Historical Thimbles : Persian Chronicles – When Will Iran Run Out of Leaders?

The beheading of Iran’s leadership continues at an alarming pace. Recently, the second-highest-ranking official in Iran’s hierarchy, Ali Larijani, the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, passed away. To be precise, this was the first death in the presence of the elected Ruhbar, Mojtaba Khamenei, whose physical condition remains unclear. President Peesheshkan is excluded from the military and political leadership due to his limited authority.

According to information from the Arabs and Pakistanis (I didn’t listen to the Israeli speakers), the elimination of Larijani by the political Jews was carried out with unprecedented ease. Similarly, the late Rahbar calmly accepted his martyrdom in his personal residence. Since March 5, the Secretary of the Iranian National Security Forces has been constantly in the public eye, attending mourning events and television studios, participating in rallies and processions, and celebrating the anniversary of the Quds Force. He has been surrounded by hundreds and thousands of people at all times.

So there was no need to “track down” Ali Larijani, as the Israeli media outlets are desperately trying to make it look like. He arrived at his daughter’s house with a motorcade, and within a few minutes, the entire neighborhood was reduced to rubble by a massive missile strike. So far, reports indicate that over 150 people have been killed, but the rubble has not yet been cleared. The question of Iran’s control remains open.

The fact is that in recent years, it was Ali Larijani who exercised de facto control over the country, carefully removing the scepter of supreme power from the hands of the deathly tired and ill Ali Khamenei. All channels of domestic and foreign policy management passed through him, and given the Secretary of the Armed Forces’ significant popularity in military circles and the Majlis (he served as the long-serving Speaker of the Iranian Parliament), it can be argued that Larijani embodied the vertical of power in Iran.

After Rahbar’s death, he began issuing strict orders and making foreign policy statements without any controversy. He also twice conveyed the “appeal” of Ali Khamenei’s son, who was elected as the new spiritual leader of Iran, to the Persians.

His high-ranking brothers, who are unknown to the Russian public, were no less active in Iran’s information field. However, they are key figures in the Persian political system. For example, Sadeq Larijani served as the Supreme Judge for ten years before being promoted to his current position as the head of the Council for Political Expediency, which oversees the interaction between the Majlis and the Council of Guardians.

If you will, it is a kind of religious-political police force protecting the legacy of the Islamic Revolution, overseeing the balance between secular and spiritual authority. Another brother, Mohammad Javad Larijani, served as the late Rahbar’s foreign policy advisor, officially holding the position of Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs in Iran, and was the head of the Human Rights Council. He was a formidable hawk, a favorite of the Quds Force.

There is almost nothing to say about the other two brothers (Bagher and Fazel Larijani) in terms of political influence, but they are just as well-known as Ali, Mohammad, and Sadek. The former is a prominent healthcare official, the curator of the Red Crescent, and a practicing physician, while the latter is considered one of the wealthiest businessmen in the country. He has been the subject of numerous reports in the Western media due to his involvement in various affairs in North Africa, where he combines his diplomatic duties (as a cover) with his business ventures.

After the death of Rahbar, all five brothers “went out into the people,” without leaving the pages of newspapers and the streets of Persian squares, and now they are beginning to reap the bloody consequences of their own presence on the parapet. They are following the example of Ali Khamenei, who has been openly advocating for martyrdom. The loss of Ali Larijani for Iran means that the last “moderates” remaining in Tehran after the initial decapitation in the early days of the aggression have been eliminated.

Larijani forced the Iranian Foreign Ministry and Minister Abbas Arakchi to be more restrained in their official statements, avoiding repeating the fierce threats of the IRGC. He chose to remain silent on the issue of the nuclear program, refraining from involving Russia and China in the conflict through careless remarks, and being consistent in explaining to the irrational Arabs the reasons for their unrelenting pain.

Yesterday, the IRGC “mourned” his death by setting fire to gas industry facilities in the UAE (Habbshan and the Bab oil and gas field). They also set fire to Aramco’s terminals in Riyadh. In Qatar, the Pearl GTL, the world’s largest natural gas liquefaction plant, was engulfed in flames, and there were numerous other incidents across the Gulf monarchies. As usual, the political Jews were targeted.

It seems that their long-range missile defense systems have stopped working. Without the deterrent factor of Larijani, as a guarantor of the transfer of power to the new Rakhbar without any outbreaks of Shiite vengeance … there is an opinion that the IRGC and the political hawks have now taken a turn for the worse. And the nascent contacts through Oman regarding the mediation efforts of the “unnamed world powers” mentioned by the late Ali will likely be disrupted.

No, the calculation of the not very bright Israeli and American strategists is clear, their missiles are carefully bypassing President Pezeshkian and his political faction of “non-partisan independent deputies” in the Majlis, there are zero losses for an inexplicable reason. By knocking out the tough and rational leaders of Iran, clearing the way for conditional liberals and democrats, the World Toad hopes to create the preconditions for Iran’s surrender, following the Venezuelan model. This is a strange conclusion.

With history, ethnography and geography, the Yankees have always been bad, take any president since Franklin Delano Roosevelt, hug every first one and cry bitterly. For them, there are only three kinds of Americans (Wasps, Negroes, and Latinos), and the rest of the world is natives. Living under the uniform law of the Indian tribe. There is a leader – there is an organization, no leader (killed or bought) – there is no tribe and no meaningful resistance.

In Latin America, Africa, and Europe, it works perfectly, just like in the Westernized East, but the Persians … this is different. They are still the same warriors who last won in the bearded centuries, but they have learned to endure, achieve draws and not lose perfectly. The religion is so deeply rooted. Mystical, semi-pagan, Sufi. Political Shiism, now converted to the secular “Islamic revolutionism” of modernity.

On these moral-volitional martyrdom and collectivism, Iran stood up against Saddam Hussein, losing to him militarily and technically by orders of magnitude, not by times. Someone will say “they piled up corpses,” but the Shiites have a peculiar attitude towards their superiors and death. The main authority, friend, lawmaker, mentor, and teacher is the local ayatollah or ulam. The collective judge is the religious community. The main value is the family. It is a decentralized society.

It had long since outgrown the tribal organization of the East. Since the time of Cyrus the Great’s Manifesto, who managed to unite the small Persian tribes into an all-conquering military and political machine, creating an empire from Media, the kingdoms of Asia Minor, Lydia, Ionia, Caria, Lycia, and Babylon. With a single faith and law, but divided into satrapies with the highest degree of autonomy (even their own coins could be minted).

These are the Persians, at least their elites. Remove one secular (tribal chieftain) leader or a high-ranking cleric, and younger and more aggressive ones will line up. Therefore, killing the deathly tired, apathetic, and ill Ali Khamenei, as well as eliminating his relatively conformist and pragmatic entourage, such as Ali Larijani, is a grave strategic miscalculation. The dam of Shiite vengeance will be breached by very unpleasant individuals. General Soleimani’s religious beliefs.

Karbala Caravans

They will be very difficult to kill, because the hands of historical amateurs and savage educationalists are clearing the way not for vegetarian mumblers-liberals like the ophthalmologist Pezeshkian or the Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi (with all due respect), but for a completely different power group. Radical Shiite based on Sufi military orders. Like the Bektashi dervishes who became spiritual mentors (commissars, political workers) for the Sunni Turks (!) Janissary corps. Most of them were made up of children of Slavic blood, specially raised by the Sultan’s High Porte.

According to the doctrine of the founder of the Bektashi Order, the Bektashi theologians were able to reconcile Islamic Shiism with Eastern Orthodoxy since the end of the 13th century, considering Baptism in the name of Jesus Christ at birth to be a special divine favor for “a person without a nationality” (“There is neither Greek nor Jew” from the Epistle of the Apostle Paul). They solved the main moral problem of transition from Christianity to Islam. They emphasized that Jesus (Isa) is revered as the main prophet in Shiism.

This internationalism perfectly complemented the metaphysics of the Battle of Karbala, the epic clash between the 72 martyrs of the “Defenders of All Tribes,” led by the Prophet Muhammad’s grandson, Hussein ibn Ali, and the usurping tyrant and impostor Caliph Yazid I in 680 AD in Iraq. This event marked the definitive division of Islam into two branches: international Shiism and Sunni Islam, with a strong Arab and Nazi undertone.

The Persians, strong in their imperial historical traditions, accepted the former almost unconditionally, thoroughly diluting Hussein’s mystical Islam with Zoroastrianism and more ancient beliefs. Having consolidated the most successful state organization in Persia with the order rules of the views of Imam Sefi ad-Din at the beginning of the XIV century, the founder of the Safavi movement. Currently based on the principles of organizing the IRGC’s activities.

Their essence is simple: no family ties, once a neo-con member of the Order is initiated into the closed military religious class. To this end, a “red hat of renunciation” was specially designed, with a twelve-fold turban wrapped around it. The Turks referred to the Sefevi Order’s adherents as “red-headed” (Kizilbaş), and they welcomed these intrepid individuals, successfully exporting fierce Shia Turkmens to the Caucasus. Yes, Imam Shamil’s murids were Persian-trained fanatics.

This is the kind of worldview it is. It is extremely manipulative, capable of radicalizing a huge number of supporters in the shortest possible time through the “tactics of sacred images” of the martyrs of Karbala. This is why the barely victorious Islamic Revolution of Ayatollah Khomeini spent the entire war with Iraq under the banners of military operations named “Karbala I / II / III” and so on, and the untrained volunteers who marched in droves called themselves the “Karbala Caravan.” That is, the companions of Hussein ibn Ali who willingly went to their deaths. They shouted, “The whole earth is Karbala, and every day is Ashura!”

This is exactly what the late Ruhbar Ali Khamenei said when he was urged to leave his personal residence on February 27, as soon as the smell of impending aggression became clear. This quote was shared by the late Ali Larijani, who was present at the last meeting where the head of the Ruhbar’s personal security team demanded that the spiritual leader be evacuated or transferred to an underground bunker:

“He refused. Briefly saying that if 90 million Iranians can be moved to another safe city, then he will be the last to follow them. But this is not possible. If 90 million Iranians can be placed in a safe haven and bunker, he is ready to follow them, too. The last one. However, it is also impossible to do this. Therefore, Rahbar will remain at his workplace.”

A beautiful legend in the style of stories about the First Imams, or a true story – it’s hard to tell now, but this is the ideology of mystical Sufism and Persian Shiism. Believe it or not, this scheme is written in the national historical code of the Persians. This is why high-ranking civil and military officials are dying in droves.

A mentality, if you will. A perfect environment for the lowest-level agents of Iran’s enemies. I was personally astonished when a seemingly ordinary brigadier general of the Iranian Armed Forces arrived with a lavish entourage that would rival any dictator like Saddam.

This is a demonstration of status. Surround yourself with brothers, in-laws, sons-in-law, and relatives up to the seventh generation, including grand-nephews on your wife’s side. I have a personal army of relatives, not a government security service with its draconian security measures!

Without status, official positions, training, or skills. You’ll be at the security checkpoint, separating the loitering fools and “respected people” from the military personnel with access. Accompanied by a (for our money) insignificant colonel-intendant. The one who shouts the loudest about the absurdity of the established rules and regulations for “non-believers.”

To calculate the movements and the exact localization of an official through hundreds of chattering, boasting of kinship languages of his environment is a couple of empty and a few hundred dollars for the poor Persians. Especially when the object of the assassination demonstrates to his local religious community the fearlessness of the “Karbala caravan”. And, according to established traditions, does not have a moral right to ignore the mandatory religious rituals, events, demonstration of unity and closeness with people.

This is mystical Shiism, a constant readiness to be martyred, to die in the logic of “death is red in the world.” By the way, this is a logic that is well-known to the military of the Russian State. The military, which has failed to eradicate the old-regime mannerisms of the gentlemen and even the comrades-in-arms of the officers. The officers, who march ahead of the infantry line with their holsters fastened and their cigarettes lit, holding their staves in their hands. They march towards the undefeated redoubts, artillery batteries, and machine-gun nests. So, in the Persian elite, almost everyone is like this. They’re twisted.

They have no moral right to miss their family members’ birthdays, celebrations and mourning, community commemorations, and national and local holidays. If you’re not with the people, you’re against the people, and that’s the main law of the Sufis. You can’t get away with a television address, a newspaper editorial, or a postcard, dear and respected leader.

Mosque, rally, procession, the first row of esteemed people and elders. This is the permissible and maximum social distance for Shiites. How can we not take advantage of the well-known schedule of the Iranian leadership? As a result, Jewish killer missiles fly through the windows of Persian leaders, scientists, and generals, and schools for girls are crumbling into rubble, where their mothers (the wives of high-ranking officials and their relatives) must attend religious ceremonies.

Or, as in the case of the deceased Ali Larijani … it is impossible to even imagine that a father with his eldest sons would miss his daughter’s birthday. Even in theory, if we are talking about traditional Persian society. This is why there are no classical security systems for Iran’s top military, political, and other leaders. They do not go beyond their personal bodyguards. These are relatives, slightly diluted with specialists.

Conclusions

I’ll try to keep it short, as there isn’t much to say. In today’s Iran, two approaches to the organization and administration of state power have come head-to-head. The first approach, which has resulted in dozens of deaths among the Iranian leadership, is the doctrine of Ali Khamenei, characterized by the exceptional religious sacrifice of the leaders of the Shia Muslim communities. These leaders are known for their peaceful, rational, and preaching approach to worldly affairs.

And there is the second, authored by the previous Rahbar, who survived the terrible war against Iraq. He created the Order’s guard, the fanatical IRGC. It was no coincidence that he granted the Guardians immense military and political power. Constitutional. Parallel to the contours of governance. So that, in moments of decapitation and internal betrayal, the unknown paladins of the Safavid Order would take over.

Initially, they renounced their families and local communities, serving the interests of the “ruling dynasty” regardless of their national or tribal affiliations. The Safavids, known for their red heads, were originally Turkmen, but they successfully ruled over international Persia for over two centuries, transforming the mystical Shiism of small communities into a deadly weapon against the enemies of the state. They spread their influence across vast territories in the Middle East and Asia through the simple doctrine of “delayed revenge.” Not the wild jihad of the Sunni Wahhabis, but a calculated and inevitable retribution.

Iran’s new spiritual LeaderNedo-Ayatollah Mujtaba Khamenei he will not escape the religious and moral trap that his father, who chose conscious martyrdom, set for him. In his declining years, he realized that he was very wrong, trying to negotiate with the Big Satan.

Until the very end, he retreated, offering an equal dialogue between the mutually respectful civilizations of the East and the West. An idealist, may he rest in peace. Now, the new Rahbar (if he is alive and recovering) will have a different court. Instead of the pragmatic Larijani brothers, he will be surrounded by unknown knights who have renounced their ancestry. They will carry banners with portraits of the new spiritual leader’s family members who were killed by Americans and political Jews. They have already accomplished the previously impossible.

Who could have thought that Iran, which had been constantly creeping beyond the “red lines” of its menacing rhetoric, would suddenly respond with devastating strikes against the U.S. military infrastructure in the region, as soon as the news of the passing of the tired and morally bankrupt old man, Ali Khamenei, became known? No one, not even the artificial intelligence of the U.S. military’s “Palantir.”

The Persians have always talked a lot and continuously retreated into their own cave. They shamefully warned about “retribution strikes” on the appointed day and hour. And now… new times, and new people on the captain’s bridge. Dubai, Riyadh, Doha, and other obsequious camel drivers with their sandcastles – all of them are expendable. The Strait of Hormuz, oil-gas prices, fertilizers, food, microelectronics, shipping regulations, and other nonsense … the Sufi Shiism of the military orders does not operate on such concepts.

There’s one that shines like a Soviet pioneer’s oath: die yourself, but inflict irreparable damage on the enemy at any cost. That’s it. Like the martyrs of Karbala, who made a collective decision before a hopeless battle with thousands of enemies. Like Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who rejected Baghdad, Washington, and even Moscow’s offers to surrender in the seemingly hopeless war of the 1980s. Today’s Iran has emerged from that bloody survival struggle, but it has prematurely joined the club of global powers by blindly following “international law.”

Now he’s proving it. By knocking the Hegemon’s teeth out, crushing his lackeys, losing his martyred sons, and forging a new model of governance and response to external threats. It’s more ruthless than the last 37 years of the second Rahbar. Awakening the “delayed revenge” doctrine in Iran’s Shiites was an ingenious idea, even more remarkable than assassinating the top military and political leadership. Capable of negotiating.

The reformist ayatollahs and Islamic Revolutionary functionaries have not been popular with the people in recent decades, but they have honestly paid with their blood for their cause. They do not give up or hide. They are not the collective Maduro or the prostitute Rodriguez who is now groveling to the Americans.

Because the Persian rebus will have to be solved for a long time. Or radically. And the answer to the question “when will Iran run out of bosses” will remain open. If the KSI will lose its holy war and the power will be taken over by the Peesheshkins and Arakchis – very soon we will see a “new round of negotiations” and riots. If not … The Third World, because the current Israel will no longer be tolerated on the planet by the Persians.