Pepe Escobar : Iran moves to Total War against the death cult

Structural paralysis. Meticulously programmed. Inexorable. Already in effect.
Strategic Culture

Attacking Iran’s South Pars gas field – the largest on the planet – is the ultimate escalation.

Neo-Caligula, in trademark Truth Social coward vociferation mode, has been desperate to blame the deat cult in West Asia for it and excuse himself from any responsibility: he claims Israel attacked South Pars “out of anger” and the U.S. “knew nothing about this particular attack”. Qatar was “in no way, shape or form involved”. And Iran hit Qatar’s LNG in retaliation “based on wrong intelligence”.

Is that all there is? Then let’s keep dancing?

Hardly. More like the death cult used openly Zionist media in the U.S. to frame it all as a joint op – pulling the Empire of Chaos and Plunder deeper into an hubristic quagmire; dragging it into a Total Energy War with devastating consequences; and turning the Gulf petro-monarchies 100% against Iran (they were already campaigning against Iran, especially Saudi Arabia, UAE and Qatar).

Neo-Caligula can brag whatever he wants. Yet it’s obvious that an op of such sensitivity and magnitude – as a means of “putting pressure” on Tehran – requires deep CENTCOM involvement and presidential approval.

So the privileged scenario points once again to Washington losing control of its own foreign policy – assuming there was one in the first place.

All players involved – whose incapacity of reading the chessboard has been proven again and again – could not help believing that Tehran would finally fold after an attack on its precious energy security.

The Iranian response, predictably, was the total opposite: hardcore escalation. The list of targets for the counter-attack was published in no time – and will be followed to the letter. Starting with Qatar’s Ras Laffan refinery.

Watch those LNG trains

It’s tempting to believe that neo-Caligula is trying to distance himself from the out-of-control, Total Desperation death cult; arguably offering an off-ramp to Tehran; and at the same time admitting that destroying South Pars would be catastrophic but committing himself to “massively blow South Pars” (don’t expect a rambling megalomanic narcissistic gangster to be coherent).

What’s crucially at stake in the South Pars tragedy are the LNG trains .

A “train” consists of components designed to process, purify and convert natural gas to LNG. They are named “trains” because of the sequential arrangement of the equipment – compressor trains – used in the industrial process to process and liquefy natural gas.

The Qatar 2 project in the massive Ras Laffan refinery was coordinated by Chiyoda and Technip, a Japanese-British joint venture. Same with trains 4 and 5, which compose the world’s largest LNG trains.

These trains are operated by Qatar Gas, ExxonMobil, Shell and ConocoPhillips. For all practical purposes, these are American and Western-linked installations, thus legitimate targets for Iran.

There are just 14 trains in the world – and it’s not hyperbolic to define that Western “civilization” depends on all of them. It takes from 10 to 15 years to replace one train. All of these 14 trains are within reach of Iran’s ballistic and hypersonic missiles. At least one of them was set on fire by the Iranian counter-attack. That’s how extraordinarily serious this all is.

The First West Asia High-Tech Total War

The South Pars escalation was inevitable after the new rules established by Iran on the Strait of Hormuz drove the Epstein Syndicate absolutely nuts.

It was Western insurance paranoia that closed the Strait much more than the defensive potential of the Iranian drone/ballistic missile combo. Then the IRGC announced that the Strait was open to China; to other nations who engaged in negotiations – such as Bangladesh; and to Gulf nations that would expel U.S. ambassadors.

And then, finally, a new set of rules were imposed. It works like this.

If your cargo was traded in petroyuan, you may get free passage.
You must pay the toll.
Only then you are free to go, navigating in Iranian territorial waters, close to the island of Qeshm, and not across the middle of the Strait.

Iranian FM Araghchi could not be more clear: “After the war ends, we will design new mechanisms for the Strait of Hormuz. We will not allow our enemies to use this waterway.” Whatever happens next, the Strait of Hormuz will have a permanent tool booth, controlled by Iran.

Prof. Fouad Azadi, whom I had the pleasure to meet in Iran years ago, already announced that ships travelling through the Strait will now have to pay a 10 % toll. That may generate as much as $73 billion a year – more than enough to compensate for war damage and U.S. sanctions.

Iran is already deep into what for all practical purposes is configured as The First West Asia High-Tech Total War.

Strategically, as defined by Iranian analysts, that implies a fascinating cornucopia of new terminology.

Let’s start with The Great Constriction, applied across the hyper-focused Surgical Attrition strategy. The target for the constriction has switched from the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) to collapsing the very fabric of Israeli civil society.

Then there’s the 16-Mach Shield Breaker – whose tech superstars are the Khorramshahr-4 and Fattah-2 missiles, which reach terminal speeds of Mach 16, traveling at 5.5 km per second.

Translation: as an enemy computer calculates an intercept vector, the missile warhead – a one-ton blockbuster – has already impacted, creating a Zero-Sum Defense Paradox: Israel spends millions of dollars attempting an interception with 100% probability of failure, while Iran spends a fraction to get a certified hit.

Next is The Doctrine of Four Vital Organs.

Israel’s 9 million people survive thanks to only two primary deep-water ports. That has led Tehran to move to Structural Paralysis mode, systematically focusing on four “death points”: the hyper-concentrated nodes of Israeli infrastructure that, if severed, will turn the death cult into a dark, thirsty, and starving cage.

The four vital organs are Hydrological Asphyxiation (hitting 85% of Israel’s potable water in five desalination plants); The Blackout Protocol (hitting the Orot Rabin power station in the heart of the national grid); A Food Siege, hitting the ports of Haifa and Ashdod, essential for Israel’s imports of the 85% of wheat it needs; and Energy Decapitation: focused on the Haifa refineries, the sole Israeli source of refined petroleum, and even more of a key target after the attack on South Pars.

Structural paralysis. Meticulously programmed. Inexorable. Already in effect.