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Peter Koenig: interview to PressTV on Bashar Assad’s visit to China.

Syria and China – a New Pole in the Middle East

Background
Syrian President Bashar Assad is in China on his first visit since the war and foreign-backed insurgency gripped his country some 12 years ago.

Assad arrived in the eastern city of Hangzhou where he will attend the opening ceremony of the Asian Games on Saturday. He and other foreign leaders will then meet Chinese President Xi Jinping there. The Syrian president will also travel to Beijing to discuss bilateral issues and China’s help to rebuild his war-ravaged country. Beijing, which has long provided Damascus with diplomatic support, says that Assad’s visit will push bilateral relations to a new level. The visit also comes as China expands its engagement in West Asia. This year Beijing brokered a deal that saw Saudi Arabia and Syria agree to restore diplomatic ties and reopen their respective embassies.

——

PressTV – Question

Mr. Koenig, what is your take on Mr. Assad’s visit to China?

PK answer

This is excellent news.
President Bashar Assad’s visit to China and his meeting with President Xi Jinping will further strengthen the already good diplomatic relations, as well as cooperation, between the two countries.

China has an outstanding record in expanding diplomacy and Peace initiatives. As you mentioned before, earlier this year Beijing was highly influential in re-establishing diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Syria – a move, paralleled by another Chinese initiative – re-establishing diplomatic relations – and de facto peace – between Iran and the Saudis – and Yemen.

What is important, Mr. Assad’s visit will likely lead to enhanced support by China for Syria’s defense and possibly reconstruction of western initiated war-destroyed infrastructure.

Since January 2022, Syria is also part of the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative – a fact that may further enhance China-Syria collaboration, for example, in the field of hydrocarbon exploitation and protection from western theft – especially from the US and Turkey.

President Bashar Assad’s visit to China comes at a crucial time, just preceding the coming 3rd Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation (BRF), planned for Mid-October 2023 in Beijing.

Regarding the BRICS – although Syria is not yet a candidate for joining the BRICS – this diplomatic visit by the Syrian President to China may spark a common interest in expanding the BRICS with Syria’s presence, during next year’s BRICS summit, sponsored by Russia, in October 2024.

Overall, as China is expanding her engagement in Western Asia and the Middle East, Syria’s diplomatic closeness to China is also enhanced, due to Syria’s centric geographic location, bordering Lebanon, Israel, and the Mediterranean Sea to the west, Turkey to the north, Iraq to the east, and Jordan to the south.

This potentially also makes for an excellent emissary for China in the region.
—-

PressTV
You just mentioned the Chinese diplomatic initiatives to reopen Embassies between Teheran and Riyadh and between Saudia Arabia and Syria. Do you think there is a shift of the Middle East breaking loose from the US-led western hegemony?

PK
Definitely.

This is visible on all fronts.
Trade relations between Saudi Arabia and China have already grown rapidly before President Xi’s diplomatic initiatives in the region, and that in local currencies. In other words, hydrocarbon deals are made in non-dollar currencies, even though the US-Dollar had been set by the US in the early 1970s as THE trading currency for OPEC.

However, a detachment from the west does not happen overnight. The shift will be gradual, as the dollar dominance will wane gradually, especially with ever-more countries trading in local currencies rather than in US-dollars which, after WWII was made de facto the world trade currency.

In this de-dollarization, it is expected that the BRICS will play a major role. Consequently, it is also important that countries like Syria and Iran – truly interested in de-dollarization – will join the initiatives of China and Russia, as well as the stated goal of the BRICS.

The trend of disengagement from the West of the Global South in general and the Middle East in particular, is irreversible. Western dollar-hegemonic “sanctions policies” have done enough harm for sovereign countries to take their destiny into their own decision making.

The East, led by China and Russia, is pursuing a brighter future for social and economic development, one of peace and harmony.

———–

Peter Koenig is a geopolitical analyst and a former Senior Economist at the World Bank and the World Health Organization (WHO), where he worked for over 30 years around the world. He lectures at universities in the US, Europe and South America. He writes regularly for online journals and is the author of Implosion – An Economic Thriller about War, Environmental Destruction and Corporate Greed; and  co-author of Cynthia McKinney’s book “When China Sneezes: From the Coronavirus Lockdown to the Global Politico-Economic Crisis” (Clarity Press – November 1, 2020)

Peter is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG).
He is also a non-resident Senior Fellow of the Chongyang Institute of Renmin University, Beijing.

11 Comments
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Grieved
2 years ago
Reply to  amarynth

I read from Godfree Roberts in his Why China Leads the World that the Chinese penal system operates with the principal view of rehabilitating the inmate rather than simply incarcerating (the “file and forget” approach of those who think in dead ends). No surprise in that light to see its… Read more »

AHH
Admin
AHH
2 years ago

China may have been able to close the deal on Iranian – KSA rapprochement, but the Hegemon has continued blocking GCC aid to Syria. Hopefully this visit and next month will galvanize investment and rebuilding, without which Syria remains impoverished and vulnerable to fomented war and terrorism. And China, itself… Read more »

syria pop density map.png
Larchmonter445
Larchmonter445
2 years ago
Reply to  AHH

China will do what it did in Iraq. Nothing. And it did the same in Libya. Nothing. China is terrified of being dragged into combat anywhere. It had billions invested in Iraq and was scared off. In Libya, tens of billions with over 20,000 technicians there. And it fled and… Read more »

AHH
Admin
AHH
2 years ago
Reply to  Larchmonter445

I agree the war will continue for years. There remain too many mercs, compradore desert tribes, weak neighbors, huge porous desert borders, and the malignant western aircraft carrier-state. These factors alone extend the agony.  However the overall circumstances are much more positive. The region is now behind Syria and the majority (non-ignorant desert… Read more »

Nazi BBQ.jpg
Larchmonter445
Larchmonter445
2 years ago
Reply to  AHH

The Road without Chinese military then would require Russia to manage security (through an enormous network of integrated PMCs.) It’s possible. But it would have to be bankrolled by Beijing. And, AHH, I think you underestimate Idlib. Only if Turkey ceases support for al Nustra and ISIS groups once and… Read more »

AHH
Admin
AHH
2 years ago
Reply to  Larchmonter445

It appears Russia will take and has taken upon itself the burden of security on the World Island (Afro-Asia). Their massive MIC expansion and 24/7 work is not just for already-defeated NATO or the European theatre… The division of labor is being worked on and ever refined. Russian tech, arms,… Read more »

Sudhi
2 years ago
Reply to  Larchmonter445

“Poor Syria has lost so much and needs every assistance.” Thanks so much for your comment, dear Larchmonter 445, and yes, Syria was abandoned by many during its time of need. It was only with the support of Iran and Russia that Bashar al-Assad, the Lion of Syria, was able… Read more »

K
K
2 years ago
Reply to  Larchmonter445

China’s diplomatic and trade nuance is lost on you because you think war is the only way out of war, China knows full well it is not. Russia is fighting reluctantly because the threat is existential, and they already tried everything else. Syria is a near neighbour. Russia and China… Read more »

Larchmonter445
Larchmonter445
2 years ago
Reply to  K

K, Please don’t project on me some notion that crosses your mind. War as the only way out of war begs the question. The ‘war’ for China I suggest and have from the start of it is a anti-terror operation. China has some limited experience with special anti-terror units fighting… Read more »