https://x.com/ibrahimtmajed/status/2027721872096280957?s=20 The IRGC announced the destruction of the American FP-132 radar in Qatar, a long-range early-warning system capable of detecting ballistic missile launches up to 5,000 km away. This radar is a core node in the U.S. regional missile defense architecture, feeding tracking data into systems such as THAAD and supporting allied networks, including Israel’s layered shield built around Arrow 3, David’s Sling, and Iron Dome. If truly disabled, the impact would not translate into a fixed interception percentage, but it would reduce early-warning time, weaken redundancy, and increase pressure on remaining sensors. Missile defense effectiveness depends on trajectory, saturation, decoys, and interceptor coordination, and fewer long-range sensors narrow the reaction window. Israel also hosts another high-powered early-warning radar as part of U.S.–Israeli cooperation, making such assets central to any escalation calculus. Targeting early-warning infrastructure is not symbolic, it challenges the backbone of regional missile defense and significantly raises the strategic stakes.

https://x.com/rybar_en/status/2027694557802971215   Amid Iranian strikes on Israel, a group takeoff of US KC-46 Pegasus tankers from Ben Gurion Airport has been observed heading south. While part of this may be related to dispersing aircraft away from potential Iranian attacks, the flight path points toward Ovda Airbase. Before the current escalation, Ovda hosted US F-22 Raptors. The tankers are likely escorting these fighters toward Iranian airspace to support ongoing or new strike missions.

(my bold)

https://x.com/IAmSagzee/status/2027734018263749065  (zoneUAE)

Dubai Airports suspended all operations indefinitely due to Iranian ballistic missile activity. * Regional carriers like Emirates and Etihad grounded all flights following the airspace closure. * International airlines including Air India and Turkish Airlines suspended Middle East services. * The closure disrupts the primary global transit hub connecting Asia, Europe, and Africa. * Rerouted flights face increased costs from longer routes and $100 per barrel oil. * Debris from the missile strikes caused one civilian death in Abu Dhabi. * The disruption halts the UAE economic model based on trade, tourism, and logistics.

Ahemtink 100 sambuck/brl is a very optimistic forecast. Stumpy suggested 250…but he’d been smoking something…

Judge Nap has several interviews today, beginning at 10:00 am EST with:

followed at 11:30 am by:

more – check Judge’s site *https://www.youtube.com/@judgingfreedom/streams* remove splats

Prof Mirandi with Glenn an hour after attack began this a.m.

Here is link to track oil prices…

https://oilprice.com/

… Mahmood has a live (at one time) podcast on the beginning:

*https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4j8Vn37myYI*

Yup, Straights of Hormuz closed.

Crone, I don’t see a major increase in oil prices yet .. everything is up but mostly less than 3% across the board. Let’s watch now as Hormuz is now closed for sure … best I can determine.

OK .. oh, I need somebody to fix me.

I’m actually anti-war. I don’t want people and children and groups and communities shot up by anyone. It is a frustrating experience with China, because they simply refuse to enter any war. With the SMO, I could live with it, because it is a war of soldiers, not of non-combatants. With this war, everyone is up in arms shouting for diplomacy and stop the carnage and so on. And yet, internally I feel that Iran should continue and shoot the bejesus out of anyone that they can get to. And then, I don’t want Iran to be shot up in turn.

They say the CiC (creep in chief) scheduled a bigly speech for this morning… and now it’s been cancelled. Geewhiz… I guess he imagined a victory speech, and now his nastyness is all sad ’cause things didn’t work out like his delusion...

See what happens Larry? (Walter in Lebowski)

Cat called Legalhawk – him write>“Trump canceling his speech signifies that the information reaching him from the “Situation Room” is shocking.”

“Operation Great Blinding”: Iran Destroys “America’s Eye” (FPS-132) in Qatar and Strikes Bases in Kuwait and Bahrain… Trump Cancels Speech in Shock of “Catastrophic Response” — Talal Nahle

Strategic and Operational Report (Saturday – February 28 | 16:00 CET):

The war is no longer merely an exchange of bombardment; it has entered the phase of “strategic bone-breaking.” Intelligence received in the last hour is shifting the balance of power radically.

Donald Trump’s sudden cancellation of his planned speech is no coincidence; a US President does not cancel a “victory speech” unless the situation has turned into a “disaster.” The disaster here is Iran’s success in “blinding” US Central Command (CENTCOM) by destroying irreplaceable radars and striking bases previously thought to be secure.

This forced the US Embassy in Kuwait to issue an immediate “Shelter in Place” order.

Here is a precise reading of the unfolding “War of Radars and Bases”:

I. The Knockout Blow: Destroying “The All-Seeing Eye”

* The Most Critical Event: The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announces the complete destruction of the AN/FPS-132 radar in Qatar.

* Strategic Importance: This is not just a radar; it is “America’s Giant Eye” with a 5,000 km range. Its sole and vital function is to detect ballistic missile launches from deep within Iran, Russia, and China.

* The Result: The destruction of this radar means that Israel and US destroyers have lost strategic “Early Warning” capabilities. Iran has effectively “gouged out the eye” of the US defense system prior to launching heavy missiles.

II. The “Blinding” Strategy (The Hezbollah Tactic)

* Analysis: Iran is replicating Hezbollah’s “Support Front” tactics:

* Phase 1 (Current): Targeting “Enemy Eyes” (radars, domes, sensors) using suicide drones (a Shahed-136 struck a radome in Bahrain) and older missiles.

* Phase 2 (Upcoming): Once the defenses are confirmed “blind,” heavy strategic missiles (Fattah/Kheibar)—which cannot be easily intercepted—will be introduced.

* Iranian Admission: An IRGC advisor explicitly stated: “We fired old missiles… and will soon reveal weapons you have never seen.” This implies that what we are witnessing now is merely “clearing the path.”

III. The Gulf Ignites: No Place is Safe

* Kuwait: The Kuwaiti Army officially confirms the targeting of Ali Al Salem Air Base. The US Embassy orders staff to shelter. Kuwait, considered the logistical rear line, is now in the heart of the fire.

* Bahrain: A drone (Shahed-136) achieved a direct hit on a radar dome (Radome) inside the US base in Manama. The headquarters of the Fifth Fleet is under direct attack.

* Over the Sea: The world’s most expensive spy drone (MQ-4C Triton) suffered a “glitch” (potential hit), declared an emergency (Squawk 7700), and fled toward Saudi Arabia. Iran is effectively imposing a no-fly zone, even on giant US drones.

IV. The Israeli Front: “A Week of Hell”

* Estimates: Hebrew Channel 15 expects the operation to last “at least a week.”

* Admission of Failure: The Israeli Army admits: “Defenses are not hermetic.” The barrages on Haifa and the Golan Heights proved that the Iron Dome has begun to suffer from “saturation” and depletion.

V. Trump’s Silence: “Recalculating”

* The Cancellation: Trump canceling his speech signifies that the information reaching him from the “Situation Room” is shocking. The destruction of a strategic radar in Qatar and the bombing of a base in Kuwait is not what Trump promised his voters. He now faces two choices: Retreat (politically impossible) or escalate to “Total War,” which could burn the region and destroy his bases.

ende

Israeli press says Iran bombed 7 (SEVEN!) countries in 1 (ONE!) minute …

GOOD MORNING USA!!!

Iran has not stopped for more than 10 hours now.  They are sending missiles to everything .. Hotels in Dubai, Bahrain and Jordan (said to be hangouts of Israeli and US planners) ,  Bahrain to US bases,   I cannot follow where all but they have not stopped – I cannot follow where in Israel.    Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Saturday that “regime change” in the Islamic Republic of Iran is an “impossible mission.”  Professor Marandi says Iran has hundreds of thousands of missiles and drones in its missile and drone cities that were prepared for a potential US attack, which is a much more powerful adversary than Israel.

Ministry of Defense:  Operation True Promise 4 will continue until the enemy is defeated.

Closed

https://x.com/aleksbrz11/status/2027686999096795602?s=46

Aleksey Berezutski 🇷🇺🎖 on X: “🚨BREAKING NEWS Yemeni Houthis have declared war on Israel.🇾🇪 https://t.co/mGmkLPd8R8” / X

UK, French paratroopers prepare for deployment to Ukraine — newspaper – World – TASS

………………..

https://tass.com/world/2093627  160 school-girls murdered… gunna be hell to pay…

…………………

I see a report that a US Military Sealift supply ship got hit hard...The IRGC says a U.S. Military Sealift Command (MST) combat support vessel was severely hit by missiles fired by its naval forces. It added that other U.S. naval assets will remain within range of IRGC missiles and drones as attacks continue Tehran, Tehran Province – Iran news on live map in English – Conflict in the Gulf- iran.liveuamap.com

https://iran.liveuamap.com/en/2026/28-february-14-the-irgc-says-a-us-military-sealift-command#google_vignette

iirc (I have been aboard such ships many years ago) iirc a US Navy Captain commands the ship but the crew is civilian US merchant marine.

They say that Hitler escaped with Bormann to Patagonia, don’t they?

Oh, I forgot, wrong war…

https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/2027811136175771888     Lord Bebo on X: “🇮🇱🇪🇺 Netanyahu: “Goodbye, I’m out” “Wing of Zion” plane, the Israeli government plane, is on its way to Europe. https://t.co/tRJXYb4fd0″ / X

Brother Marandi said to Napolitano that Iran had been preparing to fight the US since the US got Saddam to attack them…iirc he said since 1980…something like that….that’s a long time to stock up the ammo department… speaking of ammo...https://x.com/tehrantimes79/status/2027728974818766980?s=46  ““Trump should know that today we fired the old stockpile missiles, soon we will unveil weapons you have never seen before.”” https://x.com/tehrantimes79/status/2027728974818766980?s=46

Interesting…. “should know”… in English it has a double meaning, huh…whaddyaknow. Fatboy’s a chump….he’s conned hisownself.

https://x.com/tehrantimes79/status/2027728974818766980?s=46

Israel: Sorek desalination plant has been reportedly destroyed by a massive volley of Iranian missiles. Sorek desalination plant is the most massive SWRO plant in the entire planet.

If true, this means that 20% of the water available to Israel is gone for a very long time. pic.twitter.com/KhVQx9EUK3

— Korobochka (コロボ) 🇦🇺✝️ (@cirnosad) February 28, 2026

Via Smoothie’s site:

Latest from Alastair Crooke, the founder & director of Conflicts Forum (on subståck), 3 hours ago

– Ma’ariv: ‘Date of attack “set weeks ago”’

– ‘Israel targeting the entire Iranian leadership — political and military, past, present, and future’

– IDF/IAF Statement – ‘Largest strike sortie in history of the Israeli Air Force’

– Amit Segal: ‘Israel, not the US, attacked Khamenei’s house. Thirty bombs were dropped on the compound’

– Reports on damage from Iranian missile attacks on Israel censored — some details emerge

– Ben Caspit: ‘If Western intelligence agencies did their job, internal ferment [in Iran] should be bubbling and bursting forth right now. Pockets of desertion in the army. Protests … Help is arriving. This is your moment’

– “Once the smoke from the first wave clears, we’ll know who of [Iran’s] leadership is still with us and who isn’t. Cautious optimism regarding Khamenei’s neutralization. Waiting for the dust to settle, literally”

– Leading Israeli Iran except: ‘Doubtful airstrikes can bring down Iranian regime’; Minimum objectives “to conclude this round of fighting”

– War for Regime Change — Will Trump Stay the Course? Amos Harel, Haaretz

Israel ‘pre-empts’ US-Iran negotiations with “regime change” attack; Date set “weeks ago”

Conflicts Forum’s compilation of consequential observations & strategic developments from leading Israeli commentators, 28 February 2026

Conflicts Forum
Feb 28, 2026

con’t at link
https://conflictsforum.substack.com/p/israel-pre-empts-us-iran-negotiations

Naked Cap has tons of info, and atm 294 comments

US, ISRAEL ATTACK IRAN, START REGIONAL WAR; IRAN RETALIATES AGAINST ISRAEL, US BASES IN BAHRAIN, SAUDI ARABIA, QATAR. UPDATE: ISRAEL TV REPORTS IRAN BLOCKS STRAIT OF HORMUZ

Analysts said that the assault, which the Pentagon has dubbed Operation Epic Fury, risked pushing up oil prices when trading reopens on Monday,
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Operation Urgent Fury was 43 years ago (Granada), and maybe even more of a dubious war, if that’s possible.

https://www.jcs.mil/Portals/36/Documents/History/Monographs/Urgent_Fury.pdf

Thomas Keith has a very active, and useful related X account. Frequent updates, including video clips.

https://x.com/iwasnevrhere_

From comments at Naked Cap:

Ex-PFC Chuck
February 28, 2026 at 5:29 pm
“BREAKING: U.S. Navy says it can’t protect all merchant ships in Persian Gulf after Iran strikes. Oil majors just suspended shipments through Hormuz, 21M barrels/day at risk.”

Some observations on the first day of the new war with Iran:

1️⃣ So far, there are no reports of Israeli special forces operating.
2️⃣ Apparently, there has been very limited success against Iranian missile launchers.
3️⃣ The launches are truly massive, but Israel is not reporting… pic.twitter.com/H2WSopNuMy

— China pulse 🇨🇳 (@Eng_china5) February 28, 2026