The topic is war. Cutting to the chase: A discussion …

On October 8th, this discussion was posted.  Let’s retake the temperature.  Following is an update.  The original post is below.

Starting with Russia and Ukraine.  The USofA is frustrated.  Russia will do what Russia will do.  The US may have a part in this, as long as it understands and is willing to consider the root causes.  Of course, they will not admit that they’ve lost, the EU has failed, NATO has lost, and Russia will clean up nazis on the ground.

“Ukrainian Outdoor Barbecue.” A cartoon stylized as a Charlie Hebdo cover depicts the situation in Pokrovsk.

Russia attempted to initiate a conversation with the hegemon, but it yielded no results.

The civilized cannot bring the barbarians to a space of intelligence.  These B’s cannot understand or count the concept of strategic parity.

Give the barbarians another two lifetimes.  If they are not as dumb as Hitler, they may live through it.  Nobody has a deep-seated need to kill them.  Yet, these issues of root causes have come to light.  Kudos to Russia’s media in English and the Foreign Office, who never stopped talking.

In terms of war, more minor conflicts (not World War) are receiving less attention, but the nature of threatened war has changed noticeably.  We are now staring into the ripping of the veils of nuclear war, and we can finger the perp.  Nuclear weapons testing, anyone?

We may be very grateful to Russia for changing the weapons complexes of atomic war to complexes that are non-nuclear.  And to China, for preparing drone warfare ability in massive numbers, as well as robotics.  Perhaps we will still see the planet saved by these moves.   Strategic parity or stability remains somewhat vague, as we have a Demented Hegemon that believes it is entitled to own the world.  The RoW is increasingly saying no.  In all these negotiations with The Trump – leaders are now following a strategy.  Be kind to the man-child who is in the throes of terrible twos and above all, keep the peace.  Say nice things about the man-child who is raging at the dying of the light and thinks he is the king of the world, and do what is right for you and your country.

I see some leaders grow up, but it is a slow process.   We are still on the brink, but I assess the danger is slightly muted now.  Some fear has entered the hegemonic room, and for them, it feels much safer but equally as much fun to fight one another.

We move on to Venezuela, where something has changed.  The hegemon has grown a little scared.  Hegseth the Horrible thinks his troops are Jedi warriors, and he calls them all Obi-Wan Kenobi.  It’s a movie for these folks because they lack a deep education.  Col. Douglas MacGregor stated in a video that Russia now has two destroyers near the coast of Venezuela. The rest is guesswork.  😊  They are likely to have a nuclear attack submarine with them.  The Jedi Obi-Wan Kenobi movie troops are likely to know about this, and all they do is shoot little boats and kill little people.

The second change, I believe, is the stance of Russia, China, and Iran, who roundly condemned the hegemon.  It did not stay with condemnation.  Maduro announced the formation of an international group of fighters.   (The legalities escape me, but I guess anyone can fight for anyone.)  The rest is guesswork.  😊  I’m guessing that the international group includes Russians, Iranians, Latin Americans, and Chinese.  We may even find a few from the DPRK as well.  So, quietly, the world is standing up beyond the level of condemnation.  The hegemon suddenly realized that they would not be fighting a small LAC country, but perhaps many more with skills as good as theirs, if not better.  Weapons are older, but just as accurate. Possibly, there are a few newer weapons, but the older weapons already outperform the hegemon’s weapons.  They’ve lost military supremacy even on this regional basis.   The Chinese diaspora in Panama is very large.  /end guesswork

So, the hegemon added South Africa and spun his wheel to pretend a new threat vector.  Gimme a war, any war that I can win or pretend to win or declare peace.  Make me relevant again cries the hegemon!  All they have is a circusmaster carnie barker and a surfeit of think tanks generating a whole lot of words, now becoming irrelevant as they are printed.  Shhhh world .. shhhh:  aged child with nukes, crying for the dying of the light spun his wheel, and landed in Africa.  Be kind to him, and do what you need to do for your own country.  Trust in God, but tie up your camels firmly!  Russia is already talking:  ” Russia calls on the US to comply with international law amid Donald Trump’s threats to carry out a military operation in Nigeria or to launch airstrikes over the “genocide of Christians.”   China talked as well.

Then we reach West Asia, which remains the pressing moral issue of our time.  The despicable hasbara through many information corridors continues to whitewash and legitimize Netanyahu.  Let’s not have that happen!  Thank you, US youth!  The regional carnage continues day by day in Gaza, the West Bank, Occupied Jerusalem, Lebanon, a segment of Syria, and Iran can always be shouted at.  But, the hegemon is now a little scared of Iran, as the civilizationals provided what Iran needed.  Keep spreading the drone-carried weapons to Hamas, to Hezbollah.  The Istanbul Prosecutor’s Office has issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and 36 other senior officials for alleged genocide and crimes against humanity in the Gaza Strip, according to Turkish media.

We still have two genocides raging in our world.  West Asia and Africa, Sudan.  Africa is slowly getting hotter, and the Sahel Alliance is being attacked by “Al-Qaeda” militants more and more frequently.

China says .. I won’t make war with you, but come to peace, and we will help.

Russia says .. We will finish our own war first.

Overall, except for a black swan event from a child with nukes, I rate the chances of a world war slightly lower than last month.

Now it is your turn for a rating.

Original Article

It is time for applying individual sovereignty as best you and I can.  Let’s look at some conversations of the past few days alone.  Everyone who is still reasonable, not desperate, and still able to analyze, consider that we are on the cusp of breaking out in war.   Russia is still arming up, China is arming up, Iran is arming up, Venezuela is arming up, North Korea is arming up, little countries are attempting to arm.  Europe is trying to arm up but they depend on the US still.  Money is no object as people are being deprived of health care, pensions (Germany is a case in point) and social services are being cut to the minimum.  The gold price is exploding.

There are hundreds of people and channels and articles and essays being written in an analytical style.

It is dark and bitter over our lands and our planet.

I’ll keep this short and cut to the chase.

Which is first?  Venezuela? Iran? West Asia regional?  A surprise?  Where will the bloodsport erupt next?

Israel Should Have Already Ceased Fire Under Trump Plan For Gaza.  The carnage continues.  We have the new objective there which is whitewashing the whole genocide.

Diplomacy with Venezuela has just been shut down and all efforts to reach a diplomatic agreement have been ‘called off’.  The US military is now running drills just off the Venezuelan coast.  The reason given is that they are frustrated over Maduro’s refusal to step down and Venezuela’s rejection of U.S. accusations linking its officials to drug trafficking.  The facade is gone.

Russia, as far as I can see, just cut off the pretense of talks with the US.  There is no talk of extending the New START Treaty – Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov, and, the momentum for Ukrainian settlement that emerged after the Putin-Trump meeting in Alaska has been exhausted — Ryabkov

The yaw yaw is over.   Churchill also said:  War does not determine who is right, only who is left.

For China, I see new weapons being announced day after day and their soldiers are being trained until they fall down in exhaustion.  Then, they have to get up again.

The new leader of Japan is not hiding the hope to re-arm.

As a backdrop here, the narratives are falling apart.  The scripts are breaking.  A case in point and the perfect example is Venezuela, supposedly part of a war against drugs and everyone can see it is only little boats being bombed and droned on a ‘Trust me Bro’ basis.

Iran is telling the world on a daily basis that they are ready, and nobody should be thinking that they cannot give a good account of themselves.  I’ve seen people comment that they hope for this, and this time Iran should not stop.

Ukraine?  It continues on and the war is continually fed with outside resources.  Despite this, Ukraine cannot hold and Russia is attacking deep into Ukraine toward Lviv.  It is not long now, but NATO cannot afford to lose so they will double down.  They have Russia’s money to start with.

I wanted to write lists of options and decision criteria in an analytical style.  But, time is over.  We need to support one another, ask questions and deeply discuss.  It is time for sovereignty.

On West Asia, Col Wilkerson said it clearly:

First objective: Preservation of Bibi Netanyahu’s coalition and Bibi Netanyahu.
Second objective: Keeping the United States from causing him to do something he does not want to do wrt Gaza, Syria, Lebanon and elsewhere.

And then the kicker:

We’re going to war Nima!

MacGregor says:  Tomahawks in Ukraine risk nuclear Armageddon within hours.   If Ukraine uses US Tomahawk missiles, America could be facing war with Russia within a matter of hours.  “That war could rapidly escalate to the nuclear level, and once you hit the nuclear level, you have almost no control,” he warns.

Alastair Crooke : Order, Prudence, Rules are gone! The new geopolitical doctrine is here.

Professor Richard Wolff:  Desperation, absurdity, contradictions, and he explained what this all means from an economic perspective

Michael Hudson followed up:   The desperation is because the plans are not working.  The guns are loaded waiting for the tripwire.  The US has already decided on nuclear war.  He says Trump cannot acknowledge that unipolar control is over – because it will make Trump a loser.  He is losing already in terms of oil and the dollar, and for him, he is more important than Jesus … or Moses …

He can only respond by war and bring the whole thing down.

China is being continually goaded, and the last goading is in Panama.  https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202510/1345058.shtml

Even Dugin (and I am not a fan) is announcing:  

War is Ahead of Us.

Thus, monstrous trials await mankind ahead. They are already happening; we are already inside them. What we have now will seem like child’s play compared to what is ahead. Naturally, like any normal person, I am not gloating or happy about this. But wars practically always happen whenever people say they don’t want war. Wars do not depend on whether people want them or not. There is a certain logic to history which it is virtually impossible to evade.

In the US itself, little wars are raging.  As Putin said at Valdai when asked about the Department of War:

As a ship is named so does she sail.

What do you think?  Raw and unsophisticated is fine, but be honest and don’t fight with others.  So you think we should go to war?  Shall we fight the sheer horrible concept of war?  Will our world be better off if we kill another few millions of people?  How do you plan to survive?  Have you done ‘bug-in’ or ‘bug-out’ preparation?  Where is your heart?  Who do you bleed for?  If we can still drive Netanyahu and his cronies into the sea, will the threat of war diminish?  These are the existential questions.