Update: Thailand and Cambodia

Featured Image:  Screengrab of a Thai drone performing “drops” along the frontline.

Pepe Escobar posted a short note.  We will also take a look at Brian Berletic’s latest update. When this skirmish broke open in our consciousness, it was initially difficult to ascertain whether it was the usual mild skirmish or if it had been pumped up. The first giveaway was the immediate propaganda, and yes, it may be the teasing out of differences from a century-old debacle from colonial times, the signs that we are dealing with a skirmish where a 3rd force is pumping the bellows, blowing in some air to start the fires, are unmistakable.

Pepe Escobar states: THAI-CAMBODIA

Too much speculation. So far, the best summary is on globalsouth.co.

I’ll post a summary this weekend – I’m currently off the grid in the forests of NATOstan. Waiting for the definitive take from my top Thai sources – and also Chinese. Thailand is my home in Asia for decades, and I’ve been to Cambodia over and over again. Yes, this is as fishy as India-Pakistan, if not more.

While we have the regular destabilizations in Asia (the Philippines, South Korea, Japan, and other bloc structures), firstly India-Pakistan and now Thailand-Cambodia, a very early and tentative conclusion may be that the wars on China have begun with regional divide-and-rule destabilizations.  This playbook would be similar to West Asia and the Middle-East. There is nothing new under the sun, and there is no reason for this war.

China clearly has been identified as the major enemy of the future, according to the Interim National Defense Strategic Guidance. It directs the American military to “deter” Beijing in the Indo-Pacific region. The previous strategy merely identified China as a “pacing threat,” meaning that China (rather than Russia) would guide the development of the overall size and shape of the U.S. military in preparing for future wars.

Brian Berletic in a musing style, updates as follows, mainly on OpSec:

Operational Security in Thai-Cambodian Conflict & other Considerations…

▪️There are already reports that sloppy opsec by Cambodia has allowed Thai forces monitoring social media to target and destroy Cambodian MLRS positions;

▪️As learned at high cost during the conflict in Ukraine, strict security must be maintained regarding social media as well as mobile phone use;

▪️Thailand especially must prevent Western “journalists” and their US-NED funded counterparts from access to the conflict zone – they act essentially as both propagandists and spies for the enemy and have in the past transmitted information used to target military and civilians in war zones around the globe;

▪️If inviting “international” (Western) media in is believed to be necessary to get Thailand’s side of the story out to the world – you’ve already lost the information war.

This is why Thailand (and all other nations) need their own independent local/international media platforms serving THAI interests because often the West will be working deliberately against your interests at times like this – also, local media lined with Western-“educated” (indoctrinated) “journalists” (propagandists) is simply locally-funded Western propaganda;

▪️It appears that Thailand’s military has been studying the conflict in Ukraine and has already adopted many tactics successfully used there including drone-drops and the use of drones for ISR along the front lines – Cambodia is also said to have drones and anti-drone systems;

▪️The best scenario of all is preventing these type of conflicts from starting in the first place – which requires much better information/political/educational security within Thailand and across ASEAN as a whole – strategies developed to eliminate US interference and the prospect of proxy conflicts within ASEAN member state borders and ASEAN’s collective borders entirely;

Question: What does Cambodia gain by attacking a larger, more powerful Thailand over a border dispute rooted in French-US colonialism?

Answer: Cambodia will gain nothing, that is one of the downsides of being under the influence of a malicious global power like the US .

Cambodia serves US interests entirely at its own expense – like Georgia in 2008 and Ukraine from 2014 onward.

As in the past, Thailand will use restraint and attempt to end this as quickly as possible.

China will urge peace/stability so the region can continue uniting/rising out from under and beyond Western primacy, interference, and the division used to impose and maintain both.

Bottom line: ASEAN + China are uniting and rising, the US seeks to stop this.

The US is investing in political division & even terrorism within ASEAN states as well as creating conflict between them and China, to serve its primary geopolitical objective: US primacy over Asia.

Finally, a comment on the broader region, by one of our own commentators, Minh: 

In the past few decades, Thailand has always been unstable, due to its openness toward western influence. This has served the country well economically, but also made it bipolar politically.

Part of Fortress America plan is blowing up Eurasia. And now US is becoming even more desperate than ever, after Iran showcased the unstoppable power of fast missiles, inflicting unprecedented punishment on the Terrorist State Israel. If Iran could do that much damage, imagine how much more China could inflict on US Navy if they decided to start a direct war with China. Aircraft carriers these days are nothing but maritime coffins, a vestige of a bygone era and outdated military doctrine, a fact driven home TWICE by the Yemenis in the past year. Unable to wage war directly, US resorts to violent instigations like these, first between India-Pakistan, and now Thai-Cam.

Watch this space, as Marcos Jr has recently announced unquestioned loyalty to US:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KR9W6BVvtks

US knows it’s running out of time. The 3 barbarians China, Iran and Russia, in Zbigniew’s parlance, are getting stronger with each passing day, while the West is decaying at accelerating speed. So it has to do something, and do it quick. By 2027, it plans to have a full-scale war on the South China Sea, led by the likes of Philippines, and Taiwan, with Japan and Korea joining hands in encircling China. By weakening ASEAN now with tariff and regional wars like this, by 2027, it (US) hopes ASEAN would be too fractured and weakened to help China in any meaningful way, be it economically or militarily.

Look at this, just so you know Vietnam is not far behind Thailand in terms of internal division:

https://www.facebook.com/thongtinchinhphu/posts/pfbid036VQHWxMTLdMpktn34yVdUo2hwLdMqG8yvJBGqzCTxei8btxfQhauu6QAT5F7HQcil

And unlike China, which was resolute in destroying its compradors the likes of Jack Ma and Evergrande, Vietnam still allows bloodsucking monsters like Vingroup to ransack the country and bleed dry the population by grabbing lands illegally and pumping up the Real Estate bubble, financializing the country to the max instead of developing it industrially.

Vietnam is one clusterfuck nation unless Mr. To Lam is wise enough to change course and follow in the footsteps of China. A politically polarized Vietnam with a demoralized population like now, won’t do any good if the war does come to pass in 2027.

And in the big picture, all of this, serves the ultimate goals of the 2030’s Great Reset aka UN’s sustainable development Agenda. The four horsemen of the Apocalypse, are being released simultaneously. So expect things to escalate and escalate fast, unless the main players are willing to make tough decisions and showcasing their power. No more politically correct BS; it’s time to take a stance and display brute force if necessary. If BRICS don’t, US will preempt them, and BRICS will be mired in endless conflicts across many fronts, economically and kinetically; it’s that simple.

Conclusionary Notes:  There is no real reason for this war.   Propaganda raged in the western sphere within half an hour of the first bullet exploding across the Thai/Cambodia border zone.  The region as a whole must take good care to protect their own operational security.  GlobalSouth.co is stepping away somewhat from all the western serial weekly blogs and YouTube commentators, working the same material week after week, to present fresh, new resistance voices as best we can.  We are on the cusp of real multipolarity, but a few wars will still be attempted to close the road.  As my colleague AHH says so frequently:  What Days!

Ancestral wisdom – Systems fall when new stories rise.