 hour to 2 day period to “full combat readiness” following a claimed destruction of a US satellite, presumed to have been the result of RF action, as well as a 12 hour later assessment of the “surprise” “disarming strike” (2.7) by the US. This seems totally observable in the first instance by RF, providing warning. I doubt that any reassessment would occur, or indeed by possible.

PGS makes no allowance for Chinese military abilities. This rather ruins the scheme altogether.

Withal, PGS seems to be an “organic” artifact of compartmentalistic incomprehension of various institutions inside the US military-political “animal”. It’s irrational and unrealistic, and if it continues along the pathway, it leads to the suicide of the supporting national state. Considering that on the geopolitical long scale the modus vivendi has been primarily plunder, and that this modus has become moribund, technically and politically obsolete and non-functional, it’s remarkable to realize that a proffered insane plan for dominance is precisely that, insane, delusional, a pathological dream. And the esthetic is congruent.

It is also worthwhile to note that the US may well attempt to do PGS, indeed seems to be preparing for that. It won’t work out.

Comrade Medvedev makes funnies…

https://t.me/rocknrollgeopolitics/12582

Forwarded from Medvedev.

Out of spite for the current administration, Donald Trump has threatened to lift sanctions against Russia. But will he really do it if elected?

No, of course not. For all his apparent bravado as an ‘outsider’, Trump is ultimately an establishment insider. Yes, he is an eccentric narcissist, but he is also a pragmatist. As a businessman, Trump understands that sanctions harm the dollar’s dominance in the world. However, that’s insufficient reason to stage a revolution in the United States and go against the anti-Russian line of the notorious Deep State, which is much stronger than any Trump.

But what about Harris? You shouldn’t expect any surprises from her. She is inexperienced and, according to her enemies, just plain stupid. Beautiful meaningless speeches and boring ‘correct’ answers to questions will be prepared for her, which she will read off a teleprompter while laughing contagiously.

There were sanctions against the USSR throughout the 20th century, and they’ve returned on an unprecedented scale in the 21st. So, it’s sanctions forever. Or rather, until the US collapses during an imminent new civil war. After all, Hollywood makes films about this for a reason😂.

My bold. Actually the Comrade is mistaken, in the early 20th century there was a mix of western support, self-serving though it was in cunning ways, for the several factions in the civil war, and I have personally known Americans from Texas that helped develop the Soviet oil industry in the late 1920’s and 1930’s,, and also there was some support for the USSR in the W2 phase of the affair. We may perhaps also consider that when zone west made the bomb, they inadvertantly “contributed” to Soviet Physics and weapon programs. Nevertheless his general observation is, imho, valid, especially so his ultimate paragraph. 

telegram very funny. maybe. ahdunno. I never send traffic. my secrets are actually, ah, secret, because they’re never said, anywhere, never written either. Somewhat dated see The Code Book, Simon Singh (PhD Physics) 1999 (yes, there’s a hidden message in there!) Seriously though, 😉 It’s vital to remember that what’s not said cannot be repeated, ask Rumpole.

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Two of my favorite Commies! https://youtu.be/SMxBHhi34UA

E 20 European Disaster Joji and Garland Fall of Imperialism (is that smoke?)

Free speech, B.J. Harris and Walter Sobjeck

FLASHBACK: Commie Kamala Harris Promises to Use DOJ to “Hold Social Media Platforms Responsible” for “Misinformation” as Defined by Those in Power (VIDEO)

https://twitter.com/i/status/1831677164372082751 (video, some might think she’s had a couple)

Kamala Harris: And we’ll put the Department of Justice of the United States back in the business of justice. We will double the Civil Rights Division and direct law enforcement to counter this extremism. We will hold social media platforms accountable for the hate infiltrating their platforms because they have a responsibility to help fight against this threat to our democracy. If you profit off of hate, if you act as a megaphone for misinformation or cyber warfare, if you don’t police your platforms, we are going to hold you accountable as a community.

Walter, Cafe Scene Lebowski, prior restraint> https://youtu.be/UUNFjNXo6QM

Ahemformin’ the notion the French hostage Durov is going to get the Assange routine, extradition. There’s said to be now a US Federal warrant. Plot thickens. Narrative focus moved from zone Palestine/Gaza & zone 404 as well as, of course, the prospect of torture “rehabilitation” in the US Prisons, where there’s often murders and dietary difficulties.

Several things that catch eye…

East Coast dock strike Oct 01 remains likely see Sal the Sailorman E108, fubar schedules. Sal remarked also that the Cape is no place for containerships in winter (duh!), three ships so far having lost containers over the side since the Strait closed, big insurance costs. Tanker no salvage, etc.

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Berletic essay astute> US Seeks “Super Weapons” to Reign as Sole Superpower (new eastern outlook from earlier this year> 3/9/24 ) Nice gun!

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Georgia kid set up chump>

“GPS data reveals that an FBI special agent, previously linked to multiple other shooters, was within 1,000 feet of Georgia school shooter Colt Gray on 11 separate occasions over a 14-month span.”

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Oldpeople whacked for numbers, or maybe for economies, you know, stock prices and profit?

THE CRIME OF THE CENTURY : Tens of Thousands of Elderly Secretly Euthanized to Boost ‘Covid Deaths’  (Quite a claim, but it’s happened afore) https://lionessofjudah.substack.com/p/the-crime-of-the-century-tens-of

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Ukrainian MP Gorbenko admits that more than 80,000 cases of desertion during the conflict occurred in the AFU       @ukraine_watch  Beat feet fellas!

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Discussion> European irrationality in Ukraine – Michael von der Schulenburg, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen – YouTube

(also at Locals)

The terrorist method https://rarehistoricalphotos.com/execution-cannon-1890s/

and

https://www.worldhistory.org/image/16549/british-executing-prisoners-using-cannons/

“We can’t talk about a gunfight between dozens of men armed with rapid-fire automatic weapons and a teenager who obviously had trouble shooting a 19th-century hand-repeating rifle.”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mannlicher_M1895  (I’ve said afore, you get one shot, after that yergunna miss. I suppose, once again, the best witness is blown away, what a coincidence! That said it is a powerful rifle with a powerful cartridge, 8 X 56 R, probably.)