Modi lands in israel today, and the deals being signed make it clear that this visit was never about diplomacy.

Modi’s Israel visit creates 48-hour buffer before possible US strike on Iran — analyst

Trump’s reported deadline to Iran to submit a detailed nuclear proposal expires the same day Narendra Modi arrives in Israel for a two-day visit.

The Indian PM’s arrival is a guarantee that a US strike on Iran won’t happen in the next 48 hours, speculates independent geopolitical analyst Shanaka Perera.

As an unprovoked US attack risks swift Iranian retaliation not just against American military targets but also against Israel, endangering the life of a visiting leader of the world’s fifth-largest economy would detonate the very alliance PM Netanyahu is desperate to build, he argues.

Perera maps out what he sees as the likely seven-day sequence:

🌏 February 25 – Trump’s 48-hour deadline expires, nothing happens while Modi is on the ground

🌏 February 26 – Modi departs Israeli airspace; Geneva talks resume

🌏 If Iran arrives empty-handed — or refuses zero enrichment — Geneva officially documents diplomatic failure

🌏 In that case, “the legal and political predicate for military action is established in front of the global press corps”

🌏 Another symbolic date has been flagged as a possible strike window in media circles: March 2 – Purim, the Israeli holiday marking deliverance from a Persian plot to destroy the Jewish people

India has already issued an advisory telling all its citizens to leave Iran immediately, notes the analyst, adding: “India knows what the window after that departure looks like.”

Israel has offered India full technology transfer for Iron Dome and Iron Beam, not a sale but a transfer, including joint production, domestic manufacturing, and integration into India’s multi-layered air defense grid. Around $8.6 billion in defense agreements are expected to be formalized before Modi’s plane leaves Israeli airspace tomorrow.

Iron Beam is the part that should give you pause: a 100-kilowatt laser weapon that destroys incoming drones and rockets at $2 per shot. Two dollars. By comparison, an Iron Dome interceptor costs $50,000 to $100,000 per missile. Iron Beam makes the economics of attrition warfare irrelevant.

Israel has never transferred this technology to anyone, not the United States, not the UK, not Germany. India is the first.

Now ask yourself why Israel is giving its most advanced defensive technology to the world’s fifth-largest economy this week, of all weeks.

Because Netanyahu is not selling weapons—he is buying an alliance. The “hexagon” he described publicly, a coalition against what he called radical Sunni and Shiite axes, requires India to have skin in the game. India, with its low-pay IT and intelligence network, is expected to track Shia revolutionary activities in India, Pakistan, and the broader region, while penetrating Sunni schools in Kerala, Delhi, Lucknow, Kashmir and Deoband. India is already preparing a network of around 5,000 Sunni-Shia “traitor scholars” under the banner of “Rashtriya Ulama Sansad.” You do not hand over your most classified defense technology unless you want that country committed to your security architecture for decades.

The Iron Dome technology transfer makes India structurally dependent on Israeli defense integration. Maintenance, upgrades, software updates, and threat library sharing all create institutional ties that outlast any single government. This is not a transaction; it is a binding commitment disguised as a procurement.

And the timing is key.

Modi is addressing the Knesset at 4:30 PM today while a 48-hour deadline expires on Iran. He is signing defense agreements while 11 F-22s sit on Israeli tarmac. He is formalizing a security partnership while Turkey plans border incursions and China sells Iran supersonic anti-ship missiles.

Netanyahu is assembling his coalition before the action, not after. Every alliance signed before the first bomb falls becomes a diplomatic asset that cannot be retracted once the operation begins.

India cannot condemn an Israeli military action 48 hours after its Prime Minister stood in the Knesset endorsing the security partnership that enables it.

Modi did not travel to Israel despite the crisis—the crisis is exactly why the invitation was sent.