The first time in history a nuclear missiles’ launch early detection system was hit – Update

A collection of comments:

Preparation:  A joint regional group formed by cutting-edge Russian defence complexes and tactical nuclear weapons has been deployed in Belarus. They are there to reliably safeguard the Western borders of our countries and the Collective Security Treaty Organisation. We reviewed the way the instructions Mr Lukashenko and I have issued are being implemented in terms of holding simultaneous exercises in Russia and Belarus on using non-strategic nuclear weapons, as we have said in public on May 9.

NATO ‘preparing for war’ with Russia – Orban – https://www.rt.com/news/598168-hungary-nato-role-orban/

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Desperate Western elites escalating the conflict to an unprecedented level, this is the first time in history that a nuclear missile launch early detection system was hit. This is 100% a NATO attack on Russian soil that’s going to require a symmetrical response on NATO territory otherwise NATO could try to disable all of these defense systems in Western Russia and then launch a nuke on Russian soil with a higher degree of probability it won’t be intercepted.

Rogozin accused the United States of hitting the Russian early warning system of a nuclear attack.

The Senator and ex-head of Roscosmos, commented on images from the Network after the attack of the Voronezh-DM radar station, capable of detecting the launch of ballistic nuclear missiles at a distance of up to 6,000 km.
Since the appearance of the USSR’s means of delivering nuclear weapons, the United States has never given up trying to achieve superiority over us in the military-strategic sphere. never…Now Washington has ordered a crime by hiring an irresponsible bandit who is trying to damage the facility of our Missile Attack Warning System (SPRN) – a key element of the Strategic Nuclear Forces Combat Control System.

Of course, one can assume, and imagine the probability that the strike on the SPRN facility in the Krasnodar Territory, unless, of course, it was not a fake of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, was carried out on Kiev’s own initiative or on the orders of some military maniac of the Armed Forces of Ukraine who wants to ignite World War III. However, given Washington’s deep involvement in this armed conflict and the American total control over Kiev’s military planning, the version that the United States does not know about Ukrainian plans to attack Russia’s missile defense system can be discarded. Washington will have to answer in full for the past and future crimes of the distraught Ukrainian leadership.

Thus, we are not just on the threshold, but already on the edge, beyond which, if the enemy is not stopped in such actions, an irreversible collapse of the strategic security of the nuclear powers will begin.”

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On the Prospects of a Ukrainian Attack on Russia’s Nuclear Infrastructure

Let’s join the discussion (https://t.me/vatfor/9345) that has unfolded online regarding a possible Ukrainian attack on the radar station that is part of the missile attack warning system near Armavir.

🔻If the attack attempt is confirmed, then we are faced with a very obvious question: what will be the response to this provocative step, the purpose of which is to test the reaction of the Russian leadership.

▪️In any other situation, it would be logical to deliver a massive strike on the place from which the launch was carried out, as well as the production of these drones. However, in the so-called Ukraine, assembly is taking place at several points (including underground), and the launch is carried out from different regions.

In this case, such a response can hardly be called proportionate, which brings us closer to more serious measures leading to total escalation in the form of limited use of weapons of mass destruction, such as tactical nuclear (TNW).

❗️At the same time, it is not necessary to deliver a strike. It would be enough to conduct a practical exercise of the strategic nuclear forces (SNF) with a demonstration of a TNW attack on some training ground near the so-called Ukraine.

As a rule, the training of these forces generally implies this, but in the past exercises we did not see this. And most likely, the rehearsal of the actions of the nuclear component without the actual use of special ammunition did not have the proper impact.

▪️Another response option can be called an asymmetric strike. It is not always necessary to respond similarly to the enemy. You can strike at some sector of industry or the economy to have an even greater impact on the enemy in the medium term.

But here, as in the case with other options, there are some nuances. The Ukrainian economy has long ceased to be something holistic, and it is artificially supported by monetary tranches from outside.

The same can be said about the industry, which is focused only on the military sector, and again only thanks to subsidies from the West, which will sooner or later run out. It is not difficult to guess what will happen to the economic and industrial sector of the country when the supplies end.

🔻The situation itself is not simple. Essentially, a strike has been carried out that automatically falls under the provisions of Russia’s military doctrine, which puts the leadership in a position where a response is obligatory.

Inaction will put the state in an even more dangerous position, where attacks will become more frequent, and in the future, ATACMS or Storm Shadow/SCALP missiles may be used. Not to mention the domestic audience, which is already asking a lot of questions.

And the difficulty is that the reaction must be tough. Red-white lines or protest notes will not bring anything good, but will only create a new reason for discussion and, in fact, this will become an Overton window, in which attacks on nuclear infrastructure will become as commonplace as raids on Tatarstan.

The enemy in the face of the West, with the hands of the AFU, has made its move. Now the ball is in our court, and the opponents are waiting to see what we will come up with. And the further steps of the West on Russian territories depend on this.

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Smoothie did an update which he calls Fud and Radar.  It is kinda his usual – if Russia only seems to be in a bad position, it cannot be accurate or true but speculation (forgive him, he has written the books!). What is good here, is How Russia can Respond.  Smoothie’s book is out and it is called America’s Final War.