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Grieved
ParticipantWe saw Laith’s footage yesterday of the fighting on the Syria-Lebanon border in the north. Today we have Vanessa Beeley’s extensive report of that activity, in which local farmers beat the HTS special forces, large weapons appear where none were suspected, the Lebanese army gets the right orders for once (i.e. to fight), and the resistance grows apace. And so far, no involvement from Hezbollah:
Grieved
ParticipantThis is an amazing story. The nation needed funds for defense weapons and instead of loans or taxes, it asked its citizens to donate voluntarily. This is a superb lesson in good governance – it sparks the question, why should any nation require taxes to run its operations? If the performance is adequately transparent, it could be enough to ask for donations from the people. If the money doesn’t come, improve the product or the transparency until it does.
A brilliant success story. And as well as soldier arms and transports, they invested in missiles and drones. A great mix of lethality for the nation’s sovereignty.
I am admiring this nation and its leader and its effort – and its inspiration – more and more.
Grieved
ParticipantHafez al-Assad, Bashar’s son, has published an account of the Saturday & Sunday of the fall of Syria. Eva Bartlett attests to the validity of the newly opened Telegram account as belonging to Hafez (she is in contact with him) but she cannot verify he wrote this, and is in no position to verify the truth of his account – we must take as we find it until more comes from the family, if at all.
Links at bottom, and I hope I may repost all of his text here for convenience?
–BEGIN–
حافظ الأسد, [2/10/2025 5:13 AM]
1/2:There was never a plan—not even a backup—to leave Damascus, let alone Syria.
Over the past 14 years, Syria has endured hardships and dangers no less severe than those of late November and early December. Anyone intending to flee would have done so long ago, particularly in the early years when Damascus faced near siege, daily bombardment, and the constant threat of terrorists reaching its centre.
Before everything unfolded, I travelled from Damascus to Moscow on November 20 via Cham Wings Airlines to defend my doctoral dissertation on November 29. At the time, my mother was in Moscow following a bone marrow transplant she had undergone at the end of summer, which required isolation as part of her treatment. I had planned to stay longer after my defence to complete certain certification procedures, but as the situation in Syria deteriorated, I returned to Damascus on Sunday, December 1, aboard Syrian Air to be with my father and brother, Karim. My mother remained in Moscow to continue her treatment, with my sister, Zein, staying by her side.
Regarding the events of Saturday, December 7, and Sunday, December 8:
On Saturday morning, my brother sat for a mathematics exam at the Higher Institute for Applied Sciences and Technology in Damascus, where he was studying. He was preparing to resume classes the next day. Meanwhile, my sister had booked a ticket to return to Damascus on Sunday, December 8, aboard Syrian Air.
On Saturday afternoon, rumours began circulating that we had fled the country. Several people reached out to confirm whether we were still in Damascus. In response, I took a picture at Al-Nairabain Park in Al-Muhajireen neighbourhood and shared it on my (now closed) private Instagram account. Not long after, some social media pages picked up the picture and began circulating it.
حافظ الأسد, [2/10/2025 5:13 AM]
2/2:Until then, despite the distant sounds of shelling, nothing seemed unusual—just the familiar reality we had grown accustomed to since the early years of the war. The situation remained unchanged as the army prepared to defend Damascus, showing no signs of the subsequent deterioration—until the sudden and unexpected news of the army’s withdrawal from Homs, mirroring earlier withdrawals from Hama, Aleppo, and Idlib countryside. Even then, there were no preparations for departure, nor any indication that we would be leaving. That changed after midnight when a Russian official arrived at our home in Al-Malki neighbourhood. He conveyed a request for the President to relocate to Latakia for a few days due to the severity of the situation in Damascus and to facilitate the oversight of the battles, which were still ongoing on the coastal and Al-Ghab Plain fronts.
As for the claim that we left without informing my cousins, who were in Damascus at the time, I was the one who called them multiple times as soon as we knew we were relocating. Shortly afterward, we learned from their household staff that they had left for an unknown destination.
After a short time, we headed toward Damascus International Airport, arriving around 3a.m., where we were joined by my uncle, Maher. We found the airport deserted, with no staff present, including at the control tower. We then boarded a Russian military aircraft to Latakia, landing at Hmeimim Airport before dawn.
In the early hours of Sunday morning, we were supposed to head to the presidential retreat in the Burj Islam area, which is over 40 kilometres from the airport by road. However, all attempts to reach anyone there were unsuccessful, as every phone we tried was turned off. We soon began receiving reports of military withdrawals from the frontlines, and the fall of the last remaining positions. At the same time, a series of drone attacks began targeting the base, accompanied by both close and distant gunfire in the surrounding area; this situation continued throughout our stay.
In the afternoon, the base command briefed us on the gravity of the situation nearby. They informed us that leaving the base was no longer an option, as terrorists had spread through the country, the situation had descended into chaos, and all communication with military leadership had been lost. After consulting with Moscow, the base command informed us that our transfer to Russia had been requested. Some-time after, we boarded a Russian military aircraft bound for Moscow, where we landed later that night.
–END–
Source is here: https://t.me/HafezBAlAssad/3
Eva’s repost is here: https://nitter.poast.org/EvaKBartlett/status/1888963982037319896#m
H/T to Fiorella Isabel and Syrian Girl for passing this along. Syrian Girl says we still don’t know who the traitors were who ordered the retreats, but to me it’s looking as one suspected, the fix made by Israel/US and unbeknownst to Turkey. Very well coordinated betrayal. Commenters say: Odd he doesn’t mention his father’s quick trip to Moscow (on Friday?), and another asks, the drone attack was from whom? Probably not HTS.
Many mysteries remain, but a colossal act of treachery to be sure.
Grieved
ParticipantThere are only so many commercial labs in the world, and I believe Wuhan was both BSL3 and BSL4 in separate sections or perhaps buildings. The point is that scientific work gets contracted out all the time, in pieces and parts of a whole project, to appropriate sites to perform the work specified.
In short, I don’t find it odd that the Chinese government knew nothing about the work happening at the lab. But when the outbreak occurred they treated it as a bioweapon attack. The rest of the world emulated their lockdown crisis management in lousy ways, to fit their own agendas.
And now we see the story spread that it leaked from Wuhan, when we know the project itself was commanded from Detrick, and that it probably leaked a bit from there earlier as a “vaping disease” and that it came to Wuhan fortuitously either by accident or more probably by planned release, using US soldiers.
We also know it appeared out of the blue in Iran at the same time, blowing away any other idea than that it was deliberately seeded. China was the patsy, as you say, and I suspect that China gauges it to be pointless to try to fight that narrative at this time, uphill against the media tide.
Grieved
ParticipantThey’re Bayraktar drones – presumably available on the open market, so not necessarily implying any great relationship with Turkey, but perhaps so.
More compelling to me was hearing the story of the “advisors” who were let back in 2010, and how they demoralized the army. And how France keeps trying with every stiletto of treachery it can slip between the ribs. And that Traore has already survived ten (!) assassination attempts.
I know it’s France, but the methodology seems universal and eternal. I keep seeing Wormtongue in Lord of the Rings, enfeebling the king of Rohan with his treacherous whispers, until that spell was broken. As we see now in the USA with this revelation about USAID, funding the forces that enfeeble us, stealing our money to pay for it, taking their privilege as a part of the money.
I don’t wish to detract from the African story, only to say we can all learn from each other throughout the resistance, because the story, we see, is the same everywhere. They strike in our weak places and enfeeble us, until someone says no and pushes back, and then they themselves weaken and fold, surprisingly easily when real strength is applied.
But they always retain the power of treachery and that never sleeps. Great lessons here from the story of Traore, who is a great man, and the inspiration from his actions. Many thanks.
Grieved
ParticipantSo Trump’s candy that he fed to Netanyahu is working already:
@Hamas/Tsahal:
Israeli Channel 12 broadcast a video showing an Israeli army officer ordering his soldiers to withdraw from the Netzarim corridor:“We are preparing for the final exit from Netzarim.
We will come back here, don’t worry. Hamas is preparing, but so are we. We will come back and we will get all the hostages back. God willing, Trump’s plan will come into effect and we will come back and settle here and build all the settlements.”
This is how they bluster forward while retreating backward. Trump himself couldn’t have done better than this soldier who eats enormous crow and promises to return as a sop to his pride.
Total lack of emotional intelligence. Speaking bile so as to offset the taste of it in his mouth.
There will be so much bluster forward. So much retreating backward. The age we live in.
Grieved
ParticipantFor what it’s worth, I too think Trump doesn’t like Netanyahu. Since we’re all reading body language in this matter, my immediate impression was that Trump didn’t want Bibi present, viewing him as a distraction from the very real changes that Trump is focused on domestically in the US, but also representing a major political force domestically that had to be appeased.
I saw Trump’s face as that of a man who was not among friends and having fun, but who was conducting business that had to be conducted. The New York real estate developer had dealt with unsavory people before, many times, and here it was again.
Had he been Japanese, his eyes would have been slitted during that public episode, and his mind would not have been on display.
my 2 cents.
Grieved
ParticipantYoav Gallant, the motormouth that keeps on giving. Also in that interview he describes the explosive that killed Nasrallah as 80 ton, precisely so, and by his command. This size would have taken multiple bombs, and yet there is only one center to the crater.
Syrian Girl, God love her, is putting these things together in a string of tweets to show that it had to be a tactical nuke, if it was essentially only one bomb. The evidence doesn’t show multiple strikes, and even multiples couldn’t have burrowed down as a bunker buster, because that effect has to come from a single charge:
Grieved
ParticipantYoav Galant has admitted in an interview on Israel’s Channel 12 that “he thinks” the Hannibal Directive was given during the October 7 raid “tactically in some places..and not in others.” He’s passing the buck to the fog of war, but he was asked this question very directly by his interviewers. So, is Israel preparing society to understand the truth, that Israel killed its own? (As we all knew from October 8 when we saw the horror of the melted cars.)
The Cradle has the story, and Electronic Intifada has a short clip from the interview:
Grieved
ParticipantJustin Podur is back again, giving what he hopes is the last sitrep, in the Gaza Debrief. It’s a brief meditation on the styles of warfare and how history, and especially military history, will analyze the battle for Gaza. He questions if the Israeli army is spent, and also the Israeli people, and thinks that they are. And with no people’s will the army cannot reconstitute itself. His calm voice and deep insights are a balm:
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One could build on his thought that Israel is spent (with the West Bank yet to play itself out), and think of Israel stalling its future campaigns on the pretext of waiting for the US to come and take the land…which is being delayed, and will be delayed, forever, of course…
Grieved
ParticipantI’m interrupting the Krainer interview again to share an important concept that he reminds me of. Around minute 27:00, Nima starts talking about the new era of Chinese tech dominance and Krainer speaks of the sheer cost of the globalist control the US has spent trillions on, and also how the entrenched oligarchy and bureaucracy – and corruption fueled by entities such as USAID – has stifled innovation in the US.
This last point is an important concept that was addressed this morning in one of his best essays ever by Jeff Childers at the Coffee & Covid substack. He devoted his whole column to his thesis, reinforced with plenty of collateral, including from prior commentators who have also been putting this thesis together – namely, that the US has been stuck in a cultural and development rut for all of this century. The culture feeds on its old creations, and nothing new is being produced, and this is the result of the rot and corruption that has taken hold to such a degree now that, from sheer fear of unrest and challenge, it forbids innovation.
Childers is an excellent writer and his coherent essay is very readable. I recommend it highly:
https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/the-big-thaw-thursday-february-6
Grieved
ParticipantKrainer – I’m only 15 minutes in so far, but in those first 15 mins he gives his take on Trump’s land grab announcement with Netanyahu. I agree with his take on body language and who was the alpha male by the way, I call Trump way above Bibi on that one, although Trump seemed more deliberate than usual – the grins from Bibi were juvenile at best, and I surmise along with Krainer that Bibi and the AIPAC lobby were being fed candy by Trump.
By the way, I never saw that picture of holding Bibi’s chair as a lord and master thing…I see it as a business host who is in charge but aware that his guest is in pain and recovering from serious surgery and could well miss that chair!
Anyway, always good to get Krainer’s sane and logical reasoning. And it’s useful that, unlike many commentators who specialize in global geopolitics, Krainer does very much understand also how surgically Trump’s team is restoring the rule of law inside the US, the very thing that Trump was elected for, by an electorate largely uncaring about world affairs, but tightly focused on the domestic situation. So Krainer can weigh and balance those two realms, of the global and the domestic – I appreciate that sleight of hand from Trump that he speaks of, I postulate that also.
Grieved
ParticipantToo many great interviews happening right now. Imagine, Professor Marandi and Alastair Crooke in the same interview – in person with Dmitry Simes Jr in Moscow:
“Trump’s Madman Strategy” – https://nitter.poast.org/NewRulesGeo/status/1887535802626023526#m
(And that video is downloadable/adjustable with a simple right-click if desired.)
Grieved
ParticipantDmitri Lascaris has a really good interview with Alex Krainer. Very mature geopolitics. The first 15 minutes Krainer spends illustrating how the world might just be coming to a new order to replace the old one from WWII, namely the regional spheres of influence that account for Russia, China and the US. He makes a compelling case.
As some have speculated, the moves by Trump may be to strengthen the North American sphere while releasing or reducing involvement in the rest of the world. And Putin has said that he and Trump should discuss bigger things than Ukraine – perhaps a new security architecture over a much broader field?
They move on to discuss the future of Syria and the demise of Israel with the US in turn “replanting” itself into Lebanon as the next unsinkable stronghold. A lot of global forces at play in this discussion, the whole thing is good:
Grieved
ParticipantYou can feel how they relish having chanced upon the unproven “cable break” claim as the gift that keeps on giving…until the punch in the mouth, of course
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