404, the slow nosedive: Looking forward and looking back

There are a few notable data points on the Ukraine.  They are now being left by their ‘allies’, to live or die by their own reconnaissance.  Zelensky is being thrown under the bus, exquisitely slowly.

The war frontline, even during the attacks on Russian border areas, is dissolving in bits and drabs.  Forced conscription in the streets is actively and with fists and kicks and sticks and stones withstood and protested.   Desertion from the Ukrainian army has reached alarming levels. Every 14th serviceman has voluntarily left his unit, according to a Ukrainian police report.

Daily incidents of arson targeting the vehicles of Ukrainian soldiers are the order of the day.  Servicemen stationed in rear areas are afraid to leave their cars on the streets overnight, often parking them near police stations. The trend is increasing.  Fearing a reduction in the conscription age (it is mooted that this will be reduced to 16 years of age), young Ukrainians are fleeing the country in droves, with some dying while attempting dangerous crossings of the river border in western Ukraine.

The Russian MoD report is stretching longer and longer by the day, as Russia visibly increased its war pace and its kinetic activities.  Besides illustrating the Russian leaping advances, it is good as the bad war channels from those that are in it only for the bucks, cannot distribute falsified work so easily any longer.

German media report that Germany is forced to reduce military aid to Ukraine, with no new funds allocated for this purpose.  They cannot even supply spare parts.  “The initial needs of Ukraine for spare parts, for example for the Panzerhaubitze 2000 self-propelled artillery systems, can no longer be met, as the requested spare parts will need to be newly purchased,” the newspaper quotes a letter from the German Ministry of Defense.

The UK according to Zelensky “Throughout this war, we have seen that Britain has demonstrated true leadership. In terms of weapons, politics, and support for the Ukrainian society, it has been what saved thousands of our people. It truly reflects the strength of Britain. But now, unfortunately, the situation has slowed down.”

There are other smaller indications that the Ukrainians are not welcome in Europe any longer, as their stipends are being cut and they are fast changing into the flavor of yesterday.

Zelensky at the cost of the country of the Ukraine, is in the process of losing the country, and not only his war.  The lights of understanding are flickering in Germany that they are being bankrupted for the Ukraine.  London is plumb out of money for further support.  France has been relatively quiet, trying to keep their government together and failing.

According to The Wall Street Journal, citing a senior American official, the United States is not sharing intelligence with Ukraine about targets in Russian territory. The reason for this is to avoid being accused of involvement in Ukrainian operations in the Kursk Oblast.  One comment only on this:  “We Lie, We Cheat, We Steal”.  Pinocchio’s nose is growing by the minute.

In the border areas, the best Ukrainian reserves are present, and the situation is not optimum by any means, but they are being slaughtered.  It is estimated that the Ukrainian army is losing men and equipment in the Kursk region at a rate almost twice as high as similar figures in other areas.   They even as is their method (NATO style) brought Italian journalists to film their planned incursion but these two journalists were hastily withdrawn yesterday ‘for their own safety and security’ and Russia opened a legal case against them for breaching the Russian border.  The only strategy left to advertise the war, is promotion on the style of a bigger and better washing powder!  Wunderwaffe are no longer effective as a ra-ra method.   Zelensky is well past his sell-by date and if he was milk, he would be stinky sour and curdling.  I am sure they sit around tables throwing out suggestions of what can still be said in brainstorming sessions.

It is time to take a look at the initial 4 objectives of Russia.  These were denazification, the end of NATO although not said in those exact words, and protection of Russians that live in the Ukraine, and a further indivisible security framework.

-Russia has one way only to denazify.  They are killing them, and taking back villages sometimes by the handful in any reporting period of 24 hours.  According to myself and the Great Pepe Escobar, it is a case of tina – there is no alternative.  There also is the problem of who to talk to should Russia even be interested in stopping this war.  This has changed, as Russia is not interested so we will wait for the next step as the Ukraine craters.  I’m hoping for a quick cratering, as we need Russia in other roles (multipolarity and strengthening the nodal infrastructure, where smaller countries will by necessity form themselves into nodes).

-NATO is trying to run to the east, where they are not welcomed in the least.  Who will pay?  Given that Germany and the UK has flat pockets, who will pay?  So while NATO is still there, and still active, they have given up as they cannot out-war Russia, not even with their best-selected fighting proxy, the Ukraine.   They try to make up for that with western trainers but it is not working and not effective as Russia takes out hotels and warehouses and offices full of these NATO-ites.

–Protecting the Russian people:  Villages are being taken back by the handful in each 24 hour reporting period.

-There was a concomitant objective which was a new security framework for Europe, Russia included.  That is long off the table.

There are some scenarios left.

• the nuclear scenario on which we’ve posted several pieces – an act that will confirm utter madness and we know that the empire is mentally unstable and insane.   Its calculus by now must take into account that they themselves will be turned to dust.  Yet the Ukraine (under tutelage of its masters) is provoking Russia to use a nuclear weapon.
• a kinetic exacerbation of this war by the US with long-range conventional weapons into Russia (and allies, whoever they can still convince).  That is but a dream as Russia will take out the origen and the weapons.   It took a long time, but now Russia, its government and its citizens are HOT under the collar!
• the other is Russia continues as it is doing, just faster as we have seen the pace pick up, and does not stop but takes the whole of the Ukraine for better or for worse.  I cannot see Russia stopping until they have met their own internal security maxim and we do not know what that looks like in reality.

Depending on decisions and sometimes surprising events, I cannot rank possibilities here.  The only ranking that we can do in reality, is that the Ukraine is toast and we can put a +75% onto that.  Many pundits have said this in so many words over these years, and yet today, there still is a war on.  It is my expectation that it will fizzle out due to a lack of recruits and soldiers on the Ukrainian side, a lack of money on the European side, and the inability of NATO/US to increase a kinetic effort.  I expect that the war will continue by other means on a different axis.  I grew up in a Rugby family and we had a chant — Hassle!  Hassle! Hassle! when the game does not take a specific direction and the opposing side is looking for a breakthrough.  It is time.  Hassle!  Hassle! Hassle! the failed empire while they have no clue how to design a new breakthrough as everything else has failed.

The question then is:  Is Russia reaching its objectives? 

This is hard to answer and a personal sense comes to mind.  Before this war, I never had an idea of how many nazis we have left in the world.  I knew we had some, and I’ve met some, but the sheer quantity came as a total surprise.  We talk about neo-nazism.  There is nothing new about it.  It is the old nazism inculcated in younger acolytes.  Like Zionism, it will take time to eradicate this across the world and here we thought it was eradicated already.  Surprise!  We can write a thesis on those ‘left-behinds’ after the 2ndWW and their training, education, and grooming.  We see it in specifically the woman leaders in Europe.  This will be the topic of a new essay.

Russia of course is spectacularly winning in the Ukraine.  It took them a while, but now they are running!

Russia will cleanse the Ukraine.  Nazis will be with us on our world for some time longer, as will Zionists.

On a global note, we have to take a look at Venezuela again, and the very bitter pill that we have to swallow regarding LULA.  Blackwater (now Constellis) is in there, Elon Must is the proverbial Captain America and LULA?  Oh dear.  He sounds like a brand-new failed empire recruit.

-My further expectation is that the US will turn their attention to their backyard again because they will not end their own nazism and zionism.

A separate update will be posted on what the overall expectations are for West Asia.