Somaliland is in the Epstein files. They’ve been plotting on Somalia for years. Anyone who supports somaliland is an evil gaal raac pic.twitter.com/b5ios66QMN

— Mujahid 🇸🇴 (@islaanTooLate) January 30, 2026

another theory:

Honestly, I don't like conspiracy theories but this had me thinking for almost half an hour.

They are going to force him into a war with Iran, that way he can cover up the Epstein case. However, if he's going to go down fighting, I hope he exposes every single one of them. https://t.co/uTz9HPnNWy

— Spetsnaℤ 007 🇷🇺 (@Alex_Oloyede2) January 30, 2026

SCOTUS on the list and at the island too

If this is SCOTUS Justice John Roberts, oh boy pic.twitter.com/LB7yrRrD3F

— WTFGOP (@doggintrump) January 30, 2026

WOW I wish I was part of the conversation Bill Gates had with his “advisors” – notice there’s no mention of the antibiotics for his wife here…

https://twitter.com/RT_com/status/2017357300143689923?s=20

Btw: The Bill Gates STD email was in July, 2013 pic.twitter.com/qCvmAThSOI

— Retard Finder (@IfindRetards) January 30, 2026

🤔 Will Russia and China Intervene in Support of Iran?

This commentary is in response to the persuasive and well-articulated analysis I have quoted below, authored by Collingwood @admcollingwood.

His arguments induce me to once against contemplate the "wild cards" of Russia and… https://t.co/Lt2ACqOSYW

— Will Schryver (@imetatronink) January 30, 2026

FULL TEXT:  🤔 Will Russia and China Intervene in Support of Iran?

This commentary is in response to the persuasive and well-articulated analysis I have quoted below, authored by Collingwood @admcollingwood

His arguments induce me to once against contemplate the “wild cards” of Russia and China in the context of what appears to be an imminent attack on Iran by the US/Israel.

I have previously argued (see my April 2024 essay in subsequent reply) that a scenario such as now exists will necessarily be regarded by Russia and China as an existential threat to them. I continue to feel this way.

Venezuela could be sacrificed by both Russia and China. Their long-term strategic objectives are not mortally threatened by its “loss” to the Americans.

However, I continue to believe Iran cannot be similarly sacrificed — both because of its inherent geostrategic importance, and also its strategic importance to the emergence of the multipolar world for which Russia and China are the vanguards and strongest components.

Russia and China simply cannot permit Iran to fall, and thereby cede the entire Persian Gulf region to fall under US / Israeli dominance. If they do permit this to happen, it will spell the end of the BRI, BRICS, and the emergence of a new multipolar international order. It will essentially cede continuing global hegemony to the American empire for many more years to come.

But what can they do about it?

Well, I would argue they need to do at least these two things:

1) Formally put Iran under their nuclear umbrella — state explicitly that a nuclear strike against Iran will be regarded as a nuclear strike against them. In other words, they must move decisively to take the nuclear weapons card off the table for the US/Israel.

2) Provide whatever assistance is necessary for Iran to actually deliver some serious blows against US military power: ISR (satellite) intel comparable to what the US has provided to Ukraine; electronic warfare capability to defeat US SEAD missions; additional AD capability, secure communications, etc.

Can this escalation be managed such that major war between the US, Russia, and China is avoided? Probably. Maybe. Hopefully.

But, in my estimation, the risk entailed in the attempt is preferable to the consequences of letting Iran fall to the empire at this juncture.

<hr />

Collingwood 🇬🇧

@admcollingwood

Let’s accept reality: a US attack on Iran is coming. The Iranians are in turn signalling “if you do, then this time we’ll respond seriously.” This suggests a much more serious conflict, and one would be difficult for either side to exit.

Why do I think this? We must answer two key questions. Will Trump pull the trigger? Will the Iranians respond seriously this time (which in turn has two components: will they try; will they be able to)?

We can work through this logically.

It is clear to the Iranians now that they must have nuclear weapons if they are going to survive. Whether that is acceptable or not to the rest of the world is immaterial (for what it is worth, I am strongly against any proliferation—not just Iran—and strongly in favour of nuclear arms reduction). What’s important here is that this is surely how Tehran sees it.

There is no chance that any of the major players will take the economic/military foot off Iran’s throat (rightly or wrongly) or that Iran can fulfill it’s strategic ambitions (for good or ill) until they have nukes. The evidence is in already.

It is also clear to them that they will not be able to develop nuclear weapons unless they have a full air defence suite. This means an integrated system of A2/AD batteries. It would also have to include a modern air force and AWACS to control them. They could get all this as a turnkey solution from China. (Like Pakistan did.) They’d get additional help from Russia.

There is no way that Israel or the US is going to sit idly for a few years while Iran makes itself a much harder target for some future point where Washington and Jerusalem are faced with a ‘strike now or deal with nuclear Iran in a few weeks’ decision point. (Or while China gains such influence.)

There are signs that Iran is in the process of building exactly such an air defence.

Therefore, logic dictates that Washington will want to attack now, while Iran is weak and before it can build an air defence network. Does this logic match reality? Yes. There are obvious signs, per the tweet below, and hundreds like it in the last two weeks, that the US is indeed preparing to attack.

This suggests the above logical reasoning is correct: the US will strike.

So, will Iran strike back?

Previously, for all its bluster, it responded to the US in a deescalatory manner: the bite was nothing like the bark. Given past behaviour is often a decent indicator or future behaviour, why would it be different this time?

Because it is clear now to Tehran that Israel and the US seek to remove the regime. Israel probably wants balkanisation or better yet a Syria scenario of civil war and thus permanent weakening so that Iran can never again threaten Israel or support anti-Israeli proxy forces. The US would probably be happy with a pliant regime that gave the US leverage over oil and left Israel alone.

But either way, Iran must recognise an existential threat: the economic sanctions and constant military-intelligence threat mean that the regime knows it cannot last much longer.

It therefore seems quite likely they will indeed change their behaviour and try to respond seriously.

Will they be able to? I do not know. I’m not expert enough.

But the logic very much points towards (1) a US attack and (2) the Iranians responding as hard as they can. This would mean that even if the US attempted a limited, ‘surgical’ strike, the Iranians would respond in a way that demanded a counter response.

If they are not overwhelmed, that would lead to a serious military conflict that could do serious economic damage to the region and globally (through oil prices).

My thinking, above, points to such a conflict unless the US attacked in a way that was so symbolic that it demanded a similar response. But such calibration looks near impossible now, and given the US knows everything I know, it becomes doubtful they would try, given it would be much easier to attempt to overwhelm Iran at the start.

Danger here. Buy gold?

Welp, the "files" are being dropped. You know what that means. Iran, get ready🫡😶‍🌫️

— SIMPLICIUS Ѱ (@simpatico771) January 30, 2026

Trump is so predictable

Delcy Rodriguez announces new oil legislation to 'create conditions to attract foreign investment' in Venezuela

Rodriguez reports a conversation with Trump and Rubio before the law came into force pic.twitter.com/maSZ5YWVH5

— RT (@RT_com) January 30, 2026