The Mou – Iran / empire on Monday morning

By Amarynth

Progress has been made on the face of it if we momentarily curb our knowledge of a non-agreement capable empire.  Iran is in a much better space today, than after the JPCOA was signed.  The Iranian civil community is however still triggered as they remember the previous attacks during negotiations and the Ramadan War.  They remember their leaders being killed, and the incredible shock and pain of the total demolition of the Minab primary school, Hormozgan province, southern Iran, destroyed by a missile strike, with the kids inside.  Nevertheless, today we can expect a peaceful day in Lebanon and horror filled days in the West Bank and in Gaza.

This is a critical comparison:

What Snotrich says:

Smotrich: My son wants to destroy Lebanon

🔹”Bathsalel Smotrich” Israeli Finance Minister: My son wants me to leave him a part of Lebanon so he can destroy it later, I told him: Don’t worry, there will be enough for everyone.

IMG_2366

JD Vance says:

Reporter: Does the U.S. want Israel to withdraw forces from southern Lebanon?

JD Vance: The Israelis have been very clear that they don’t have territorial intentions in southern Lebanon.

The reason they feel they have to be there is because they are worried about Hezbollah fighters in southern Lebanon.

We believe we can get to a place where both Lebanon’s territorial integrity and Israel’s security are protected.

IMG_2376

Where the situation stands, on the face of it, is as follows:

Technical negotiations will continue at Bürgenstock through the week .  I’ve seen the sanctions wavers from the US State Department so that part of it is accurate, now.  A waiver and can ‘unwaived’ at the drop of a button.  What Iran has as its strength, is that it has no faith in these proceedings, and still stands at the ready.  The Iranian civil society has been asked to now leave the streets at night.  The response is an unqualified:  “We will leave the streets when our leader tells us to leave the streets”.  I hope this societal rift does not overtake the societal unity that we’ve seen so far.

It appears as if Iran during the tumultuous start of these negotiations snatched victory out of empirical game playing, although future will tell.

Tireless Pakistani and Qatari mediation has delivered major progress to end Lebanon War. Oil and petrochem exports are waived, blockade lifted, some frozen assets released, and major reconstruction & development plan launched for Iran.

1st real test: Lebanon deconfliction cell https://t.co/q0okD2qwSO

— Seyed Abbas Araghchi (@araghchi) June 22, 2026

Israel is not part of this deal and they do not find themselves bound to it.

On the face of it, we have the actual facts.  Looking a little deeper, the empirical forces has lost this war and it is not necessary to again use the tired word ‘strategically’.  What is clear is that Iran is proceeding according to its own will.  It is arguably the first time since the 2ndWW that we see such a strong will.  It is necessary to see what the economic fall-out of the empirical adventures will be.  What I would like to see, is that those countries that were and are materially economically affected by this empirical overreach, make their own demands for restitution.  It is clear that JD Vance has the job to put lipstick on this pig, and he is doing so liberally with a complete gap in his knowledge on history of the region and the US are still saving Israel.  In harsh reality, no country should have to negotiate their own existence with empire.  There is not enough lipstick in the universe that can cover up this pig.