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cronetoo
ParticipantNot familiar with the author, Martin Jay (yes, he writes for the Daily Mail (even a stopped clock…); but his words ring true … for me.
The End Game in Iran also means the demise of Trump’s credibility around the world
ParticipantAbout 13 mins
ParticipantThank you Mr P …
ParticipantPutin’s Offensive SHOCKS NATO, Ukraine DEVASTATED
w/ Scott Ritter , Col. Lawrence Wilkerson and Garland Nixon
Participantvia ‘X’
Thomas Keith
@iwasnevrhere_
Iran has initiated its long-delayed transition from legacy-era aviation to a fused, multi-domain aerial doctrine, structured around Chinese systems integration and Russian high-capability airframes. With the Su-35 tranche capped due to Russian wartime production constraints, Tehran is shifting toward a scalable acquisition of J-10CE multirole fighters, recalibrating its force structure into a dual-axis fleet: Su-35s for strategic deterrence and high-altitude interception, and J-10CEs as the operational backbone for regional air superiority and saturation coverage. The J-10CE’s inclusion brings critical uplifts, AESA radar arrays, PL-15 BVR missile integration, modular EW compatibility, and sovereign BeiDou time-sync routing, delivered through China’s full-spectrum export ecosystem. This system includes depot-level sustainment, airframe lifecycle support, secure comms channels, and C2 interoperability across SCO-aligned nodes. The procurement pipeline is lubricated by oil-for-airframe barter, reactivated after Washington’s June 24 exemption for Chinese purchases of Iranian crude, marking a quiet end to dollar-clearing bottlenecks in bilateral arms trade.
This layered architecture now fuses Russian kinetic depth, Chinese production throughput, and Iranian drone-swarm doctrine into a single operational lattice. Su-35s provide long-range AWACS denial and strategic reach; J-10CEs handle multirole sorties, point defense, and tempo-based attrition cycles; Iranian UAVs fill the ISR, EW, and loitering munition domains with modular redundancy. The result is a sovereign, C4ISR-synced air grid that no longer merely contests Western-dominated skies, it rewrites the framework entirely, rendering previous assumptions about Iranian vulnerability functionally obsolete.
https://x.com/iwasnevrhere_/status/1940072054323118475/photo/1
ParticipantPosted on July 1, 2025
by Yves Smith
Yves here. It is exceedingly difficult to keep of top of Turkish President Recep Erdogan’s ongoing playing of various parties against each other. Readers can give many examples, but one layer of his many schemes was being helpful to Russia after the start of the Special Military Operation by continuing to trade with Russia and refusing to allow military ships to enter the Black Sea, to the great annoyance of the US. At the same time, Turkiye’s considerable role in the collapse of Syria was to Russia’s detriment.
That is a long way of saying I cannot evaluate Korybko’s thesis but it is plausible.
By Andrew Korybko, a Moscow-based American political analyst who specializes in the global systemic transition to multipolarity in the New Cold War. He has a PhD from MGIMO, which is under the umbrella of the Russian Foreign Ministry. Originally published at his website
Participantsee link for full tweet
Elijah J. Magnier
@ejmalrai
Since 1948, no one but Iran has levelled dozens of buildings in Tel Aviv, wiped out over 11,300 apartments, hit military bases, airports and energy depots in just 12 days—and forced Israel to beg for a ceasefire first.
2:16 PM · Jun 30, 2025
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7,501
ViewsParticipantHi Mr P …
Descendants of The Confederacy would agree with your ‘concept’. We (Southerners) never refer to ‘Civil War’ … but ‘The War Between The States’ … for sovereignty of States. The famous, or infamous, South Carolina senator, Strom Thurmond (1902 – 2003) spent most of his political life fighting for States’ Rights.
There also existed a period of Reconstruction (1865 – 1877) in the Confederate States … which some view as occupation.
See https://www.abbevilleinstitute.org/the-south-during-reconstruction/
ParticipantAlastair suggests US was convinced Iran was very close to getting ‘the bomb’ …
due to Palantir AI information ….
Participant2 tweets posted at Smoothie’s site by Ted Richards from Thomas Keith (if you do not follow him, you may want to consider doing so ) with regard to India-Middle East-Europe Corridor (IMEC)
ParticipantAlastair Crooke with Nima (who lets Crooke talk … more than the Judge (imho)
Happy Birthday Alastair Crooke!
ParticipantThomas Keith
@iwasnevrhere_
Starlink was operationalized for Israeli military use within 48 hours of October 7, not through Pentagon contracts, but via a Silicon Valley VC. Sequoia Capital partner Shaun Maguire admitted during a May 2025 Israeli Defense Ministry webinar that he directly facilitated Starlink access for the IDF, bypassing state channels and accelerating activation before formal licensing. This confirms that Starlink’s satellite mesh can be politically re-tasked through informal networks, granting battlefield connectivity without sovereign oversight, just as Israel collapsed Gaza’s civilian comms grid in parallel. Operationally, Starlink’s LEO constellation and phased array terminals make it a high-throughput, low-latency C4ISR platform, ideal for drone uplinks, covert relay, and asymmetric force extension. But it’s also a sovereign liability: undetectable terminals, spoofable beams, API-updatable firmware, and U.S.-owned backend infrastructure create an untraceable SIGINT aperture inside any territory it touches. If exploited by actors like Mossad or subcontracted through Five Eyes frameworks, it functions as a Trojan mesh: civilian-coded, battlefield-active, and politically deniable. Iran’s recent ban reflects this exact calculus. Starlink isn’t neutral infrastructure, but an at-will force multiplier governed by American export discretion and informal networks. For states seeking electromagnetic sovereignty, spectrum denial is protocol. The only viable alternative today is the Chinese stack: BeiDou-synced, CETC-secured, and built to answer to state directives, not venture capital. Decoupling from Silicon Valley satnets is refusing backend compromise in the age of programmable war.
10:17 PM · Jun 29, 2025
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ViewsParticipantvia https://t.me/VA_Nikonov/45683
The most massive attack on Ukraine in recent months
▪️Last night, Ukraine suffered one of the largest combined attacks since the beginning of the year. According to Ukrainian sources, more than 450 Geran-2 kamikaze UAVs and at least 40 missiles of different types were used:
— Kh-101/Kh-55 — from Tu-95MS bombers;
— Kalibr — from ships of the Russian Black Sea Fleet;
— Kh-47M2 Kinzhal;
— Iskander-M ballistic missiles — 9M723.
▪️The main affected areas: Lviv region, Zaporozhye, Cherkassy, Kremenchuk, Nikolaev, Donbass.
▪️The targets of the strikes are industrial enterprises, energy facilities and infrastructure.
▪️There are also reports of damage at the Burshtyn Thermal Power Plant, facilities in Cherkassy, as well as plants in Kremenchuk and Zaporozhye.ParticipantThanks AHH …
ParticipantAww Mr P…
I remember those times … Hubby and I bought our first house … $10,000 … mortgage $98/month.
As for the other … low tolerance here … for even over-the-counter: an excedrin would put me out for the night! Dancing was my drug of choice…
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