The Coalescing Orange Chaos
The Panel: a bemused historian, diplomat, and soldier sift through the entrails of a near-decomposing but spastic and enraged behemoth.
Nima Alkhorshid of Dialogue Works interviews Mohammad Marandi, Larry Wilkerson & Chas Freeman as the clock ticks for Iran and U.S.: Talks or Total War? The constant changes of tack and talking points by Witkoff and Trump, and internal faction fighting and mixed messages, add to the confusion. The eCONomic War on China, and despair of the lost war in Novorrosiya, add to the Chaos.
The “snap back mechanism” of the JCPOA is not as clear cut as it appears – will it be the trigger for Russia-China, unwilling to countenance the coming political sanctions on Iran, the final rupture with the UNSC system derived by the Anglo-American Atlantic Charter System of 1941? To walk away as the USA just abandoned the WTO? They are not as weak as they were in 2015, nor the West as indomitable. China has already vastly increased Iranian oil imports; Russia made clear it will not allow Iran to be destroyed. There are many moving plates in the air.
Iran – and her safeguarding by one side and her destruction by the other side – increasingly take center stage over the fight for the future sovereign and harmonious multi-nodal world.
Send in the clowns (early morning thinking)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8L6KGuTr9TI