Well it’s too early, and an insufficient trend as of yet, but based on military cadre wisdom such as Indian Maj Gen Bakshi and Ritter that only a few weeks’ life remains in the Ukies at present rate of attrition, and the sheer panic in the DC Swamp messaging “a pause” in the “counter-offensive” (a foolish misnomer), it appears they really ARE reaching for a unilateral pause.

Good luck with that.

War has its own momentum. Ukie politics has its own logic too. They need results to justify bloodletting an entire nation. And the ongoing new mobilization of the Pure Men of Galicia. And Russian cooperation, which will not be forthcoming.

So this is where Mr Simplicius may get a headache. It is the realization of his worst case scenario (if US prevails on Ukies to pullback) with Ukies withdrawing before being completely annihilated. And? It may get messy. Russians have a say too. Like putting pressure on a national Proud Victory by reclaiming Kupyansk, an even greater defeat than Bakhmut?? And other stratagems from the math-heavy bowels of the MoD.

And the Russians itch for an offensive. The best Ukie men are gone and ground down, even the newly trained ones chewed up. The really competent field foe speaks english and polish and french, and AD and armored vehicles are scant. The Ukraine is collapsing as a society.

An opportunity must be taken before the dastardly release a dirty FF in order to freeze the European campaign or enforce Poles & Gang into an official suicide. So many possible permutations are indicated by the slowing pace of this last day, with only about 100 sent to Bandera in the gray-zone grinder. The degenerate Neanderthals are really thinking hard how inconvenient proceedings do not end the bloodbath prematurely, or where to get in their last viciousness. And NATO’s kinda threadbare….

So many deep breaths and swallows in the calm before real storms. And we’re only two days before anniversary of Op Barbarossa and three days before Air Defender folds.

Shoigu’s warning about Crimea indicates the Limeys are focusing on atrocities in this direction to make the Russians pause and halt the inevitable. Let’s also watch Z-NPP, an eternal target, as messaged as far back as in 2012 with Dubya’s favorite cartoon, iPet Goat 2. In this cartoon, the mushroom cloud over the Black Sea came from that direction, towards Istanbul. They’re down to WMDs… This summer appears a hot Judgment for the fallen West, as Operation Z is at an inflection point!

ZZzzzzzzzz……………

When even the Unflappable Orifice is struck speechless, you know it’s a good question…

A picture of two fellas… this is no joke! Certain devils are quite long-lived, 800+ years. Some born around ww2 could be considered adolescents among themselves even. So some of same “animating actors” are likely with us through the last two world wars. And I’ve really wondered about Boris Johnson. Behind the clown is such evil wit… and he was biographer of Churchill… are we being mocked by the same abomination, now in the guise of a dunce? Consider BoJos’ centrality to this world war, how he runs the Comedian.. and Churchill’s similar role during part two of our trilogy!

I discussed this matter in Cafe before — there was a recent Hollywood movie which explicitly spelled it out — the same “Eternal” animating and moving actors, pretending to be male descendants of the same family, for centuries. And the vampire genre bespeaks this obliquely too: they’re really nocturnal devils preying on humans and moving events behind the scenes, via focus on elites to affect and ensnare as many as possible.  What Truth remains in the fallen west exists in the arts.

Yes I agree Hal is premessaging. Likely a smorgasbord of training videos. And a sign of panic by his sources? Or misdirection to keep locals busy and away from alotta bad news abroad. One day these exercises go Live

And there’s method to the madness. it is like at first, a single small drone lands in Belgorod of Russia proper, then a stray shell, then missiles, then a HIMARS, then marauders, then a full suicide company of saboteurs.. The same nazi M.O. The drip-drip process of getting victims prepped for what’s coming and slowly wading into the crime without raising too much of a ruckus from a dangerous enemy.

[[[ “I think I know where he is… you may have to ask in another language..” ]]] just a pleasant moment with the boys.. handfeeding them scraps of meat. The trolling is lovely. 🤣😂

If what Hal reports is true, it reminds me of a movie approved by JFK to be filmed around the WH. And the irony, given its substance, it came out after Dealey Plaza. Did he sense where proceedings could go, given the lunatics occupying the Pentagon?? And why is it always the Air Force, era after era?? Excellent movie too

What Pepe has been describing filled me with great joy. I am happy for Russia. It operated by the principle, “Build it and They will come…” And 17,000 from 150 countries came.. we see this happening Live. They get to be leader of the new multipolar world not only in commodities, gold-backed currency, diplomacy and kinetics, but in Ideas. And Ideas set all subsequent menus……

This “Open Space Technology” sounds like what I taught in the highly interactive educational curriculum workshops called “Team-Based Learning (TBL).” Dr. Larry Michaelsen created it on the fly during the oil-crunch of the 1970s when his Oklahoma faculty was dramatically downsized and only a small handful of professors remained to teach and grade a huge student load.

There is utility for these models, especially in underserved areas, with certain populations lacking self-motivation, and with older professionals brainstorming together in pleasant workshops… Some schools (pre and post-grad) converted entirely to this model. It forces pre-reading the night before the didactic (always useful), engagement, and forces teams to deal with real-world problems in the gray zone or with nuance. They do not merely enjoin enthusiasm, but ownership of topics.

Most of the time is spend in working through implications of the material – so a two-fer, rather than in mere comprehension. And what is missing in comprehension is taught by other team-members. As teams argue amongst themselves or between themselves, they learn to solve tasks and understand the topic deeper. They are not simply dumbly absorbing material in a boring lecture. And this model may be useful for all cultures, whether individualistic or highly social, in teaching cooperation and team skills..

I think some schools overdo it though, having switched over to it altogether… IMHO, each individual needs the pressure of being “under the gun” alone. After all, the final exams and many real world scenarios do not enjoy the presence of a team. Certainly, rigorous individual educational foundation needs to be already present or taught concurrently… So half and half may be a better mix. But these type of interactions (for younger naive learners) may be sadly needed for current Tik Tok and Attention-Deficited generations. It will push more to achieve their potential.

ZZzzzzzzzz……………

In six days ends the Air Defender 23, on June 23 of 2023, having used some 230 warplanes. And note the night before its scheduled end will be the anniversary of the launch of Op Barbarossa. Is 11 days sufficient for the dastardly task of our intrepid Pirates? All practiced up, and forlorn testicles tucked in Sumo-wrestler style, with the all clear on the optimal routes and approaches and desired coordinates? I suppose like certain classic Japanese warplanes attacking US naval carriers in WW2, they only need one-way fuel loads..

HT, did you get in? Pl share your PoV

The issue may be uncertainty of who’s in charge of the madmen… Karaganov, Medvedev, even Lukashenko now, all sound out contours of the enemy control system.

Are they rational any longer? Pressure, and this is beyond the usual atmospheric level, tends to crush. Turns reasoned folks into simpering sweating frozen baboons. Are any in charge at all? The human body can twitch and maintain a semblance of activity for hours after death too — even a fixed angry glare with eyes wide open.

Have the lunatics activated “sentient A.I.?” Why wouldn’t they, all else being lost? When didn’t villains and nazis use every weapon at hand? Automate and unleash the worst most unbearable Hell, to hopefully overcome superior conventional enemies through unflinching pressure. It is brinkmanship to the nth degree.

How then does one proceed? With whom negotiate and attempt to arrest the slide into Nirvana?! Even if putative “control systems” are struck, it will not have an effect. Self-preservation may have been lost — whether ceded voluntarily to the pitiless nerveless automation, overcome due to stress in key decision makers, or a hateful suicidal cult is in charge intent on Samson Options in the face of inevitable defeat. So, are we dealing with rational actors on the western side??? That may be the current Russian sounding out, informing decision trees and their next steps.

Exactly, if this madness is pursued it would be worse than a loss in the SMO. It would nullify everything — all the work and diplomacy of 30 years. And for what? Something unneeded, due to misinformed paranoia. And it speaks against core values — such as working to save lives painstakingly in areas civilians were used as human shields. And the promise of a just new world view at variance with the last 500 years of Might makes Right.

Putin and the General Staff know the score. And they are not merely calm, they are visibly confident and patient. This is agitprop. And foolish one! Again, when will they jettison the 5th column in RT? They have now created a paper trail of senior Russian intelligentsia broaching this extreme taboo. It can be used against Russia following a FF

Today (Moscow time now) begins the SPIEF economic forum in St. Petersburg.. one of the most anticipated gatherings in the world this year.. Note the highlighted attendance by ASEAN (third biggest economic zone), in addition to BRICS, CIS, West Asia, and 2/5 of Africa.. business continues for the part of the world interested in constructive wholesome living.

Mr P: Wow! The FA Axis video confirms what I was told by a mathematician once – anything and everything can be expressed mathematically. I am no longer “Jadad,” lol

Sudhi: I remember reading an Afghan saying (and they really love and observe their proverbs), to paraphrase – first came a solitary explorer or wanderer, then merchants (or teachers or surveyers??), then came the invading armies… a variant of what my History teacher explained as the three Gs or the three Cs: God, Gold, & Guns (not necessarily in that order, or in import). An efficient process, well demarcated by the Graeco-Romans on how to pillage and subdue the subjects with various devices. It must really be tiresome (but interesting) to live in crossroads of civilizations like the Afghan or the Russians of Novorossiya

Addendum: I found it:

“first comes one englishman, as a traveler or for a hunt. then come two and make a map. then comes an army and takes the country. therefore, it is better to kill the first englishman”
– pashtun proverb