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Elvira Nabiullina: Transformation of Russian economy is marathon with barriers — Central Bank chief

Ed Note: It is still surprising that Nabiullina was accused of being an Atlanticist who worked hand in hand with the US Central Bank.  Now we look back and she was and is an excellent economist and throughout the sanctions, did not lose a beat as Russian Central Bank Governor.   This is a fair note of caution as the Russian economy is growing very fast.  Inflation is edging up a tad and the Central Bank will most probably increase its key rate a tad in July.

“We therefore need to estimate forces and understand how we work with constraints,” Elvira Nabiullina added

ST. PETERSBURG, July 3. /TASS/. Current transformation of the Russian economy is a marathon race with barriers and not a short distance, Governor of the Bank of Russia Elvira Nabiullina said.

“We have recovered quickly, quicker than we expected ourselves, than expected by many. Growth rates are very high in 2023. Growth rates are high now and certainly, everybody wants to keep them. However, it seems to me that it is important for us to comprehend the current situation and understand that this is a long-distance run. This is not a short run but indeed a marathon distance, and furthermore, across the country and with barriers. We therefore need to estimate forces and understand how we work with constraints,” she said.

It is important to think how to respond to long-term challenges, Nabiullina noted. “Mere crisis response measures and the use of reserves should not be the response to such permanent structural change of the economy. This is rethinking of priorities, from my point of view, and reallocation of resources,” she added.

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Colin Maxwell
Colin Maxwell
1 year ago
Reply to  amarynth

This was Michael at his magnificent best, and Nima asks all the right questions too – a reference piece to file away for sure!

Maria Teresa Soares
Maria Teresa Soares
1 year ago

I’ve been reading unpleasant things about this economist for a long time. It is the evil of giving too much credit to “writers of this and that”. As I said, I always read unflattering comments and now I understand where the source is from. But, further, that despite this, this… Read more »

Colin Maxwell
Colin Maxwell
1 year ago

Thanks for this info, Amarynth – I too respect Nabiullina as an economist and especially in regard to how she helped navigate the Russian economy through a concerted effort by the West to ruin the entire country. I still have a huge regard for Glazyev too, even if at times… Read more »

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Last edited 1 year ago by Col...'the farmer from NZ'
Janos K
Janos K
1 year ago
Reply to  Colin Maxwell

I was just about to ask a similar question about contrasting Nabulina’s stance against Glaziev’s take. I am a pharmacist not a monetary specialist, so I would much appreciate your balanced assessment and would gladly see this being discussed here or at least some informed analysis pointers shared. Many thanks… Read more »

Grieved
1 year ago
Reply to  amarynth

I remember much from Starikov also, that Russia should do this and that with her currency. I think both he and Glazyev are correct in their views, but that in matters of state, there must be firm hands on the reins, and that you cannot have divergent views at the… Read more »

Gary Littlejohn
Gary Littlejohn
1 year ago
Reply to  Grieved

I agree that Nabiulina is an excellent monetary economist who has done a brilliant job, although there is something to the issue of letting the reins out too slowly. However, given the rate of growth and the labour shortage, it is not surprising that inflation rises again so quickly, so… Read more »

Colin Maxwell
Colin Maxwell
1 year ago

Hi Gary – great to see you here on GS as part of a healthy discussion. Re… The danger of a single currency is what happened to the Euro, which was built into its design. Yes, but my 2-cents worth is that we need to be careful to distinguish between… Read more »

Gary Littlejohn
Gary Littlejohn
1 year ago
Reply to  Colin Maxwell

Hi Colin! I only watched the video of Nima talking to Michael Hudson after I posted my previous comment. I immediately emailed Amarynth to make it clear that the point that Hudson made at the very end was the kind of thing that I had had in mind when writing… Read more »

Gary Littlejohn
Gary Littlejohn
1 year ago
Reply to  Colin Maxwell

I should add, with respect to the proposal for a Basic Income, that Russia introduced a minimum wage some years ago. This was influenced by the research of Professor James K. Galbraith of the University of Austin, Texas. He gave a paper at the Likhachev Conference in St. Petersburg in… Read more »