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May 04 2026 
A negotiated settlement for a sovereign Iran is nigh impossible
Trump today seems torn between the prospect of ‘heavy’ military escalation and an extended Hormuz blockade.
Strategic Culture
Putting two sides together — let alone three — who have wildly diverse chronicles of their histories and even less commonality in charting their future national trajectory was innately unlikely to reach an agreed settlement. More likely in such ill-prepared… Continue reading
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May 04 2026 
War on Iran – 7
Previous Thread: https://sovereignista.com/2026/04/04/war-on-iran-6/
Thanks so much to Jangjo for regular updates – much appreciated!
May 31
Criminal Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu:
I instructed the IDF to expand the maneuver in Lebanon. Our forces crossed powerful obstacles. They seized commanding terrain and captured the Beaufort Ridge.
And now my instruction is to deepen and expand our hold on areas that… Continue reading
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May 03 2026 
Kevork Almassian & Marwa Osman : The Hidden Alliance
Syriana Analysis
Is Syria’s New Leader in a Hidden Alliance with Israel?
Is Ahmad al-Sharaa helping Israel choke Hezbollah through Syria? In this livestream, Kevork Almassian speaks with Marwa Osman about Israel’s escalating attacks on southern Lebanon despite the ceasefire, the deeper strategy behind efforts to sever Hezbollah’s supply and logistics routes, and whether Syria’s new leadership… Continue reading
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May 02 2026 
Mohammed Marandi | Iran’s Next Move Will Change The World
With Jamarl Thomas
This is a good discussion of future possibilities. Summer in the region, What will Iran take out if there is further kinetic strikes, Critical Infrastructure, Iran’s capabilities, The Palaces, Israel in the crosshairs … A calm and realistic discussion including touching on the economic destruction which is playing out already.
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May 01 2026 
Strait of Hormuz by the numbers
Larry Johnson did a count for us. The Bogus Blockade Claim of the US Department of War
Here is a quoted part, but kindly read his commentary on Hegseth on the blog. .
Here’s what the available data tells us about Strait of Hormuz transits since April 15:
Daily volumes (around April 15): On April 15 alone, there… Continue reading -
Apr 28 2026 
Pepe Escobar : Mr. Araghchi goes to Russia
From now on, it’s clear that no settlement will be possible – and realistic – without Russian influence.
Strategic Culture
Talk about an entrance pregnant with meaning.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi engaged on a high-stakes diplomacy tour to Islamabad, Muscat and St. Petersburg aboard flight “Minab 168” on Meraj Airlines.
In memory, of course, of the 168… Continue reading
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Apr 27 2026 
Four Years On, China’s Global Security Initiative Builds Momentum
chinadiplomacy.org.cn
By Matteo Giovannini
China’s Global Security Initiative has steadily built momentum since its 2022 launch, winning recognition across the Global South as a cooperative alternative to traditional security frameworks.
On April 21, 2022, at the Boao Forum for Asia Annual Conference, Chinese President Xi Jinping introduced the Global Security Initiative (GSI), presenting a forward-looking vision to address… Continue reading
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Apr 27 2026 
Alastair Crooke : The mechanistic fallacy — Why the West so often fails at geo-politics
Washington will not be able to think straight about Iran, and will opt for the wrong tactics.
Strategic Culture
Some fifteen years ago I wrote that western reliance on its lens of secular rationality was no longer adequate as a means to understand the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. It was becoming obvious — even then — that the future… Continue reading
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Apr 27 2026 
Yemen’s Foreign Minister Speaks With Reason2Resist
In August 2025, Israel murdered Yemen’s Prime Minister and several other members of his cabinet, including Yemen’s Foreign Minister.
Shortly after the assassinations, Abdulwahid Abu Ras was appointed as Yemen’s acting Foreign Minister. He has remained in that position since then.
On April 25, 2026, Foreign Minister Abu Ras sat down for an exclusive, wide-ranging interview… Continue reading
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Apr 23 2026 
Maria Zakharova on the killing of Amal Khalil in Lebanon.
The journalist Amal working in the South of Lebanon was deliberately targeted and droned in her vehicle with a college. She escaped into a house which was then deliberately targeted and demolished on top of her. She was under the rubble but still in contact with her people on her cell phone. Then the ambulances… Continue reading
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Apr 23 2026 
Time Is On Iran’s Side
indie.ca
Time, as the Rolling Stones said, is on my side. The Iranian side, that is. Iran is on land, commanding the Strait of Hormuz. The United States is out at sea, and all of its base belong to us. Iran can break the imperial economy with its weapon of Mass Economic Destruction (MED), but the… Continue reading
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Apr 21 2026 
Trump extends Iran ceasefire while maintaining maritime blockade
US President Donald Trump announces extending the Iran ceasefire following mediation efforts, while maintaining a US blockade and military readiness.
Al Mayadeen
US President Donald Trump announced on Tuesday the extension of the ceasefire with Iran, while simultaneously maintaining a blockade and keeping US forces on high alert, in what appears to be a continued escalation despite… Continue reading
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Apr 21 2026 
Tasnim : America and its media are surrounded by illusions
America and its media are surrounded by illusions/ There is no difference between the government and the carpet weavers and the IRGC;
You see where Vance is!
[▪️] If we look at the words of Trump and the American media only in the last few days, we can watch a great flood of lies. Lies that are… Continue reading
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Apr 18 2026 
Seyed M. Marandi: Iran Just Put the Strait of Hormuz on LIMITED MODE – Signs Point MAJOR Escalation
With Nima Alkorshid at Dialogue Works
Prof Marandi: We are moving closer to war … The crisis is getting worse by the minute. Global economy will collapse within 4 weeks.
